Nice Weekend Weather with a Strong June Cold Front

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Good Sunday bloggers,

Before we get into the weather, Gary and Andy are in Paris and got to see the Eiffel Tower. Wow! Absolutely gorgeous.

Today we are in between two storm systems. There is one bringing much needed rain to the southeast USA and a second bringing snow to the northern Rockies. The storm to the west will move east, while the storm to the east sits there through Sunday. This means we are going to be in area of subsidence this weekend. Subsidence is downward motion also known as sinking air. This prevents major thunderstorms and precipitation from forming and/or surviving. This will be a crucial factor in the Sunday forecast.

SATURDAY: It will be very nice with highs in the 80s as we see rain and thunderstorms along and east of the Mississippi river. Thunderstorms will form this afternoon and evening from the Dakotas to northwest Kansas along the approaching strong June cold front. We are in a zone of nice weather in between the storm systems.

SUNDAY MORNING: The cold front will be on our doorstep around noon. Temperatures will warm to around 80° by noon, but there will be a lack of thunderstorms along the front as we remain in a zone of sinking air in between the two storm systems. We will see some clouds around and the rain to the west will not make it here. 9 times out of 10 when you have thunderstorms in the morning, during June, in Nebraska and central Kansas they will make it to our area. Not this time, due to the sinking air.

This is good news for the Head for the Cure Bike Race that starts at 9 AM.

SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING: The cold front will sweep through with low clouds, wind and perhaps a shower. Winds will pick up from the north to 15-30 mph. Temperatures will drop as well. It is not easy to see falling afternoon temperatures in June. Temperatures around 5 PM will range from the low 60s in northeast Kansas to 80s in central Missouri. We will see temperatures dropping back to the low 70s and into the 60s here in KC. 9 times out of 10 when you have a cold front this strong sweeping through during a June afternoon you get heavy to severe thunderstorms. But, the sinking air continues, so we may see a shower. The storm to the east is still sitting there as the storm from the west approaches.

MONDAY MORNING: It will be refreshing with lows in the low to mid 50s. The record low is 47° set back in 1988. When you come close to or have record lows in June, that means you are in for some comfortable conditions.

MONDAY AFTERNOON: It will be about as nice as it can get with sunshine, a light wind and low humidity as a surface high pressure takes control. Highs will be in the 70s. The storm to the west will pick up the storm to the east and they will both exit the eastern USA Tuesday.

RAINFALL FORECAST THE NEXT 5 DAYS: This is more good news. Rainfall across the middle of the USA will be .25″ to 1.50″. This will really help out the river flooding. We are still in an active weather pattern and the bigger thunderstorms will return in about 7-10 days. So, let’s enjoy this nice weather.

Have a great weekend.

Jeff Penner

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KurtRogerREAL HUMEDUDEKS JonesHeat Miser Recent comment authors
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Kurt
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Kurt

I want more rain, again a “great” weather pattern that doesn’t only results in a normal precipitation pattern in my immediate area. If farmers that aren’t flooded in the low lying areas near rivers don’t get their farming done in the next few days they’re missing out. Seem many fields getting planted the last two days and lots of hay down. Sucks that we get these long dry stretches, hopefully it will stay relatively cool so plants and yards don’t suffer. Started watering the new grass to stay ahead of the lack of rain. Top soil is dry up here

Roger
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Roger

Local Mets in Wichita say next Saturday thru Tuesday (June 15-18) will be dry and warm (upper 80’s). Would this coincide to the LRC cycle?

REAL HUMEDUDE
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REAL HUMEDUDE

Keep it DRY!
I got around 13″ in May, and currently sitting at 30.5″ year to date. I’m hoping to get massive amounts of hay baled this week. Farmers need it dry for a little bit, hay season here and lots and lots of planting still needs done

Kurt
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Kurt

St Joseph only received between 7 and 8 inches in May and I’ve onlr had .15 in the last 11 days. We’re at 15.6 inches year to date slightly above normal. A little dissapointed after the hype of a wet weather pattern. This is just a normal spring in terms of precipitation amounts. But this is a vast improvement over the past two years.

Still puzzled how we keep getting in the rain shadow unless it’s just going to be normal through our area up here

KS Jones
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KS Jones

This area 25 miles north of Manhattan has had only 1/8” of rain in the past 11 days and that came on June 6.
We received 11.66” of rain in May, and our ytd precipitation is currently 20.54”.

Roger
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Roger

Our local Mets in Wichita forecasted June 1-6 to have widespread 1-2 inch rainfalls in central Kansas back on May 30. Instead, only a trace-0.25 fell mostly. Busted forecast.

Heat Miser
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Heat Miser

I thought Penner said the the break from rain was five days…now seven to ten days. LoL

Johnny
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Johnny

Can’t even get rain when we’re supposed to. #droughtisontheway

j-ox
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j-ox

Is the rain forecast for ‘next’ weekend in line w/ LRC?

Andrew H
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Andrew H

Thanks Jeff ! for the great write up.