Happy Mother’s day,
We are tracking a weak to moderate storm system that will bring scattered showers and a few T-Storms through the day. The driest hours of the day in the KC area will be breakfast-brunch, 8-11 AM. After today, the weather pattern will be a bit calmer, but not dry. We will go through the week ahead as well.
The storm system was centered in northern Nebraska as of 6:45 AM. Two waves of rain are rotating ahead of the system. The first wave moved through early this morning and is weakening. The second wave was entering northwest Missouri by 7 AM. This will wave will drop southeast towards I-70 later this morning. The storm system will track southeast into northern Missouri this afternoon. So, the area of weather in eastern Nebraska will be across eastern Kansas and western Missouri from about 12 to 7 PM. The showers and T-Storms will increase in coverage as this area moves southeast.
MOTHER’S DAY 12-7 PM: We will see scattered showers and T-Storms with a few heavy downpours. There may be some small hail in a few of the T-Storms. Highs will be mostly in the 50s, but some locations may touch 60° in between the rain. Topeka to Pleasanton south and west have the best chance to see highs in the low 60s. Total rainfall will be trace to .50″.
MOTHER’S DAY 7-10 PM: The rain will end quickly with temperatures in the 50s.
MONDAY MORNING: Lows will drop to the upper 30s and low 40s. Areas of fog are possible due to a light wind and all of the moisture around. There is a chance some of the fog becomes dense.
MONDAY AFTERNOON: The fog and low clouds will burn off, becoming puffy cumulus clouds. It will be a nice May day with highs near 70° and a light wind.
TUESDAY-WEDNESDAY: A few showers and T-Storms will be possible Tuesday, but the best chance will occur at night. This will be due to a disturbance and weak front tracking in from the northwest. Some of these T-Storms may produce very heavy rain, but it is not a big storm and will move along. The rain should end early Wednesday. There will be a slight chance for a T-Storm Wednesday as the weak front lingers.
THURSDAY-FRIDAY: A few T-Storms will be possible early Thursday as a warm front surges north. Otherwise, these days will be partly to mostly sunny, windy, very warm and humid with highs in the 80s. New T-Storms arrive next weekend and these could be severe.
So, after today, there is one main rain chance the next 5 days. This is quite a bit less than the last two 5 day periods. This will allow for some drying. That being said, the pattern is still a wet one during the wettest time of year. It will be hard to have a long stretch of dry weather in the coming days and weeks.
Happy Mother’s day and have a great week ahead.