Good morning bloggers,
A rather fascinating weather pattern is in the process of setting up across the plains today. Excessive rainfall will be the biggest result from this set-up across the plains with impacts coming in the form of flash flooding and rising rivers once again. The amount of rain will likely be quite extreme in a few spots as thunderstorms train from north-northwest to south-southeast tracking over the same spots for hours at a time. The next two nights into the following mornings are the most likely time periods for the heavy rain. The zone is already showing itself this morning with rain and thunderstorms near KC already.
The developing surface pattern:
Temperatures will be rising to around 105°, or possibly even higher in the warm sector of this developing surface pattern. At the same time it will likely be in the 60s in the rain areas. This large summer temperature contrast will lead to a zone of thunderstorms and it just happens to be setting up right near the Kansas/Missouri state line. There will likely be a zone within 50 miles of KC, and possibly right over the KC metro area, that ends up with close to 10″ of rain in the next three days.
This is just too much rain, and the water will be flowing into the creeks and rivers, which will lead to flooding. Flash flooding is also likely in areas that have over 2″ of rain in one hour, which will easily be the rainfall rates in the heavier thunderstorms.
We will be monitoring this closely. The heat and the high humidity are combining to produce the conditions for this very heavy rainfall event.
Have a great day and thank you for sharing in this weather experience. Let us know if you have any questions.