Great Summer Weather then Changes

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Good Sunday bloggers,

The rain on Saturday evening was across southeast Kansas, missing KC by two counties. This was great news for the air show and Sporting KC game. Today will see some very nice weather and then we will track a few disturbances and cold front.

There has been plenty of rain the last few days, but some have been deluged while others have seen a few drops. The heaviest rain has occurred from western South Dakota to southwest Missouri. Northwest Missouri has seen the least.

When we zoom into our area, look at the disparity. We showed a table yesterday, and here it is in map form. 4″ to 8″ of rain occurred from around Greenwood, MO to south of Clinton, MO. Overland Park saw around .50″ with northern Platte county seeing under .25″. These are radar estimated totals, so your rain gauge may read different.

Let’s go day by day through Wednesday as we track a few disturbances, a warm front and cold front.

SUNDAY: It will be a nice summer day with highs in the 80s. A few showers and thunderstorms will be possible from southeast Kansas to the Ozarks. The weather looks great for the air show, watching the US Women’s soccer game out at Power and Light, and any other outdoor activities.

MONDAY: We will likely stay dry in our area with increasing clouds and highs in the 80s. Rain and thunderstorms will become widespread across the western Plains as a larger disturbance heads east out of the Rockies. The disturbance originated in Mexico.

TUESDAY MORNING: The thunderstorms will be approaching or already be here. A warm front will be forming to the south as well.

TUESDAY AFTERNOON: This data has the rain and thunderstorms here during the afternoon. This is entirely possible, but it may be mostly a morning and early afternoon event. We can time this out better on Monday. The warm front will surge through after the thunderstorms, leading to a very humid and warm later afternoon and evening. The sooner the thunderstorms exit, the warmer it will become.

TUESDAY NIGHT-WEDNESDAY MORNING: The next chance of thunderstorm arrives as a disturbance and cold front head our way.

WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON: The front will push through ending the rain chances and dropping the humidity. The rain and thunderstorms will either precede or accompany the front. This front will lead to some spectacular summer weather Thursday and Friday with highs in the 80s, lows in the 60s, abundant sunshine and lower humidity.

Total rainfall through Wednesday will be as low as .05″ to .50″ in some locations to .50″ to 3″ in other locations. Who will see the heaviest rain? It will have to be determined one event at a time as it is always a challenge on where the heaviest thunderstorms will set up.

I hope you had a great and safe July 4th weekend.

Have a great week ahead.

Jeff Penner

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Big J
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Big J

I’m hoping for .00” through August but will mow tomorrow in case the yard turns into a swamp again. Hot and dry is great.

REAL HUMEDUDE
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REAL HUMEDUDE

Another .6″ late last night at the farm. Since last Tuesday we’ve had 4″, it’s Absolutly saturated and I see more storms trying to fire up right now to my west and north. I’ll bet you it rains on me some more again today…….. need it to stop already! 😧

Kurt
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Kurt

Farmers in northern Missouri are starting to comment on dryness up here. Corn is tasseling and needs rain, so do the beans that went in late in mid June. I’d be thrilled with 2 to 3 inches of rain over several days so I don’t have to water the yard and gardens. Already see browning in non irrigated yards.

I’m ready for the new lrc and maybe we’ll finally get an exciting pattern and set some records up here

Jeff
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Jeff

Thanks for the update. In Richmond, MO we are in the area that has been much drier. Only 0.28″ rain fell from Thursday – Saturday.

Johnny
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Johnny

I would say people SE of the metro will get most of it.

Heat Miser
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Heat Miser

…and you are basing that on…

Johnny
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Johnny

Ha, just the way things have gone with this lrc

Hockeynut69
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Hockeynut69

Good write up today Jeff! The airshow was great yesterday. I have seen the Blue Angels at least a dozen times and it never gets old!

Adam
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Adam

Can’t wait to go today.

Mr. Pete
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Mr. Pete

What time did they fly yesterday?

Hockeynut69
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Hockeynut69

Sorry just checked back in. 3pm

George
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George

They are great. I grew up on the Ortega River in Jacksonville across from NAS Jax in the 70’s when they were stationed there and saw them all the time either practicing or when they would do an air show at the base.