Thinking About The Top Events Of This Pattern

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Happy Friday bloggers,

Two weeks in a row, the models through us for a mind boggling loop of making us think we would break the ice and have at least adequate rainfall amounts.  What happened?  We ended up in the “dust” and it is now suddenly drier out there near KC.  Everything is still green, and we are moving into the second week of August, so not bad.  While we ponder the rain chances in the next week, and they are there, I would like to ask one big question and ask for your help.

What were the top weather events of this years LRC?  This weather pattern started in the first week of October and it will end in the first few days of October this year. It began with a bang, as 10″ of rain fell last October, then the earliest measurable snowfall in KC history, the blizzard, the 1 foot of snow near the south metro area on January 12th, the May 28th EF-4 tornado, and others.  What other events can you think of, and line them up into a top five or ten.  We will discuss next week.

Gary

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Bill in LawrenceMr. PeteBig JHeat MiserAndrew H Recent comment authors
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Bill in Lawrence
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Bill in Lawrence

Gary: Happy Saturday mornign to you sir!! A little late to the party but the most impacting weather events for Washington Creek Valley were the tornado and then the flood of July 31st in third place would be the 4 other floods in April, May and June. For sure though the tornado and the 10 inches of rain on July 31st are the biggest impacting. The blizzard was a cool weather event (especially for a snow nut as myself!!) but lets be honest for a winter event to rival a tornado or a flood it would have to be on… Read more »

Mr. Pete
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Mr. Pete

What about the record floods at the Kansas lakes? Many of these lakes are still at extreme high levels. Lake Perry set an all time high flood level this year. 921 feet just below the emergency spillway.

Big J
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Big J

10 inches of rain in Oct. 13 inches of rain in May. Sickening. Recent dry weather allowing some drying out. A blessing,

EastOfEden
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EastOfEden

1. All of November! A truly incredible month for all the winter-lovers of our city – it got us a great start on trying to make up for the three consecutive unwinters.

2. October rainstorm.

3. Tornado.

4. Record wet May.

5. Not really an event, but I’m amazed by how clear, obvious, and consistent this year’s pattern is. That’s all.

Blue Flash
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Blue Flash

I thought we were done with the 90’s for a while. They are returning with a vengeance, and high humidity as well.

Andrew H
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Andrew H

Last week the NWS said Sept 9 is average last day for 90 degrees.
Plus, a couple weeks ago Gary said we could have 1-2 more short heat waves.

Roger
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Roger

Looks like rain will be very sporadic this weekend. Maybe Tuesday night?

Nick
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Nick

For STJ I would say 1.March record Missouri river crest, 2. Nov. Blizzard. 3. “Polar vortex” cold blast, 4.snowy/icy winter, 5. Local dryness in the warm season compared to region popping up again.

MattinLV
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MattinLV

Is it me or does the humidity really feel sweaty today?

Kurt
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Kurt

Dew point is 71, it’s gross out with no wind

Urbanity
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Urbanity

Seems like years ago already but top weather story was the huge Oct rainfall, then the Tuttle Creek possible flooding, and the blizzard, but here in central Kansas was not real impactful as conditions were ridiculously bad only for 3-4 hours.. life as usual the next day.
BUT, closing fast is this impending drought, D1 posted yesterday, areas that miss this weekends weather will be at D2 by months end. That’s amazing considering where we were.

REAL HUMEDUDE
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REAL HUMEDUDE

Other patterning theorists have entertained notion the new pattern is already here. It began influencing Aug 1, and we are about 90% old pattern and 10% new, and keep sliding in that scale until 100% flip somewhere after that first 7-10 days in October. Makes some serious sense to me. I’ve always noticed big changes in that time period every year, even wet years turn dry or dry years turn wet in that period. At least you start to see glimmers of that change. It could be argued intelligently and with facts, that it’s that weakest point of the jet… Read more »

Jason
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Jason

Either that or 11″ of rain west of KC. Maybe Lawrence area doesn’t count as most of you live in KC

Jason
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Jason

Not sure how anything but the huge tornado that went south of Lawrence on towards Kansas City can be tops.

MMike
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MMike

Yep, we are running well below average in clay county, over 4 inches west of Liberty. We have now used just as much irrigation on our athletic fields as we did in the full blown drought last year. Most of the rains here(have been very few) and around the city came in boat loads since June 1st. Meaning, most of it rolled right off the top after the first inch or so. Its not how much rain, it’s what rate it falls and how often. (timing of it) As a company in the turf and landscape field, we have been… Read more »

MMike
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MMike

As far as my vote for what I think stood out the most in this pattern, has to be, hands down, the two snows in Nov. ending with a freak 5 hour blizzard on the 25th. That was quite impressive for the month of NOV.

Did you know that we did not have one accumulating snow in the month of Dec. Who would have bet on Oct. 31st that it would snow and accumulate in NOV. 3 times and no snow at all in Dec.

We all know what happened Jan/Feb/Mar…..it was a beautiful snowy stretch!!!

MMike
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MMike

Euro weeklies(long range outlook) very toasty for the plains for the rest of this month into Sept. Down right hot in Sept. Hope that is wrong.

Kurt
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Kurt

Hey there stranger! Miss your posts!

MMike
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MMike

Hi Kurt,

You were off to such a great start this year, wet winter, good slow melting snow, good rains in May, then, you lost your way again!

The dang St Joe curse…i’m Sorry my friend.I’m in the same boat, we got pretty dang dry here in June, July, and August. It’s weather, nothing we can do about it.

Hockeynut69
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Hockeynut69

I totally agree MMike! I am just a few miles north of Liberty and it has been dry. The only reason lawns are green here (many still have a lot of brown mixed in) is due to the homeowner watering. I also agree about the timing of rains. It has been feast or famine when they happen so it hasn’t been ideal for plants, trees, and grass. I have seen a lot of fungus in yards, lawn disease, and brown patch. The weeds however still seem to thrive. Hope we get some rain Sunday but the models haven’t been favorable… Read more »

Ted in STJoe
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Ted in STJoe

I would say the early winter events due to the record early snow. And the drought now impacting STJOR.

Roger
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Roger

Illinois DM:

https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/CurrentMap/StateDroughtMonitor.aspx?IL

July 16: D0 – 0%
July 23: D0 – 11.52%
July 30: D0 – 18.14%
August 7: D0 – 42.85%

Roger
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Roger

Iowa DM:

https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/CurrentMap/StateDroughtMonitor.aspx?IA

July 16: D0 – 0%
July 23: D0 – 11.23%
July 30: D0 – 23.48%
August 7: D0 – 36.39%

Ben
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Ben

Over 20 inches of rain from April 28-June 1 was a pretty significant weather event I would say

Roger
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Roger

Oklahoma DM:

https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/CurrentMap/StateDroughtMonitor.aspx?OK

July 9:
D0: 0.02%

July 16:
D0: 0.24%

July 23:
D0: 5.67%

July 30:
D0: 18.70%
D1: 5.67%

August 7:
D0: 45.45%
D1: 15.08%
D2: 3.70%

My how fast things change in the Plains.

Roger
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Roger

Kansas DM:

https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/CurrentMap/StateDroughtMonitor.aspx?KS

D0 dryness:
July 23: 0%
July 30: 16.48%
August 7: 27.28%

So, yeah, we need more rain in these areas.

Roger
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Roger

Hey. OKC finally got rain!

Wiley Post Airport: 4.07″
Tinker AFB: 1.08″
Will Rogers Airport: 0.65″

Still some wild differences!

LibertyWeatherGuy
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LibertyWeatherGuy

I would have to say the Thanksgiving Blizzard, because a blizzard in KC is rare and then so early in the winter season and definitely the big EF4 tornado and the destructive path it took, both are probably my number one. Second, the bomb cyclone and all the flooding that followed north of KC this spring. Third, all the rain back in October. Fourth all the snow we had over the winter season, my snow blower finally got a workout, me too. Fifth, a fairly wet spring for us up in the Liberty area, thank God because now we can’t… Read more »

WillyInTopeka
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WillyInTopeka

Top weather event for me was definitely the October rainfall. It’s easy to forget, but many areas were at or near D4 drought levels prior to that. Dryness like that can have major long term impacts and there’s nothing worse than losing trees to drought. Trees play such a major role in everything from landscaping to shelter to the environment. Plus that rain provided us with some truly epic fall color as it seemed like the leaves tried to stay on longer with the newfound moisture.

02906
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02906

Good call on the fall color!

John
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John

I would say the foot of snow in Jan. I have to say thanks for Gary for putting word out for that storm 2 weeks out. I unfortunately had to plan my mother’s funeral around that time. I moved it up to that Friday and towards the end of the service the sleet moved in and gave family enough time to travel back home before the worst came in.

The EF-4 would have been a top event not for that.

Three7s
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Three7s

I would say the EF4 monster wedge tornado has to be the top event of this LRC. The mid-November blizzard being a close second.

Heat Mizer
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Heat Mizer

GO RAMS!!!!! Mother nature appears to be a RAMS fan, looking at that satellite photo

Snow Miser
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Snow Miser

Problem is, the swirl is going the wrong direction:comment image

Heat Miser
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Heat Miser

D’OH!