Good morning bloggers,
Well, well, well! Here we are on this Thursday morning, August 1, 2019. Yes, it is a rare August 1st! I expected the band of very heavy thunderstorms to line up near the state line, and it did just that.
This radar image, above, shows another thunderstorm moving into Lawrence, KS. New thunderstorms were forming in a band north of Lawrence into the southeast corner of Nebraska. This zone has barely budged and we are now up to close to 9″ of rain in a few spots. Flash Flood Warnings are in effect in this narrow zone. Look at the rainfall totals:
It has been a frustrating last 12 hours for myself, and at the same time we need to let go of our personal experience of the rain coming down and realize how incredible this rainfall event is, and it is not even close to being done. This is also the target for tonights thunderstorms. There is a disturbance developing today. This disturbance will move towards Kansas City tonight. If it is a bit stronger than indicated here, then the rain will spread east a bit out over western Missouri. If it is a bit weaker, then the thunderstorms will once again target eastern Kansas.
If you live near or east of the state line it may be dry tonight as well. My confidence in Lawrence getting another 5″ to 10″ of rain is fairly high, and my confidence of Blue Springs getting only a few drops is also high. A slight shift east, and we could go from that few drops to 5 or 10 inches of rain. It is just incredibly difficult to predict that exact location. We predicted the amount of rain quite accurately, and at the same time, many of our yards may be dry when this system leaves the area by Saturday morning. Let’s see if there is any shift in the track.
Kansas City Weather Timeline:
- Today: Rain and thunderstorms ending on the Kansas side with total rainfall amounts near Lawrence reaching close to 10″. Farther east it will be dry. High: 79°
- Tonight: 5 to 10 more inches of rain possible in the same area that got hit last night. It may shift a bit, so we will monitor it closely. Low: 64°
- Friday: Rain and thunderstorms likely west of the state line, and dry east of the state line. The counties on the state line will be on the edge of the rain. High: 78°
- Saturday: The wind shifts to the north and the rain ends early to the south, and it stays dry to the northeast.
Thank you for sharing in this weather experience. Have a great day!