Wettest Year Ever In Kansas City

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Good morning bloggers,

The new LRC is about to set up, but it is still the old pattern for just another three to five days. Then, one of the more fascinating things in the science of meteorology happens – the new LRC sets up and begins.  According to the LRC a unique pattern sets up every year around October 5-6-7 and then a new cycle length evolves, anchor troughs and ridges become established, and the pattern repeats over and over again through the next September.  In this past year Kansas City set the all time wettest 365 days in recorded history:

There is a Flash Flood Watch in the final days of last years pattern, and then something new develops and everything changes in the next week.  As you watch this happen, you will be experiencing the change. We know what we just experienced  for this past year, as I sort of forced it on you from day to day and week to week.  Many of you seem tired of the relentless discussion of the cycling pattern, so like last year we will not be discussing the cycle length, which is estimated then confirmed by sometime in December.

Here is today’s video:

Have a great day!  And, thank you for the ones who come in with positive discussion as we have all learned so much over the years.  The new LRC is about to begin!

Gary

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UrbanityAndrew HGaryTroyEastOfEden (in Salt Lake City for now) Recent comment authors
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Andrew H
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Andrew H

Gary A couple of final questions if you would have time to answer here, or address in future blog writeup. Will these blogs still be available for us to look back on in archives ? ( At this location/url ) I know a lot if not most have it bookmarked. It would be nice to be able to look back here to check past maps, etc, without paying a fee. And have you decided on a fee for the tradewx 2020 blog yet. I know you’re a busy man, but there are so many here who blog, or read without… Read more »

Andrew H
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Andrew H

Tornado warning now that includes Manhattan KS !

Andrew H
Guest
Andrew H

Gary
“Many of you seem tired of the relentless discussion of the cycling pattern, so like last year we will not be discussing the cycle length, which is estimated then confirmed by sometime in December.”
I’m confused.
Does this mean you will be confirming the cycle length in Dec, (on the blog at tradeWx) ? Will cycle length then be discussed over there?

Scott
Guest
Scott

Been following for a few years. Very interested to see how this new pattern sets up. But I have a question. The models say it’s going to be dry for a while, but if the new pattern is just setting up, then how do the models know what is going to happen with a new pattern. Thanks

Troy
Guest
Troy

The models don’t use the LRC as guidance so I suppose it would not impact them too much. I would think its hard to know if a model fits the cycle when we don’t know what it is yet.

Andrew H
Guest
Andrew H

Gary says 83 tomorrow
This summer does not want to give up
I know, 60’s are coming. And Sat-Mon will be the start of the new LRC pattern.
But I predict a warm dry winter -spring and hot dry summer. Drought is coming !! 😁 jk !!!
I will be checking out f00ds daily reports on Reddit ! Being able to see discussions about cycle lengths again will be fun.

Hockeynut69
Guest
Hockeynut69

Just finished mowing the lawn due to the rain coming I actually hope we get missed by most of it, but lately have been in the target zone. The ground is still very damp in many places so additional rain will mostly be runoff. With cooler temperatures coming, less of that rain will get baked out of the soil and could make for very damp conditions based on additional rain opportunities. I saw one station predicting 5″ for this storm through Thursday. I certainly hope that’s not the case, but nothing I can do about it.

Troy
Guest
Troy

I have had 3.6″ today in RP county with more on the way it looks like. It makes 8.20 in the last 2 weeks here.

MMike
Guest
MMike

Summer….June 20th-September 22nd finished 1.2 degrees above average on temps.

I bet many of you didn’t know that as everyday on here we hear how cool the summer was…it wasn’t a scorcher, but it wasn’t as cool as everyone made it sound.

Clint
Guest
Clint

And sticky!

f00dl3
Guest
f00dl3

If you believe any of my shenanigans it would make sense because the surface pattern changes right about July-August underneath the upper level pattern which remains the same until October. Will be interesting to see if the new upper level pattern reacts to the offset induced by the surface pattern that formed during the July-August time frame. I think it goes something like this: April -> June — influences from LRC on surface features mainly thunderstorms cause temperature differences at the surface, which when caught up under the LRC induce surface changes as they cycle back through a cycle later… Read more »

Inspector
Guest
Inspector

F00dl’s blog is legit. Go to Reddit and enjoy

MICHELE Springs
Guest

Is this blog going away? I heard it was. Please explain.

Andrew H
Guest
Andrew H

It’s going away from here. It will be moved to tradeWx.com, in a few days. There will be a monthly $10 fee to see the blog and Gary’s LRC insights after opening an account over there.

Numb3rsGuy
Guest
Numb3rsGuy

Gary, I did some digging into the question you asked yesterday about if this was the only September in KC weather history to not dip below 50 degrees and this is what I found: Including 2019, there have been 13 September’s that didn’t dip into the 40’s for the monthly minimum temperature. We did break a record, however, because the previous record for the warmest monthly low was 53 degrees set in 1905 and 1911, so our monthly low of 54 was the warmest minimum temperature in September ever recorded. Just for fun, because I know the LRC hasn’t set… Read more »

blue flash
Guest
blue flash

According to my records, this morning’s low temperature of 76 downtown makes this the warmest overnight low ever recorded in Kansas City in the month of October. This record will not go down in the record books of course, as downtown is no longer the official measurement site. However, since all of the previous record warm nights were pre-KCI, it seems appropriate to compare the downtown reading to the previous downtown records, rather than to the current site which is in a cow pasture somewhere up north.

EastOfEden (in Salt Lake City for now)
Guest
EastOfEden (in Salt Lake City for now)

Notable also that May 2018 was the only May to ever not drop below 50. In fact, the lowest minimum that month was 54.

Clint
Guest
Clint

Hi guys, I would also recommend theweatherforums.com for great weather discussion. The LRC and other forecasting tools are used there. And it’s free!

Clint
Guest
Clint

Also you can discuss the cycle length

Andrew H
Guest
Andrew H

Interesting. But the LRC is proprietary. Belonging to wx2020 and Gary. How can anyone else use or discuss it without being sued.

Brick
Guest
Brick

It’s like saying super bowl….it’s trade marked but who is really going to sue a regular joe for saying it

Heat Mizer
Guest
Heat Mizer

trademarks dont protect against saying the word…they protect against being used to make $$$$

Stl78(winona, mn)
Guest
Stl78(winona, mn)

Plz dont forget about our Facebook group as well during this transition. I would b willing to pay for a weather blog but i have zero interest in betting on the weather. I will b doing plenty of betting next wk in vegas.

Andrew H
Guest
Andrew H

What’s your Facebook group ?

Stl78(winona, mn)
Guest
Stl78(winona, mn)
Urbanity
Guest
Urbanity

Change always happens, the appeal of an unchanging environment is not lost on me. Many of you know and had communicated with me regarding the well being of my wife who was battling a serious form of breast cancer. She started her battle August 1, 2017 and lost it July 31, 2018, almost a year exactly. It was an insidious destruction of a beautiful healthy woman with young kids. Thank you to all who reached out at the time I had announced it. The change in my environment was not a welcome one. I doubt the change in the blog… Read more »

cws9
Guest
cws9

My sincere condolences Urbanity.

sierravista
Guest
sierravista

Very sorry to hear about your wife, Urbanity. I hope you can find some comfort in good memories. Let’s all hope for great strides in cancer treatments, early detection, and a cure.

Real HumeDude
Guest
Real HumeDude

Very sorry to hear that, I must not have heard that first time you announced it. Wishing you and your family peace

Urbanity
Guest
Urbanity

Hume I didn’t announce her passing, just initially when she was diagnosed. But thank you.

Stl78(winona, mn)
Guest
Stl78(winona, mn)

My deepest condolences sir

Andrew H
Guest
Andrew H

Urbanity So sorry about your wife. I didn’t realize. Man you have been dealt a terrible blow, and now raising a family without your soulmate and their mother? So sorry. Horrible disease that has struck my own family 3 times. One was my 29 yr old niece who had a 4 yo and 4 month old. She had double mastectomy. 5 yrs cancer free now. The other 2 were nieces in their 60s and 40s. October is breast cancer awareness month. ( And males are not immune ! ) We need to encourage our wives, female relatives and friends to… Read more »

Mr. Pete
Guest
Mr. Pete

Urbanity – my heart goes out to you. May God Bless you and your family.

Mr. Pete

John
Guest
John

Don’t change the blog. It is interesting to watch what will happen this winter. Keep the LRC on the blogs

Blue Flash
Guest
Blue Flash

I’m still hoping there will be some accommodation made for those of us who still want to participate in the LRC blog but aren’t interested in betting on the weather. Would be willing to pay something, but not $10 per month.

Mr. Pete
Guest
Mr. Pete

I’m with Blue. No interest whatsoever in weather betting. I’ll be gone for sure.

Heat Mizer
Guest
Heat Mizer

Same here…I’d be willing to pay something like before, but $10 is too much.

REAL HUMEDUDE
Guest
REAL HUMEDUDE

Makes 4 of us. I bet enough on the weather having AG interests, that’s plenty action for me

Nimbus
Guest
Nimbus

Blogs should be free. This blog has gotten me to watch 41 news now. Charge for it and that will change. Besides, I don’t want to bet on the weather. That’s Gary’s job.

WillyInTopeka
Guest
WillyInTopeka

I agree with this line of thought but Gary has mentioned a few times there would be a “cost with the blog.” Maybe he will change his mind but it sounds like the entire blog is moving to TradeWX. I’m not sure what the justification is for charging just for the blog other than that it is behind the paywall where you can’t see it without an account.

Maybe NBC Action news will have something different though.

Numb3rsGuy
Guest
Numb3rsGuy

I also won’t be joining TradeWx to read the blog and bet. I am more likely to go to reddit and join the blog there. I think Gary made a good choice in expanding his business to TradeWx, but a poor one in eliminating this aspect of it.

Rich (east of Topeka)
Guest
Rich (east of Topeka)

Same. I’ll read until you have to pay. For me it’s just an economics decision, I can’t pay $10/month for every blog etc I want to read. Just can’t justify it. But I’m sure there are others who will do so and enjoy it. So I’ll enjoy this while it’s still available.

Dustin
Guest
Dustin

I’d be willing to pay $5/month for the weather2020 blog, but no interest in giving money to a gambling website.

Rodney
Guest
Rodney

I’m not interested in betting on weather either. I read the blog daily & am very active during the winter time commenting. I would most definitely pay a small fee to see Gary’s daily blog & discussion on the LRC, but $10 a month is too much. I’m hoping the blog can be set up to where you pay a fee just for the blog and then if you want to do both betting & blog you can pay a higher fee or subscription. Hoping there is a way to separate the two and still be able to enjoy this… Read more »

WillyInTopeka
Guest
WillyInTopeka

Remember to check out https://www.reddit.com/r/kcregionalwx/ More discussion there as we head into fall/winter for those who will not be taking part in Gary’s blog once the paywall goes up. Sounds like that will be within the week per Gary’s video. If you don’t have a Reddit account creating one only takes an email and maybe one minute. Everyone check it out- where else are you going to go to see and discuss the fantasy snowfall maps showing 20+ inches that poof into a trace all winter? We also need a few of the trolls to sign up and keep things… Read more »

f00dl3
Guest
f00dl3

Trolling is ok, just no personal direct attacks or vulgar language/offensive material 😀

Snow Miser
Guest
Snow Miser

It almost seems like the new LRC begins Thursday.

FTWMike
Member
FTWMike

Hey Gary I just experienced the Hottest and driest in DFW recorded history. One day in the 80’s the rest was mid 90’s and a trace of rain at DFW airport.

Stl78(winona, mn)
Guest
Stl78(winona, mn)

Did u move? Dont think u will see any snow in dftw!. Lol

FTWMike
Member
FTWMike

Hey hows it going STL. Yes I moved back home. I live in Weatherford,Texas. Yeah about 90% sure I wont see snow.

Stl78(winona, mn)
Guest
Stl78(winona, mn)

Doin ok mike, hope u r enjoying your time back home!

FTWMike
Member
FTWMike

I am for sure, the bass fishing is awesome here at my lake cabin on Possum Kingdom

Stl78(winona, mn)
Guest
Stl78(winona, mn)

Very nice buddy

Bill in Lawrence
Guest
Bill in Lawrence

FTWMike:

My wife’s family has a place on the Cedar Creek Arm of the lake….just west of Fox Hollow…beautiful lake!! We are in the process of taking over maintenance of the cabin…I love it there!!!!

Bill in Washington Creek Valley in Lawrence

FTWMike
Member
FTWMike

I know exactly where that is Bill

Rich (east of Topeka)
Guest
Rich (east of Topeka)

Your fishing sounds awesome FTWMike! My son and I fish at a friend’s farm pond near us all the time, well stocked with blue gill and catfish. We have a blast fishing there. But, no BASS, which are so fun to catch! Enjoy your fishing! 🙂