Tropical Storm Barry Begins Intensifying

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Good morning bloggers,

Kansas City’s weather could not be any calmer.  High pressure is overhead, and it is going to stay overhead in response to Tropical Storm Barry’s influence.  And, then we are monitoring the track of Barry. The NAM model has been consistently turning Barry towards KC, while most other models head it off towards eastern Missouri.  We will be monitoring this closely.  As we dry out for a few more days, remember the “blizzard part of the cycling pattern” is due back in before the end of the month. That part of the pattern has produced significant precipitation in every cycle.

Tropical Storm Barry Intensifies:

Why do cumulus clouds grow?  When the air is forced to rise, condensation occurs.  Every time water vapor condenses into tiny cloud droplets heat is released. This heat that is released causes even stronger rising motion and the cloud will grow with additional condensation causing the clouds to build.  A thunderstorm releases a lot of heat, and then eventually the cloud may start producing rain, or encounter drier air, and the evaporation causes the cloud to cool. This evaporation is the exact opposite of condensation and the cloud or thunderstorm will gradually dissipate.  When thunderstorms form over the center of the developing tropical system, the tremendous heat released will help cause the pressures to fall and the storm will intensify.  Thunderstorms are now forming over the center of Barry, as of 7 to 8 AM and Barry will now go through an organizing phase.  There is still a chance it could become a minimal hurricane as it moves inland by tomorrow morning.

Thank you for spending a few minutes of your day reading the weather blog featuring the LRC.  Have a great Friday!

Gary

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EastOfEdenMax CooperTed in STJoeREAL HUMEDUDEKirksvilleDave Recent comment authors
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EastOfEden
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EastOfEden

Anyone know what’s causing the current air quality rating?

Max Cooper
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Gary,
Please remind me (us) what your hurricane predictions were this year. I am also curious what was going on in the gulf region the previous cycles this year.

REAL HUMEDUDE
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REAL HUMEDUDE

Barry looking rather unimpressive at the moment, circulation is devoid of thunderstorms and it’s most impressive band is over Florida. Not sure how this thing can produce 10″ rains when it hardly producing showers in LA. The rain yesterday could be the biggest event they get outta this thing, unless it starts to get its act together in the near term

f00dl3
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f00dl3

Barry has stalled and is shifting due west now.

Andrew H
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Andrew H

Nope. Not cat 1 yet. My bad

Andrew H
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Andrew H

Barry is cat 1 now

craig
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craig

12z GFS starting to move toward the NAM track of Barry. Maybe we’ll get some moisture?

Fred Souder
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Fred Souder

Gary, When a thunderstorm grows up into dry air, the edges of the clouds intruding into the dry air begin evaporating, which causes cooling as you say. This creates a greater temperature difference between the core of the storm and the periphery and top, which creates more lift. As long as there is a moisture flow available from the surface this makes the storms even stronger. That is one of the reasons that the thunderstorms forming in tornado alley become more severe. Especially in early to mid spring, when the upper level air coming from over the mountains are slightly… Read more »

Jhawk95
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Jhawk95

Can someone post the NAM model showing the track of Barry headed into the Kansas City area please?

Johnny
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Johnny

Jeez, weather channel has 100 here by next weekend..

thetophat
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thetophat

Just wait. I have a feeling sometime the first two to three weeks of August that extreme heat Europe and Alaska has experienced will make its way here……………perhaps something along the lines of what happened August 1 2011? Obviously all years’ weather patterns are unique but we have seen some commonality between 2011 and this year.

KirksvilleDave
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KirksvilleDave

What’s interesting is that while parts of Europe are in extreme heat, parts of Northern Europe are cooler than usual. I have relatives in Sweden, & they are usually in the 70’s; they’ve been having 50’s & 60’s. Some friends near St. Petersburg Russia are having lows in the mid to lower 40’s – not typical for summer there, either.

Ted in STJoe
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Ted in STJoe

I think we are in for 100-106 degree temps. Remember heat breads drought and drought breeds heat. As we have both they will overcome the last wet cycle as this cycle starts to give way to a new one two weeks is August and the cycle begins to break down IMO

REAL HUMEDUDE
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REAL HUMEDUDE

The trough that never moves……morphed into the ridge that never moves!
We should get some precip by last week of July, Alot like when we got very little throughout April until we got big rains In last few days.

Urbanity
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Urbanity

Gary, are you going to do the rainfall prediction game again for the rest of July? I think you might see some guesses a lot lower than last month.

craig
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craig

A great look at Barry
comment image

Nate
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Nate

Looks fake to me

Bill in Lawrence
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Bill in Lawrence

Gary: Happy Friday to you sir!! A quick check in from Washington Creek Valley. We received .24 from the line of storms on Tuesday. (in town got a bit more) Combine that with the rain on July 4th and we .60 for the month of July and .70 since June 24th. Which is .70 more than we picked up in the same time period last year. While we have for sure dried out here it is so much better than last year at this time…it is not even comparable. Dry though we may be, the grass is still growing like… Read more »