Hurricane Dorian USA Landfall Is So Close

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Good morning bloggers,

In today’s blog we will discuss the possible landfall of Hurricane Dorian, and look into thunderstorms near KC and the weather conditions for Sunday when most of the NFL games will kickoff.  A few of you have joined Tradewx.com, where you can purchase contracts and predict the landfall of these named tropical storms, high temperature, low temperatures, and precipitation.  As of early this morning, Hurricane Dorian has yet to make a USA Landfall.  It has come close to a landfall a few times, and it is about to move back out to sea.  Official landfall will be calculated by the National Hurricane Center, and speaking of “center”, it is considered landfall when the center of the eye crosses land, and this storm was close to landfall at just after 8 AM eastern time this morning.

7:30 AM Radar:

The official landfall is when the “L”,  you see on the above radar image, crosses the coast.  It may have touched the coast and we will wait on the official landfall designation from the National Hurricane Center.  It may or may not have made official landfall, and if it did not, it won’t have another chance as it exits the coast in the next few hours.  Cape Hatteras is getting battered by the eye wall with 75 to 100 mph winds and a strong storm surge.

  •  Landfall may have officially been recorded at 8:35 AM eastern (7:35 AM Central) time this morning.  We will get verification from the National Hurricane Center.

10:15 PM Thursday night

These two images above show that the eye of Hurricane Dorian was as close as 11 miles from making landfall on the North Carolina coast.  And it is close once again right now, as I was writing up this blog entry, as shown above.

Four Days Ago on Grand Bahama Island:

Four days ago Major Category 5 Hurricane Dorian did make landfall on the Grand Bahama Island, as you can see how powerful this storm was shown below:

Those two islands shown here have just been left devastated.  There is unimaginable damage in many spots and people are suffering this morning as help continues to arrive.  180 to 220 mph winds hit this island and from different directions as the eye tracked across Grand Bahama as shown above.  Our thoughts and prayers are with the the people experiencing this right now.

This weekend’s weather:

Last night, the Green Bay Packers beat the Chicago Bears 10-3 in a low scoring game.  Aaron Rogers and the Packers struggled on offense against a strong Bears defense, but one nice drive and some great passes from Rogers lead to the only touchdown of the game.  The Bears struggled to get anything going and 3 points will never get you a victory in the NFL.  Scoring three in soccer will get you a lot of wins, but not in the NFL.  The rest of the games will be played on Sunday. Take a look at Sunday’s forecast map from one of the models valid around kickoff of the early games Sunday:

An outflow boundary (indicated in the black dashed line over northeastern Kansas extending into central Missouri) may develop in response to a complex of thunderstorms that will be tracking across northern Missouri.  This will be an important feature to monitor as it will affect and influence the southward extent of rain chances near Kansas City.  The Chiefs are playing in Jacksonville, where there will be little wind and hot temperatures.  It will be in the middle to upper 90s over northern Florida Sunday which will have some impact on the players in that game. The only other influence I see is maybe a little rain around Seattle.  It will otherwise be a pretty uneventful weather day across the United States, with that exception near Kansas City.

For Kansas City, we will be monitoring Saturday nights thunderstorms closely.  There is a pretty good chance the thunderstorms will make their way south into the KC metro area by Sunday morning.

Thank you for sharing in this weather experience. We will be providing LRC Weather Insights to help you make business decisions.  Most of these weather insights will be for the next seven days, which is how Tradewx.com is set up, where predictions can be made for highs, lows, and precipitation for the next seven days.  For longer range insights, contact us at Weather2020.com, or email me at Gary@Weather2020.com and become an enterprise customer. We are currently providing valuable information for Fortune 50 companies and also smaller organizations.

Have a great weekend!

Gary

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Hockeynut69GaryJess GjerstadL.BJhawk95 Recent comment authors
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Hockeynut69
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Hockeynut69

Day 7 out of the 24 days for the prediction of 150%-200% of average rainfall and so far KCI has had 0.00”. The next 17 days will need to produce 8.50-11” for that prediction to come true. I am not seeing that happening, but I will kickback with my popcorn and watch the show to see if it happens.

Jess Gjerstad
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Jess Gjerstad

Mark my words! The LRC discovery is real-the weather patterns DO cycle in the upper levels of the atmosphere-it was designed this way. It is also possible to understand WHEN the new cycle will begin- look to an ancient calendar when tents are celebrated to know-but it will change every year according to the gregorian calendar. However, there will be an increasing number of situations (especially involving storms/violent weather) when they will erupt without warning (or predictable by the LRC) or LRC large upper air patterns that should produce violent weather won’t. Above this discovery (that you named the LRC)… Read more »

L.B
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L.B

Sounds like a warning shot across our bow! I worked Katina. I thought that would change peoples hearts but, it did not. Troubled .times are coming. I do not believe it has a thing to do with Climate change. good luck science!

David McGuire
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David McGuire

Gary, questions and observations. Right now we are in the last cycle of the pattern. A new one, as you describe will be upon us in the next 4 to 5 weeks. Do you have any thoughts on the effect hurricanes/tropical storms this time of year have on the formation of the new pattern. Do they advance or delay a pattern development? Enhance or weaken the new pattern?

Kaden (Liberty Missouri)
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Kaden (Liberty Missouri)

Hey Gary,
I’m going to the lake of the Ozarks with my grandparents this weekend. Do you know what the weather is going to be down there.
Have a great day,
Kaden

SnowGoPewPew
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SnowGoPewPew

Gary, I just wanted to point out that Aaron Rodgers has a “d” in his last name. 😀 I am a Packers fan and a Chiefs fan. I also love good ole fashion Defensive games since the NFL is now dominated by Offense. It is a nice throwback to the 60’s and 70’s when the NFL was about defense. Watching Dorian is just amazing, but with all the destruction a hurricane delivers is devastating. Not only having to deal with such a large storm, but the rain, sea water, wind, etc, plus the Tornados that can spawn is just unreal.… Read more »

Hockeynut69
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Hockeynut69

Things are looking dry again based on the models, it’s only showing 1-1.5” for the KC metro area over the next two weeks. That is not much for this time of year and disappointing for those of us that try to time things out for fertilizing and seeding. Will likely have to rely on the old sprinkler unless the LRC shows something different than the models. Happy Friday everyone!

Jaxon
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Jaxon

Landfall just occurred at Cape Hatteras.

Urbanity
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Urbanity

I was looking at Cape Hatteras conditions on the NOAA/NWS before I checked out your blog, they have not yet had sustained winds over 50 as of 7:51 this morning, and the highest gust was 74, but your getting reports that winds are 75-100?

f00dl3
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f00dl3

Is this extreme blog censorship the way of the future with TradeWx or is it just temporary? Really takes away from the community when you can’t talk about certain things in weather. Censoring the hate/negative comments is one thing, but censoring in general this is just not conducive to open discussion.

Three7s
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Three7s

Still can’t believe the Bears traded up to get Trubisky over Mahomes. The guy did the best Matt Cassel impersonation that I’ve ever seen last night.

Frankie
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Frankie

GO CHIEFS!!!

Snow Miser
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Snow Miser

Playing football in 90 degree weather with all that gear on doesn’t sound like much fun.

Nate
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Nate

Ugh. I’m already fed up with this hype and the season hasn’t even started. Why are American way behind in Math / Science? One theory is because of the extreme obsession with sports instead of academics. One of my neighbors pulled their kids out of Lees Summit schools for that very reason