Good morning bloggers,
The KC Chiefs win their season opener, and so did a dozen other teams, and there was one tie. The weather for the opening weekend had no major issues, nationwide, and the quiet pattern continues. While last week was dominated by Major Hurricane Dorian, and how it ambushed the northern Bahamas, this week will be a lot quieter. This years cycling weather pattern is now nearing its final breath. The LRC describes the cycling weather pattern over the Northern Hemisphere, which sets up around the first week of October each year and lasts deep into September of the next year. We are still in the final stages of this years pattern and it is ending up quite warm.
We have been having a contest for the total rainfall in Kansas City for the 40 days or so beginning August 14th and ending September 23rd. Here is what we started with, and what I wrote on August 14th: “How much rain do you think will fall between now and the first day of fall, which is September 23rd? The same pattern that set up last fall will continue until right around that date, and then a massive transition takes place between September 23rd and October 7th. In those two weeks the new LRC will set up. So, let’s have another challenge. I am predicting 150 to 200 percent of average rainfall. Kansas City averages around 5.5 inches of rain between now and September 23: So my prediction is for somewhere between 8.25″ and 11.00″ of rain to fall at KCI Airport.” Here are the predictions:
So, my prediction range using the LRC is 8.25″ to 11.o0″, which is that 150 to 200 percent of average.
Rainfall So Far At KCI Airport:
- August 15: 0.26″
- August 16: 0.81″
- August 17: 0.72″
- August 18: 0.52″
- August 21: 0.09″
- August 22: 0.03″
- August 25: 0.97″
- August 26: 1.44″
- August 29: 1.56″
- August 30: 0.77″
- September 7: 0.43″
- September 8: 0.04″
Total So Far with 24 days left: 7.64″ as of 7 AM today, and there are 16 entries that have already been passed by. It has been rather dry to begin September, and these shorter dry spells have happened three or four times since this pattern began. Let’s see how this week rolls through.
A Storm System Later In The Week:
This map above shows the surface forecast valid at 7 PM Thursday. A storm is forecast to track across the northern plains and it will drag a cold front into Oklahoma, Kansas, and Iowa on Thursday evening. There will likely be a risk of some severe thunderstorms. The rest of the nation will be rather quiet between now and Thursday.
Kansas City Forecast:
- Today: Mostly sunny and breezy. The winds will be out of the south and gusting to near 30 mph. High: 89°
- Tonight: Clear with a few late night clouds and a 30% chance of late night thunderstorms. Low: 71°
- Tuesday: There is a 30% chance of morning showers and thunderstorms. A few periods of clouds with the south breeze continuing at 10-25 mph. High: 87°
Let’s see how all of this lines up, and we will go in-depth into this weather pattern on tomorrows blog. Thank you for spending a few minutes of your day reading the Weather2020 blog. Have a great day.