Longest Dry Spells Of This Year’s LRC

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Good morning bloggers,

We have just experienced the wettest first half of a year in Kansas City’s Recorded History:

The thunderstorms completely missed Kansas City yesterday, and this makes this current dry spell at two days in a row without even a trace of rain.  The longest dry spell in this year’s LRC (An LRC Year is October 5 of the previous year to October 4 of the current year) is eleven days with just a trace and ten days with no rain at all:

Longest Dry Spells In This Year’s LRC:

  • 12 days:  December 7-18 with a TRACE
  • 10 days:  April 7-16 with Zero
  • 6 days:  January 1-6 with TRACE
  • 6 days:  May 31-June5 with TRACE
  • 5 days:  October 20-24 with Zero
  • 5 days:  November 13-17 with Zero
  • 5 days: March 4-8 with Zero
  • 5 days:  May 13-17 with Zero

So, as you can see, we have not gone longer that 12 days with no rain.  How long will this dry spell last?  Could it be just a few more hours, or could this be the longest dry spell of this year’s LRC?  Well, look at this mornings radar:

This area of thunderstorms was still heading our way as of 7:45 AM.  I am expecting it to fall apart before it gets to KC, but it is an example of how easy it is to rain at this time of the year. There is moisture always available now and we just need a weak disturbance and rain will form, like what we see here.

The GFS Rainfall Forecast from the 1 AM Computer Model Run:

Well, the data that just came in overnight shows another 3 to 6 inches of rain in our area during the next 15 days.   The LRC supports a wet July ahead of us with, what Jeff and I have called, “the trough that doesn’t move” part of the pattern developing after around the 4th of July.  So, we are expecting some good chances of heavy thunderstorms returning soon.  For now, let’s see what happens with this current area of rain and see how long this small dry spell becomes before the rain returns.

Have a great day,

Gary

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KS JonesAndrew HDylRich (east of Topeka)Nate Recent comment authors
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Andrew H
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Andrew H

Gary

Have you seen this. It was on facebook.
“Europe is currently under historically strong upper ridge.
Sounding from Payerne, Switzerland just recorded 500-hPa height of 5987 gpm, which is hands down the highest reading ever recorded in Switzerland (soundings began in 1943).”

KS Jones
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KS Jones

The ytd rainfall here (25 miles north of Manhattan) is 24.7”. The month of May was wet, but June has been dry. We got only 0.8” of rain out of six events from June 1st through June 20th. Then we picked up 3.49” out of four events from the 21st through the 25th, bringing our June-to-date rainfall to 4.29”. We would need an additional 1.11” in the next four days to bring our June total up to average, and that looks unlikely.

Rich (east of Topeka)
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Rich (east of Topeka)

GARY – How did Spooky’s derogatory comment towards all farmers, with foul language in it, get through your moderation?? You have stated repeatedly in the last few months that all comments are being moderated to produce a more positive experience. That certainly wasn’t a very positive experience for me to read that garbage!!

Andrew H
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Andrew H

I could be wrong but I think Gary is the sole moderator. and he told sports radio 810 this morning that he is off work today. I imagine he will zap it when he sees it.
Spooky is a troll every time. Don’t know why he is even allowed on here. Maybe if we protest enough he will be permanently gone.

Rich (east of Topeka)
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Rich (east of Topeka)

Yea, I can see that. The messages against farmers, and really any of the derogatory stuff, just gets old. Especially when it seemed messages were being held there for a while when he was stating in each blog about there being a delay in your messages showing up etc. Maybe they’ve just relaxed that a bit now.

Mr. Pete
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Mr. Pete

A wet July? Will this ever end?

Heat Miser
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Heat Miser

never

Troy
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Troy

Thunderstorms blew up over S Nebraska yesterday afternoon and moved SE into my area. Unfortunately a lot of hail with it which wiped out about a 8 mile strip of corn and beans in Jewell and Republic Counties. Some corn was 5 ft tall yesterday is nothing but stumps this morning.

Jeff
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Jeff

Any of the hail south of Randall?

KS Jones
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KS Jones

Got strong wind as it approached, Then lightning with 0.1” of sprinkles with no wind at all as the storm system split around us.

Spooky
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Spooky

My experience with farmers is that they bitch about the weather, no matter what the weather is.

John
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John

You must not have any experience with farmers then, because that is definitely not all they do. Hail can do damage to anything if the hailstones are big enough. Can definitely level some cropland though.

Heat Miser
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Heat Miser

he’s a troll

Jason
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Jason

Well that was a really crappy thing to say. Good lord man

Nate
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Nate

They do a darn good job of destroying bird hunting land as well

Dyl
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Dyl

What do you do for a living that makes you feel all high and mighty towards people that produce material that you need to survive?

Farmgirl
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Farmgirl

Rain didn’t miss south of the metro. Picked up another .35 of an inch of rain early this morning. I wouldn’t know what to do without walking through mud every single day.

Kathy
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Kathy

As a weather novice, could someone explain the difference for me between a “ridge” and an “anticyclone” during the summer months? My uneducated assumption of both is that they deflect storms away from an area and make things hot. So, if the air is juicy like it is this week, I assume that a ridge will still allow disturbances to come through and interact with all of this moisture, but that the same would not happen with an anticyclone? And with this year’s LRC, is the threat of anticyclone minimal in this part of the country for the duration of… Read more »

steve p
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steve p

Thought I’d hate all this rain but I dont. I love it! Everything’s green, heats down, power bill down and no big mosquito problem (yet). When it was 58F other night and dry, sleeping in the 3-season was heavenly.

Austin Braddock
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Austin Braddock

What’s the total rainfall for competition?

Mike
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Mike

Gary. Why do the dry spells not fit into the lrc? They are all over the place.

mizzoufan_87
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mizzoufan_87

Definitely NOT excited about the heat this weekend.

EastOfEden
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EastOfEden

I suppose maybe this is the late-January warm spell (26th to 28th) – then maybe a quick cooldown, and heat again, and then back to mild summer.

SnowGoPewPew
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SnowGoPewPew

Looks like some thunderstorms are moving southeast now from Nebraska, it looks like they may make it to the metro.

Heat Mizer
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Heat Mizer

Looks more like it’s move east to me.