Good Saturday bloggers,
Friday evening and night we saw a cold front move south, slamming into the heat and extreme humidity. The result was big thunderstorms with large hail and flash flooding.
There were two main zones of excessive rain. One was located from Eudora to Buckner where 2″-5″ of rain occurred. The second zone was from around KCI to Richmond where most locations received 1″-3″ of rain, but northern Clay county saw 3″-6″ of rain. These are radar estimated totals, so your rain gauge may read different.
Now, what is next?
The cold front that came through Friday evening is now stalling. It will become a warm front later today and head north. Look at the temperature contrast at 7 AM Saturday. Temperatures ranged from 79° in Dallas,TX to 49° in Lincoln, NE.
The front will be joined by a storm system tracking northeast from the southwest USA. This was the system that generated all kinds of odd weather in Arizona last week. The system, early Saturday, was located in west Texas and will be tracking up I-35 linking up with the front. This means…drum roll…more thunderstorms. Some may be severe along with flash flooding.
There is a slight risk of severe weather later today and tonight with large hail and damaging winds the main threats.
SATURDAY 4 PM: There will be quite a temperature contrast in the area with highs in the 80s south to 60s in KC and points north. There will be a few showers and thunderstorms around through 4 PM. Then, after 4 PM, we will see thunderstorms rapidly increase.
SATURDAY 4 PM-SUNDAY 7 AM: There will be several rounds of rain and thunderstorms. Flash flooding will be the main threat. The severe threat will decrease considerably after 8-9 PM.
SUNDAY: The warm front will surge north leaving us back in a very warm and very humid air mass. There may be a few showers and thunderstorms. The cold front in the Rockies will arrive Tuesday night and Wednesday. This will likely create more heavy rain and thunderstorms and lead to our first low in the 40s.
RAINFALL FORECAST THROUGH SUNDAY: There will be a zone of 3″-6″ of rain with 1″-3″ likely for most other locations. The 3″-6″ rain zone, on this data, is located to the south of KC. This zone could end up 50 miles farther north or south. Remember, “Turn Around Don’t Drown.”
Have a great weekend and pay close attention to the weather.
Jeff Penner
Enough already! These little individual cells are dropping buckets of rain. So odd that I can see stars to the north with torrential rains right over head in SE miami county.
It has been a wet day, thats for sure. I’m ready for the cooler fall air late next week.
Another 1.4″ here in Independence today. That brings us up to 7.6″ for September!
Lucked out yesterday , but 3 inches dumped on us tonight, sickening.
middle of independence .9″ in 30 minutes… hope that heavy rain band stays south mostly, sorry south
Here comes the rain…again! Massive downpour here, wow!
Gary,
I’m at the Royals game. I heard you tell the crowd in person it would not rain. You lied bro!
He was wrapping me. I wanted to say no rain until late in the game. Oh well
Being wrong isn’t lying bro
Check your dictionary bro. No hard feelings Gary, it was fun seeing you. Gotta say, predictions on weather this weekend have been spot on from KSHB.
Lying is intentionally telling an untruth. Missing a forecast is just inaccuracy.
I feel so bad for you
It is when you CONSTANTLY say you are Kansas City’s weather leader!!!
If it had been a “normal” 3 hour game, he would have been correct. But given how all major league games have turned into marathons in the last four years, you have to expect 3 1/2 hours at least.
It was done in about 3. Raining before that.
Wow just read that KSHB just took over as the sponsor station for School Day at the K! Very interesting. That can’t sit well with the folks 37 digits down the dial.
41 has some great personalities. But how good are they at softball?
Pretty cool surface chart at the moment….84 in Sedalia and 64 in Lawrence….summer heading back in!!!!
Bill in Washington Creek Valley
Bill,
This is the cut off low, Weatherman’s wow. A large area of rain and thunderstorms is moving in!
Weatherman’s wow lol. That is spot on!
Happy Saturday to everyone!!
Warm front moving into Washington Creek Valley as I am typing this….heavy thunderstorm right now which is quickly adding to the inch we received last night. Fascinating weather day….fall right now….summer in about 5 hours……love weather on the 39th parallel!!!!
Before I go…..I would like to say a nice goodbye to the LRC of 2018-2019….what an LRC!!! Blizzard, tornado, 8 floods….wow!!!! So as this LRC fades into history I tip my hat to you!!!!
Have a great Saturday everyone…
Bill in Washington Creek Valley in Lawrence
2.2” just north of Liberty with all rounds thus far. Hope we are on the lighter side tonight and no hail.
Storms formed just north of me last night. And again at my house we got nothing. I live in the NW part of wichita and we are hurting for rain. Last big rain we got was the end of August.
When is the first possible snow ? The LRC should be able to handle that, right?
That’s funny…last I checked we are in the transition period.
So what’s causing the cold front to stall and turn into a warm front?
Same pattern as we have had most of the year. Not enough upper level support to push the fronts through and scour out the humidity. So we are stuck in the battle zone.
Interesting. I wonder why there’s not enough support?
Cold air is just now building back up from summer. Takes it a bit to get going to us. In a week or so, bits of it will come through and get stronger as we really move in to October
Been away for awhile. Whats happening to this blog? Its going away?
It will be 10 dollars a month as it is going along with Gary’s recently announced Tradewx venture.
Unknown, it was supposed to disappear about a week ago I thought. But its still here.
1.5″ overnight here in Independence. We are up to 6.2″ for the month.
RIP this blog
So you’re calling for another 2-3 inches tonight? Or is that counting last night too? NWS is saying half to an inch.
0.0″ in Vernon Co
Don’t need any either
1.88 inches of rain here in Richmond, MO between last PM and early this AM. Stay safe everyone!
Getting a great soaking on my yard and grass seed this morning thanks to the city water supply and garden hoses. Nothing in the rain gauge last night, very underwhelming. Not going to count on anything else as seems to be a very common theme to forecast heavy rains and it fails to produce in my area.
Can’t wait to see what the new lrc brings and hope we get above normal precip in the new lrc
How much rain have you received this month Kurt?
In St. Joe, .58″ recorded yesterday and year-to-date 35.27″. A total of 2.55″ in the last 7 days
I’ve had 1.6 this month, YTD 33.4, would be nice to get another good rain last rain was Saturday
Do I assume the rainfall forecast thru Sunday is additional rain from now (saturday 10am)?
I’ll save willy in Topeka the time. He got missed and will get missed again
Actually some redevelopment happened around 2 AM and we got about 1.15” here. Needed it badly. A few miles south of us only got about .30” so we had some luck finally. But yes, I will get missed again before long I’m sure and I’ll make sure to let you know about it. Actually no, I won’t because the blog is going away in a week or so.
reddit r/kcregionalwx will always be free!
True! Let’s keep pushing that subreddit over the next week and see if we can get some more people to join. I haven’t been good about checking it but will start to now.
Any thoughts on ‘next’ weekend (Oct 5-6) re: outdoor activities? Obviously very close to new LRC developing…and long rangers have decent chances of rain at this juncture.
0.6″ here in NW Lawrence from last night.
1.48″ of rain and nickel hail near old town Lenexa through 10 PM last night.
Add 2.25″ of rain overnight
3.83″ of rain so far.
You could have share with me smiley face. A couple inches of rain would be excellent for the grass seed
Doing my early snow dance. Come on new lrc!!!!!
Man. If only Hutchinson could get a taste of this! Only 0.16 inches this month. Normal is 2.43″ up to September 27th.
18 of 27 days have been 90 degrees or hotter. Today will mark only the 2nd day that the high temperature has failed to reach 80. August had only 16 days of 90+.
Our average temperature this month is 77.8, which is 7.5 degrees above normal. August average temperature was 78.7.
Final total from last night 2.02″. Woodland and Shoal Creek. Some golf ball sized hail shredded the lumber I have on the drive.
The LRC says these storms should be South and they were. More this weekend. Ground is soggy.