Catastrophic Flooding In Texas & New Storm Is Developing Out West

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12:30 PM Update:

Moisture from the remnants of T.S. Imelda are about to invade the KC sky.  We will have increasing clouds with a chance of a few showers later this afternoon.  Here is the satellite picture taken at 12:15 PM:

Previous Entry Below:

Good morning bloggers,

There have been a few reports of nearly 40 inches of rain over parts of south Texas this week as a result of the remnants of Tropical Storm Imelda.  Some are describing it worse than Hurricane Harvey.  While it is likely worse than Harvey in a few spots, it is not worse than Harvey in most areas. Two people have been killed in this flooding event, while 68 people were killed by direct impacts from Hurricane Harvey.  Harvey was a $125 Billion disaster!   This is still another disaster, however, and this slow moving system is going to have an affect on Kansas City by later this afternoon.  How?  By spreading in some cooler air from that rain drenched system to our south.  We may or may not see any rain today, but we will likely experience this cooler air by mid to late afternoon.

As you can see on this map above, this 7:30 AM surface map shows the moisture from the Remnants of Tropical Storm Imelda are approaching from the south.  This is a thick area of low clouds and some rain.  This is tracking slowly northward and will likely make it to KC later today.

The National Weather Service made these following graphics for this approaching storm:

There is a slight risk of severe thunderstorms this weekend, and a few severe thunderstorms may be experienced.  Most areas have the higher risk of some flooding from excessive rainfall.

Rainfall amounts may reach these levels with localized amounts over 6″ possible.

Tradewx.com: Tradewx is currently offering a free subscription to the site for a limited time.  Here is the link to the release: https://view.s6.exacttarget.com/?qs=e09b444221d0a34efd5452205562298d2069501b426d20936925967b2071c0ee16eac7a4581fba9ab1d40df3b38a224267854634cee95867e07834cc44c8fa3782233f676ca53165

You will need to join the insights page, and then you can decide to join Tradewx.com if you would like.

Thank you for spending a few minutes of your day reading the weather blog.

Gary

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Johnny
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Johnny

T

Mike M (Lenexa)
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Mike M (Lenexa)

Happy Friday to all the bloggers. I wanted to reminded everyone that our region will be experiencing its annual Peak Monarch Migration which usually takes place between September 22-29 each year. Kansas City is in the middle of the Monarch Super Highway which is the butterfly’s largest flight path from Canada, Great Lakes Region down into Mexico following the I-35 corridor. Our weather plays a large role in this event. Rains and strong southerly winds have an impact on the forward movement of these pollinators. So take some time this up coming week and look up, you may get a… Read more »

Troy
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Troy

Last year I found a cottonwood tree that had 1000s of Monarchs on it. I assume they were migrating. Pretty neat.

Bob
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Bob

Sounds more like they were congregating.

Troy
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Troy

They certainly were doing that. I think they fly from Canada to Mexico if I remember correctly.

Heat Mizer
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Heat Mizer

Build a wall

Bob
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Bob

Yeah, they do. To one particular spot in Mexico.

KS Jones
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KS Jones

And, these that are migrating south (4th generation) have never been to Mexico, but they return to the same place that their ancestors overwintered.

KS Jones
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KS Jones

Small groups of Monarchs have been drifting through here (25 miles north of Manhattan) for the past week. There are 20 or so in the yard fluttering on the flower beds as I type, but we usually have hundreds clinging to the trees in our yard on September 20th.

Snow Miser
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Snow Miser

I saw a lot of Monarchs last year (in my yard and elsewhere). Have only seen a few this year.

Andrew H
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Andrew H

Plant milkweed to attract them as it is their only egg-laying habitat. Native milkweed. Can get it through KState extension.

Snow Miser
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Snow Miser

Yeah that’s what I do. Got a bunch of milkweed plants in my garden. Basically my gardens are butterfly gardens.

Recently I even collected a bunch of seeds from my milkweed plants, and placed some of them in a garden at work, and spread a bunch of others in the Burr Oak Woods state park.

Heat Mizer
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Heat Mizer

How many days til Xmas?

Andrew H
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Andrew H

Gary
On tradewx is that $10 free still there ?
All I see is one month free of reading your insights.
Non-recurring, meaning the charge will be…what… after the one free month ?
It focuses on you as being the only met…with more mets being added later.
( using the link you gave us here today in your writeup )

Nate
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Nate

It’s always somewhere other than Lees Summit…that much I know

Craig
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Craig
Troy
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Troy

My anniversary was Wednesday. When we got married 15 years ago and it was nearly 100 that day. We left the next morning for Yellowstone for our Honeymoon and it was snowing when we got there. Kind of reminds me of that.

Andrew H
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Andrew H

So is our weekend rain going to be from remnants of Imelda ?
Reminds me of 2012 when we got the remnants of Isaac, which broke our drought,
3 days of welcomed rain from that.
( Only this year we have not had drought in KC.)
This LRC has been great. Except the September heat !

Jim
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Jim

Is there any sort of cutoff for rain on Saturday during the day, or is it widespread as well?

Michael Casteel
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Michael Casteel

I guess my 8.76″ is going to get blown away in the next two days! LOL! Have a great weekend Bloggers!
Michael

jake
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jake

The above average rainfall prediction from the lrc has surely came to pass, but the tropics predictions are far from gold. He said below average activity and its quite active. Also where did a month straight of above average temperatures come into play? we had below average temps most of the year.

Frankie
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Frankie

I know as we get closer to the end of Sept, the new LRC has a small percentage of influence on our weather. Is this system even slightly influenced by the new LRC? Or is it 100% current? If it’s the new pattern, it may be a good sign moving forward

Troy
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Troy

This pattern feels different because of the heat but if you look the trough in the West with a ridge in the SE has occurred several times before including all that rain this spring and much of our snow. Its just that the trough is weaker/ridge stronger at this time of year so its hotter.

Mr. Pete
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Mr. Pete

Saturday during the day. Will it rain?

Heat Mizer
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Heat Mizer

i heard off and on possible

Mr. Pete
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Mr. Pete

ok

Hockeynut69
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Hockeynut69

This weekend’s rain is going to blow my prediction for sure. I am only a quarter inch shy but it appears there is a lot of rain to blow that out of the water this weekend (no pun intended). Hoping for some breaks in the rain for the Sporting game in particular. Tonight a big football game between Liberty and Liberty North! Go Eagles! Happy Friday everyone, have a great day and weekend!

Snow Miser
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Snow Miser

Looks like heavy rain for the Chiefs game.

MMike
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MMike

King Lezak, Thanks for your response on yesterday’s blog. We’ll agree to disagree…that’s okay, it’s healthy debate. You have had a great LRC based forecasting year, you are just so stubborn on letting go of some of the bad ones. Balance brother, it makes you look good. Now…Chiefs….we really need the rain to stop by game time. I’m a tad bit worried about a messy field limiting our strength, passing. I’m not sure if we can win a running game battle with the Ravens as I believe a few of our running backs are banged up? Who knows, Mahomes has… Read more »