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Good morning bloggers,

The new LRC is evolving.  We are still in the fading old pattern for another 24 to 72 hours and then the new pattern will begin!  Here is today’s video blog:

Our top three picks of the week for weather are in KC, Boston, and Philadelphia. You can go to this link to get our insights and predictions for those cities, highs, lows, and precipitation on Tradewx.com.

One of the questions that I didn’t get to answer yesterday was about the difference in weather forecasts amongst my own weather team at 41 Action News. Lindsey, Jeff, Gerard, and myself have a great system of forecasting and communication.  At the same time, they have the freedom on their shift to make their  own prediction as I want them to be comfortable talking about their own predictions on the air.  I leave them notes, and we have discussions and they often will agree with my assessments, but I don”t force them to agree, that’s up to them. Yesterday I went way above every other forecast and predicted 83 degrees, and most other forecasts had 70s, and I let me team know why I was thinking that, and then I went 50s for highs for a day or two.  It did get into the 80s yesterday, and we may still have a high in the 50s.  Most forecasters are just way too conservative in their predictions.

Have a great day!

Gary

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nick
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nick

Great video (thumbs up) good early explanation of what to look for on those maps. Keep us all up to date Gary!

David McGuire
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David McGuire

Gary, don’t want to upset ya about this blog, but I am staying right here. Not running off to any other blog. Maybe I am old and set in my ways because I am well over 55. But for me, you have been the most accurate, and you go into an education to explain this that is understandable. Your human and have made a few mistakes, but, the weather evolves and throws curves. Watching close over the next 60 days to see how this pattern sets up and what the effects at certain key points of the calender are going… Read more »

Snow Miser
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Snow Miser

Snow! Almost.
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Frankie
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Frankie

That’s pretty close…..

Numb3rsGuy
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Numb3rsGuy

Thanks for the shout-out, Gary!

Nate
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Nate

Which quarter of the Chiefs game does the new LRC start?

Kurt
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Kurt

I feel like this was a really good LRC and St. Joseph was “robbed” of a good LRC, case in point we only had 43.55 inches of precipitation from October 1st, 2018 to September 30, 2019. While that’s a much higher total than the past two period 2016-2017 and 2017-2018, St. Joseph continues to be much lower than KCI. It’s hard to comprehend how 30 miles makes such a differences in precip patterns.

Bob
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Bob

Your life is so unfair.

Three7s
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Three7s

Why does St Joseph need to be as high as KC? I would just be happy that I got an average to above average rainfall for the season.

Kurt
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Kurt

Each entitled to their own opinion. Why does KC need to get so much rain? Why does anyone need to complain about to much and belittle others that get missed by exciting weather?

Roger
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Roger

Kurt, you described my point exactly! I have been missed constantly since May.

Big J
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Big J

Kurt, I’d gladly give you 50 of the 70 inches we had. The last 12 months have sucked weather wise north of KCI. Now the farmers sit and watch it rain inches and hail every other day, while their crops sit in the field.

Sounds like another round of liquid mess on Saturday.

Brick
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Brick

What happened to the 6 degree warranty you used to have?

Brittany
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Brittany

It feels so good outside! Yay for fall!

EastOfEden (in Salt Lake City for now)
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EastOfEden (in Salt Lake City for now)

All good things must come to an end, and so must this pattern. I doubt we’ll see one like it again for a long time. Hopefully 2019-2020 can come close!

Brent
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Brent

Thanks for the video post today, Gary! Your insight is always appreciated!

Mike H
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Mike H

You submitted your peer review paper over a year ago now. What feedback have you got from the scientist who have reviewed it? What’s next?
I have looked at the weather futures site, and for me there’s not enough action yet, but I’ll keep an eye on it. Last thing, I’d like to have a contest to accurately predict the cycle length. Announce the winner in December?

Inspector
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Inspector

What a wonderful LRC this was for most of us!

Frankie
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Frankie

Great video Gary. Fall has finally arrived!