Good morning bloggers,
Last night on 41 Action News (KSHB.com) I discussed the “blown forecast” from yesterday mornings line of thunderstorms. Did we really blow it? I would say yes and no. It is a big yes because I downplayed it the night before, and the other weather forecast outlets and our team didn’t Nowcast very well at 2 to 4 AM when it was rather obvious it had a high chance of moving into KC. Watch:
Now, I was up early, and started the blog with a NOWCAST of us watching the area heading to KC. Since we had been being missed as of late, I wondered if this thunderstorm complex would follow the fate of the other ones. Well, it didn’t and my own personal Nowcasting narrowed in on this making it to KC only around two hours before it hit. Then, one thunderstorm blew up and intensified, bowed out over the city with high winds and power outages. So, it just made it stand out more. When thunderstorms are moving in from the northwest at this time of the year, you have to have a chance of thunderstorms in the forecast, and then do your best at Nowcasting. Does that make sense?
Tropical Storm Barry:
Barry is forming today, and it doesn’t have a lot of time to intensify. Barry will be strengthening as it turns into Louisiana. Now, Barry isn’t even “Barry” yet. The storm needs to have 35 knot winds organized around the center for it to become a named storm, and the National Hurricane Center will likely name Barry tonight.
Barry will have to track farther west than that cone shown here for any significant impacts near the KC region. Right now, it appears the track will be towards southeast Missouri. The impact will be in the form of high pressure and sinking air, which is bringing us a dry stretch for a few days.
Thank you for spending a few minutes reading the blog this morning. Have a great day!