Daily or Every Other Day Thunderstorms Returning

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Good Tuesday night bloggers,

Before we discuss the weather, here is a picture of Jupiter and it’s 4 largest moons taken last night by a friend of mine in Arizona. He says he used a Nikon scope on his Pixel 3.

This is really cool. You could see Jupiter last night quite clearly with the naked eye, but binoculars or how my friend did it is required to see the moons. If you had a telescope they say you could see some detail on Jupiter. It was at its closest point to Earth last night, but you can still get a view like this all month. There is a problem, a clear sky is going to be an issue on many nights as the weather pattern becomes active again.

We are tracking a series of disturbances rotating southeast around a developing main system in the upper Midwest. A few showers and thunderstorms may enter northwest Missouri and northeast Kansas this evening, but the lead activity will try to fall apart. The main show tonight occur around or after midnight as a few of these disturbances consolidate ahead of a cold front.

TONIGHT: The main area of rain and thunderstorms will cross the region between about 10 PM and 5 AM from northwest to southeast. A few thunderstorms may contain small hail and very heavy downpours, but we do not expect severe weather. Total rainfall be .25″ to 1.25″.

WEDNESDAY MORNING: The main rain will be exiting to the east, leaving damp to wet roads for the morning rush hour. There may be lingering showers as we await the cold front.

WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON: The cold front will have swept through making for a windy, cooler and partly to mostly cloudy afternoon. There will be scattered showers and thunderstorms. They will be small and brief, but could briefly be heavy with small hail. The scattered thunderstorms will exit quickly after 5-6 PM. The wind will come down as well, so tomorrow evening will be fairly nice.

THURSDAY MORNING: It will be clear with a light wind along with a cold air mass for June in place. We have a chance to tie or break a record low. If we do not tie or break the record, we will come close. Thursday afternoon will be spectacular with sunshine, a light wind, low humidity and highs in the 70s.

Here we go again. The pattern of thunderstorms every day or every other day will begin Friday and last around 10 days. These thunderstorms will be more widespread and very heavy. Some severe weather will be possible as well.

Here is the rainfall forecast through next Friday, which is the first day of summer. 3″ to 6″ of rain is likely from Kansas to Ohio. There will be locations that see 5″ to 15″ of rain. This data has the heaviest from eastern Kansas to southwest Missouri. The bulls eye location is not set in stone. Also, the timing of the thunderstorms each day will have to be taken one day at a time as this is an active pattern. Timing and tracking all of these disturbances along with frontal positions will not be easy.

Have a great Wednesday and rest of your week.

Jeff Penner

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Johnny
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Johnny

Lawd please give kurt in st Joe some rain

KS Jones
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KS Jones

Galileo discovered the clockwork motions of the moons of Jupiter, and for many years they were used by surveyors (like Zebulon Pike) to determine longitude.

https://books.google.com/books?id=1rPRAAAAMAAJ&pg=PA576#v=onepage&q&f=true
LETTER, PIKE TO WILKINSON.
To show you how to correct your watch by the quadrant, after it has been carefully adjusted, preparatory to your observing the eclipses of the satellites of Jupiter, I send you a very simple plan, which you will readily understand: a basin of water, in some place protected from the motion of the air, will give you a fairer artificial horizon than mercury.

KS Jones
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KS Jones

The letter I cited above was actually from Wilkinson to Pike.
Here’s an excerpt from Pike’s letter to Wilkinson pertaining to the moons of Jupiter.
https://books.google.com/books?id=1rPRAAAAMAAJ&pg=PA578#v=onepage&q&f=true
LETTER, PIKE TO WILKINSON.
Camp Independence, near the Osage towns
August 28th, 1806
Since our arrival here I have ascertained the variation of the compass to be 6° 30′ E.; the latitude, by means of several observations, 37° 26′ 17″ N.; and by an observation on three different nights I obtained two immersions of Jupiter’s satellites, which will enable us to ascertain every geographical object in view.

Mr. Pete
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Mr. Pete

First?