Good morning bloggers,
If your lawn needed a good drink of water, this mornings band of weak rain showers and a few small thunderstorms may not be able to do it. Rainfall amounts will likely be rather low this morning:
This mornings radar showed a thin band of showers moving in this morning, and it also shows thunderstorms forming over the Gulf of Mexico. The Gulf is being monitored closely this week for some tropical development.
We were tracking a large area of rain and thunderstorms last night in Nebraska and northwest Kansas and it fell apart as it approached our area this morning. This has been happening quite a bit the last 2-3 weeks for northwest Missouri. It has not been for a lack of rain chances. Look at how much rain has fallen since July 3rd. 2″ to 6″ of rain has fallen from the Dakotas to Nebraska to central, southeast Kansas to southwest Missouri. South and southwest Nebraska has seen an area of 10″ to 15″, while northwest Missouri has seen a trace to .25″. So, if you missed the rain, you will need to water as rain chances are dwindling.
We are now tracking a cold front and potential tropical system.
A cold front will sweep through around noon Wednesday. There will be some showers and thunderstorms along it in Nebraska, but, yes as the front gets close, the thunderstorms will likely dissipate. So, the chance of rain tomorrow is 20% or less, which is hard to believe with all of the heat and humidity out there. It will be a steam bath today and Wednesday with highs near 90° and heat indices around 100°.
THURSDAY-FRIDAY: A surface high pressure will take control which means great summer weather. It will be mostly sunny, warm, and much less humid. Highs will be 80°-85° with lows in the 60s.
SATURDAY-SUNDAY: While we stay dry and become hot there will likely be a tropical system churning in the northern Gulf of Mexico. Its name will be Barry and has a chance to become a hurricane. The end of the weekend into next week it will likely turn north and head into the middle of the USA. Very heavy rain will occur where it tracks. It is very early, but most likely it will track into Arkansas, eastern Missouri and points east, missing our region. There is a slight chance it comes farther west, we will be watching this closely. If we miss the remnants, it could be dry for the next 7-10 days as the fronts stay north.
Have a great rest of your day.
Gary and Jeff