Good morning bloggers,
Wow! What a night! The rain was still falling in Kansas City as I started writing this blog entry this morning. We have a lot to go over today, including an interesting concept of trading on the weather that I will finish this blog with today. Let’s begin with what I wrote over two weeks ago: “How much rain do you think will fall between now and the first day of fall, which is September 23rd? The same pattern that set up last fall will continue until right around that date, and then a massive transition takes place between September 23rd and October 7th. In those two weeks the new LRC will set up. So, let’s have another challenge. I am predicting 150 to 200 percent of average rainfall. Kansas City averages around 5.5 inches of rain between now and September 23: So my prediction is for somewhere between 8.25″ and 11.00″ of rain to fall at KCI Airport.”
So, my prediction range using the LRC is 8.25″ to 11.o0″, which is that 150 to 200 percent of average.
Rainfall So Far At KCI Airport:
- August 15: 0.26″
- August 16: 0.81″
- August 17: 0.72″
- August 18: 0.52″
- August 21: 0.09″
- August 22: 0.03″
- August 25: 0.97″
- August 26: 1.44″
- August 29: 1.56″
- August 30: 0.77″
Total So Far with 24 days left: 7.17″ as of 7 AM today. Eleven entries are already out of the contest. The rain is about to end this morning, and there is a chance of more rain tonight into Saturday, although the computer models have backed off of Saturday’s rain. Let’s see how it looks as the new data rolls in today.
Hurricane Dorian is now a strong Category 2 hurricane. It is going to take a left turn and likely begin moving due west over the weekend. The sooner it turns left, the more likely it will take aim on south Florida. Using the LRC, we have been expecting a farther south track as the steering currents aloft weaken. And, there will likely be a slowing down of Dorian. Dorian is likely going to become a Category 3, and then possibly a Category 4 Major Hurricane as it nears the Florida peninsula.
We have been expecting a left turn, and it should happen in the next day or so. If it turns faster, then Miami could be a target. I have been favoring West Palm Beach the entire time. Where do you think it will make landfall?
There is a new regulated trading platform for weather. Weather impacts businesses world wide from heat to cold, and from drought to floods. Hurricanes have extreme and disastrous effects on businesses and now there is a trading platform where you can purchase contracts, like stocks, but on weather. It is at Tradewx.com. Next week, our weather blog will begin a transition over to that platform, and I wanted to give you a heads up. It will allow us to share our LRC Weather Insights with a more national platform. Right now, you can purchase contracts on predicting where hurricane Dorian will make landfall. Here is a video:
Let us know what you think of this concept. We will share a lot more on this next week as we begin our transition over to that site.
Thank you for spending a few minutes of your day reading the Weather Blog featuring the LRC. Have a great day.