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Good Sunday bloggers,

We are going to have an interesting and rare June day. A strong June cold front will move through during the early afternoon without much rain. But, there will be clouds, a north wind gusting to 20-30 mph and a temperature drop from 75°-80° to the 60s and low 70s. It is not easy to see falling temperatures during the afternoon in June without much rain.

Early Sunday morning it was in the 30s across western South Dakota and Wyoming.

The front is moving through with little rain as it is running into an area of subsidence (sinking air). This sinking air prevents thunderstorm development and makes it tough for rain and thunderstorms to survive. This sinking air is being caused by a storm system stuck in the Midwest as the system from the west is moving east. In between the two storm systems you have sinking air, but the zone is hardly moving due to the storm to the east. So, when the thunderstorms move east and encounter this zone, they fall part or turn away. This is great news for all of the Sunday outdoor events, such as the Dog n Jog, Head for the Cure bike race and the Royals game.

SUNDAY AFTERNOON: The front will be on our doorstep at noon. It will be mostly cloudy with temperatures reaching their high for the day of 75°-80°. The front will sweep across the region during the early afternoon with clouds, wind and temperatures falling to the 60s by 5-7 PM. The rain chances are low, but a shower can’t be ruled out.

MONDAY MORNING: It will be clear and refreshing with less wind. Lows will be 50°-55°. The record low is 47°. When you have near record lows in June, July and August that means comfortable!

MONDAY AFTERNOON: You can’t ask for much nicer weather. It will be sunny, with a light breeze, low humidity and highs in the 70s.

TUESDAY: We will have another nice day with increasing clouds as another system and cold front approach from the northwest. You can see the high at Dodge City which is near 90°. This next front will prevent that heat from heading our way.

TUESDAY NIGHT-WEDNESDAY: Our one main rain chance through Thursday is during this time as the front moves by. We are not expecting severe weather and rainfall will be .10″ to 1″.

THURSDAY: Eight days before summer begins we will see lows around 50° and highs 70°-75°.

JUNE 14-20: The daily, wet weather will return. This is a map showing the rainfall forecast between June 9 and 20. 2″ to 5″ of rain is likely from Kansas to Ohio, and across the southern Plains. Even though this is a 10 day rainfall forecast, most of it occurs in the last 5 days. So, here we go again. This data has less rain across the Missouri river basin, but we shall see about that.

Have a great week.

Jeff Penner

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Roger
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Roger

At least we can be thankful that we don’t live in south Texas. They have had afternoon temperatures from 95-110 F and heat indices of 110-120 F!!!!!

Roger
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Roger

Our local Mets in Wichita are forecasting dry weather from June 15-18 (end of their 10 day forecast). Are they totally out to lunch? Or is it the LRC cycle?

EastOfEden
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EastOfEden

17th-19th is around when the end-of-April deluge returns. I believe it’s the “bomb cyclone” part of the pattern.

Emaw
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Emaw

Funny how different outlets deliver basically the same forecast but in a completely different tone.

Heat Miser
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Heat Miser

how so?

Mr. Pete
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Mr. Pete

Maybe because different people deliver it?

Frankie
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Frankie

This is near perfect weather,. Not ideal summer heat, but the high 70s and lows in the 50s, can’t complain.

Andrew H
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Andrew H

Not complaining at all, just curious. This past week through today was forecast to be wet ( here on the blog). What happened.
We didn’t need more rain. Glad to see it drying out.

Kurt
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Kurt

Who is we? I could use s couple inches of rain, drying out up here. Thankful for cooler temps hopefully won’t stress things out.

Andrew H
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Andrew H

As I said just curious why all the rain that was forecast didn’t happen.

I know some still need rain Kurt. Seems like you always need it. Sorry but what is the norm up there.
It’s actually been drier here in central JoCo for a couple of weeks now. But it’s nearly summer so that is expected. It’s still better than last year when we started burning up May 1st.

John
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John

Kurt lives in the Great Desert that I bet many didn’t know was just north of the city about 50 miles. It is a vast area that never sees enough rainfall even though everyone in every direction has been way above average for the year.

Kurt
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Kurt

Hey John, why don’t you look up rainfall year to date? I just stated my area could use a good rain. Hope hay gets done then we get some rains up here. I don’t rag in others if they gripe about swampy yards.

You’re a jerk

John
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John

Almost 10″ in the last 37 days isn’t exactly a dry period. Don’t worry I looked it up so that is well above average for the last 30 days in St. Joseph.

Kurt
Guest
Kurt

That’s funny then we’d only had 6 inches before that from January 1st until 10 days ago. Our area has had 15-18 inches since January 1st, much better than each of last two years but no where near being too wet. That’s the point I’m trying to make. Others want to criticize. You end you with 4 or 5 guy’s commenting and drive everyone else away

Kurt
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Kurt

I meant until 37 days ago

Greenhead
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Greenhead

Now that’s funny. He always seems to think drought is present

Kurt
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Kurt

It’s fairly easy for any avid weather blogger to look Year to date precipitation totals and last 30 day or 60 days. We’re not hurting yet but my immediate area could use a really nice rain.

Andrew H
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Andrew H

Have no idea where you are Kurt, but it seems to be somewhere in no-mans land near St. Joe.
So no, not easy to look it up.
And an avid weather blogger I am not. So, there’s that too.
Have a good one Kurt. And hope you get some rain soon.

Kurt
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Kurt

Look up official NWS location, I’m not too much different in amounts and there’s no way anywhere in Buchanan county got 10 inches of rain since May 1st, Joe’s number is wrong

John
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John

My number is from April 29th, because that is when the active part of the pattern started again. I added up all the rainfall totals reported at the airport from that date, which is 9.75″. Sure that is not the 15-20″ amounts that everyone else has seen, but you act like you haven’t received meaningful rainfall in weeks.

Kurt
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Kurt

That’s what I’m tryig to point out, and we actually haven’t had an inch of rain since Memorial Day

Kurt
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Kurt

That’s an inch of rain total so yes it’s getiing into weeks.

Blue Flash
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Blue Flash

Cold front has passed through but it’s going to take a while to scour out this humidity.

j-ox
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j-ox

I saw the radar last night and Western Kansas was getting pounded.