The Cold Front becomes a Warm Front

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Good Saturday bloggers,

Friday evening and night we saw a cold front move south, slamming into the heat and extreme humidity. The result was big thunderstorms with large hail and flash flooding.

There were two main zones of excessive rain. One was located from Eudora to Buckner where 2″-5″ of rain occurred. The second zone was from around KCI to Richmond where most locations received 1″-3″ of rain, but northern Clay county saw 3″-6″ of rain. These are radar estimated totals, so your rain gauge may read different.

Now, what is next?

The cold front that came through Friday evening is now stalling. It will become a warm front later today and head north. Look at the temperature contrast at 7 AM Saturday. Temperatures ranged from 79° in Dallas,TX to 49° in Lincoln, NE.

The front will be joined by a storm system tracking northeast from the southwest USA. This was the system that generated all kinds of odd weather in Arizona last week. The system, early Saturday, was located in west Texas and will be tracking up I-35 linking up with the front. This means…drum roll…more thunderstorms. Some may be severe along with flash flooding.

There is a slight risk of severe weather later today and tonight with large hail and damaging winds the main threats.

SATURDAY 4 PM: There will be quite a temperature contrast in the area with highs in the 80s south to 60s in KC and points north. There will be a few showers and thunderstorms around through 4 PM. Then, after 4 PM, we will see thunderstorms rapidly increase.

SATURDAY 4 PM-SUNDAY 7 AM: There will be several rounds of rain and thunderstorms. Flash flooding will be the main threat. The severe threat will decrease considerably after 8-9 PM.

SUNDAY: The warm front will surge north leaving us back in a very warm and very humid air mass. There may be a few showers and thunderstorms. The cold front in the Rockies will arrive Tuesday night and Wednesday. This will likely create more heavy rain and thunderstorms and lead to our first low in the 40s.

RAINFALL FORECAST THROUGH SUNDAY: There will be a zone of 3″-6″ of rain with 1″-3″ likely for most other locations. The 3″-6″ rain zone, on this data, is located to the south of KC. This zone could end up 50 miles farther north or south. Remember, “Turn Around Don’t Drown.”

Have a great weekend and pay close attention to the weather.

Jeff Penner

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Big JNoBeachHereFarmgirlHeat MiserBlue Flash Recent comment authors
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Farmgirl
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Farmgirl

Enough already! These little individual cells are dropping buckets of rain. So odd that I can see stars to the north with torrential rains right over head in SE miami county.

Heat Miser
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Heat Miser

It has been a wet day, thats for sure. I’m ready for the cooler fall air late next week.

Blue Flash
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Blue Flash

Another 1.4″ here in Independence today. That brings us up to 7.6″ for September!

Big J
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Big J

Lucked out yesterday , but 3 inches dumped on us tonight, sickening.

OMart
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OMart

middle of independence .9″ in 30 minutes… hope that heavy rain band stays south mostly, sorry south

Weatherby Tom
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Weatherby Tom

Here comes the rain…again! Massive downpour here, wow!

Big J
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Big J

Gary,
I’m at the Royals game. I heard you tell the crowd in person it would not rain. You lied bro!

Heat Miser
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Heat Miser

Being wrong isn’t lying bro

Big J
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Big J

Check your dictionary bro. No hard feelings Gary, it was fun seeing you. Gotta say, predictions on weather this weekend have been spot on from KSHB.

Heat Miser
Guest
Heat Miser

Lying is intentionally telling an untruth. Missing a forecast is just inaccuracy.

Inspector
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Inspector

I feel so bad for you

Brick
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Brick

It is when you CONSTANTLY say you are Kansas City’s weather leader!!!

Blue Flash
Guest
Blue Flash

If it had been a “normal” 3 hour game, he would have been correct. But given how all major league games have turned into marathons in the last four years, you have to expect 3 1/2 hours at least.

Big J
Guest
Big J

It was done in about 3. Raining before that.

Hockeynut69
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Hockeynut69

Wow just read that KSHB just took over as the sponsor station for School Day at the K! Very interesting. That can’t sit well with the folks 37 digits down the dial.

Blue Flash
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Blue Flash

41 has some great personalities. But how good are they at softball?

Bill in Lawrence
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Bill in Lawrence

Pretty cool surface chart at the moment….84 in Sedalia and 64 in Lawrence….summer heading back in!!!!

Bill in Washington Creek Valley

Bill in Lawrence
Guest
Bill in Lawrence

Happy Saturday to everyone!!

Warm front moving into Washington Creek Valley as I am typing this….heavy thunderstorm right now which is quickly adding to the inch we received last night. Fascinating weather day….fall right now….summer in about 5 hours……love weather on the 39th parallel!!!!

Before I go…..I would like to say a nice goodbye to the LRC of 2018-2019….what an LRC!!! Blizzard, tornado, 8 floods….wow!!!! So as this LRC fades into history I tip my hat to you!!!!

Have a great Saturday everyone…

Bill in Washington Creek Valley in Lawrence

Hockeynut69
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Hockeynut69

2.2” just north of Liberty with all rounds thus far. Hope we are on the lighter side tonight and no hail.

jeffnKs
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jeffnKs

Storms formed just north of me last night. And again at my house we got nothing. I live in the NW part of wichita and we are hurting for rain. Last big rain we got was the end of August.

Nate
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Nate

When is the first possible snow ? The LRC should be able to handle that, right?

Joe
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Joe

That’s funny…last I checked we are in the transition period.

Brittany
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Brittany

So what’s causing the cold front to stall and turn into a warm front?

Blue Flash
Guest
Blue Flash

Same pattern as we have had most of the year. Not enough upper level support to push the fronts through and scour out the humidity. So we are stuck in the battle zone.

Brittany
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Brittany

Interesting. I wonder why there’s not enough support?

NoBeachHere
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NoBeachHere

Cold air is just now building back up from summer. Takes it a bit to get going to us. In a week or so, bits of it will come through and get stronger as we really move in to October

Fred Nolan
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Fred Nolan

Been away for awhile. Whats happening to this blog? Its going away?

Kaden (Olathe)
Guest

It will be 10 dollars a month as it is going along with Gary’s recently announced Tradewx venture.

Mr. Pete
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Mr. Pete

Unknown, it was supposed to disappear about a week ago I thought. But its still here.

Blue Flash
Guest
Blue Flash

1.5″ overnight here in Independence. We are up to 6.2″ for the month.

Inspector
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Inspector

RIP this blog

Ben
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Ben

So you’re calling for another 2-3 inches tonight? Or is that counting last night too? NWS is saying half to an inch.

REAL HUMEDUDE
Guest
REAL HUMEDUDE

0.0″ in Vernon Co
Don’t need any either

Jeff
Guest
Jeff

1.88 inches of rain here in Richmond, MO between last PM and early this AM. Stay safe everyone!

Kurt
Guest
Kurt

Getting a great soaking on my yard and grass seed this morning thanks to the city water supply and garden hoses. Nothing in the rain gauge last night, very underwhelming. Not going to count on anything else as seems to be a very common theme to forecast heavy rains and it fails to produce in my area.

Can’t wait to see what the new lrc brings and hope we get above normal precip in the new lrc

Roger
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Roger

How much rain have you received this month Kurt?

JoeK
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JoeK

In St. Joe, .58″ recorded yesterday and year-to-date 35.27″. A total of 2.55″ in the last 7 days

Kurt
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Kurt

I’ve had 1.6 this month, YTD 33.4, would be nice to get another good rain last rain was Saturday

OMart
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OMart

Do I assume the rainfall forecast thru Sunday is additional rain from now (saturday 10am)?

Johnny
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Johnny

I’ll save willy in Topeka the time. He got missed and will get missed again

WillyInTopeka
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WillyInTopeka

Actually some redevelopment happened around 2 AM and we got about 1.15” here. Needed it badly. A few miles south of us only got about .30” so we had some luck finally. But yes, I will get missed again before long I’m sure and I’ll make sure to let you know about it. Actually no, I won’t because the blog is going away in a week or so.

f00dl3
Guest
f00dl3

reddit r/kcregionalwx will always be free!

WillyInTopeka
Guest
WillyInTopeka

True! Let’s keep pushing that subreddit over the next week and see if we can get some more people to join. I haven’t been good about checking it but will start to now.

J-ox
Guest
J-ox

Any thoughts on ‘next’ weekend (Oct 5-6) re: outdoor activities? Obviously very close to new LRC developing…and long rangers have decent chances of rain at this juncture.

0.6″ here in NW Lawrence from last night.

f00dl3
Guest
f00dl3

1.48″ of rain and nickel hail near old town Lenexa through 10 PM last night.
Add 2.25″ of rain overnight

3.83″ of rain so far.

Kurt
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Kurt

You could have share with me smiley face. A couple inches of rain would be excellent for the grass seed

Zachary McNerney
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Zachary McNerney

Doing my early snow dance. Come on new lrc!!!!!

Roger
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Roger

Man. If only Hutchinson could get a taste of this! Only 0.16 inches this month. Normal is 2.43″ up to September 27th.

18 of 27 days have been 90 degrees or hotter. Today will mark only the 2nd day that the high temperature has failed to reach 80. August had only 16 days of 90+.

Our average temperature this month is 77.8, which is 7.5 degrees above normal. August average temperature was 78.7.

Jobu
Guest
Jobu

Final total from last night 2.02″. Woodland and Shoal Creek. Some golf ball sized hail shredded the lumber I have on the drive.

The LRC says these storms should be South and they were. More this weekend. Ground is soggy.