Dorian Snow and a Zone of Thunderstorms

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Good Saturday bloggers,

We are about to say good riddance to Dorian. But, before we do, it as one more trick up its sleeve. Right now Dorian is racing towards southeast Canada as a category 1 hurricane.

Take a look at this. As Dorian affects Newfoundland and Labrador Sunday, it may produce snow! What a crazy storm.

Dorian will finally come apart Monday as it races east, south of Greenland.

Now let’s get to our weather for the weekend as we will be tracking a zone of heavy thunderstorms.

SATURDAY AFTERNOON: Hot and humid air will be surging north as you can see highs 95°-100° across southern Kansas. We will likely stay on the cooler side of the warm front with highs in the low 80s. A storm system will be tracking east-southeast into Nebraska from the northern Rockies. The storm system and warm front will generate thunderstorms tonight.

SATURDAY NIGHT AT 1 AM: Rain and thunderstorms will be widespread across northern Missouri with some extending south to I-70. There will be some very heavy downpours, loud booms of thunder and some wind gusts to 30-50 mph.

SUNDAY AT 7 AM: The main area of thunderstorms will be across central, eastern and northeast Missouri into eastern Iowa and much of Illinois. There may be a trail of scattered showers and thunderstorms along I-70.

SUNDAY AFTERNOON: A warm front will be setting up near I-70. South of the front it will be hot and humid with highs in the 90s. North of the front will see highs in the 70s and 80s. Also, along and north of the front there will be scattered showers and thunderstorms. This warm front will surge north Sunday night taking rain chances with it. Monday through Wednesday will be very warm, humid and breezy. Highs will be 85°-90° with lows around 70°.  A few showers and thunderstorms will be possible, mainly on Tuesday, as a weak disturbance tracks in from the southwest. A cold front arrives Thursday with a better chance of rain and thunderstorms.

RAINFALL FORECAST THROUGH MONDAY: If you need to fertilize, locations in northern Missouri have a nearly 100% chance to see some nice rain, maybe too heavy. If you live in between Kansas City and St. Joseph you have a pretty decent chance to get enough free water to wash in the fertilizer. If you live south of I-70, it is a gamble. Some locations south of I-70 may see .25″ to .50″, but no guarantee. Could the whole zone shift south? Yes, but at this time there is no strong indication of that happening.

Have a great weekend!

Jeff Penner

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Big JAndrew HInspectorKS JonesHeat Miser Recent comment authors
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Big J
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Big J

Feeling fortunate, only .7” at our place. Would be good till spring with no precipitation.

Friends in St Joe got a nice drink it appears.

Andrew H
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Andrew H

Waiting for the first real taste of fall.
A few cloudy days would be nice too.
Friday the 13th we get a full moon !

KS Jones
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KS Jones

On this date last year, our ytd precipitation north of Manhattan was 2.9” above average, and as I recall, KC’s was well below average, which indicates KC’s forecasts are not relevant to this climate zone.

Heat Miser
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Heat Miser

storms tonight…cool!

Inspector
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Inspector

Please live outside the internet

KirksvilleDave
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KirksvilleDave

The rainfall projection typifies this year’s LRC very well – Kirksville is on the sidelines, while NW to north Central MO are targets. Grass is drying up again & cracks are big in the yard. Any rain will be nice…

Johnny
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Johnny

Mf’n first!

Wesley
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Wesley

What an achievement you’ve made!