Scattered Rain for Mother’s Day

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Happy Mother’s day,

We are tracking a weak to moderate storm system that will bring scattered showers and a few T-Storms through the day. The driest hours of the day in the KC area will be breakfast-brunch, 8-11 AM. After today, the weather pattern will be a bit calmer, but not dry.  We will go through the week ahead as well.

The storm system was centered in northern Nebraska as of 6:45 AM. Two waves of rain are rotating ahead of the system. The first wave moved through early this morning and is weakening. The second wave was entering northwest Missouri by 7 AM. This will wave will drop southeast towards I-70 later this morning. The storm system will track southeast into northern Missouri this afternoon. So, the area of weather in eastern Nebraska will be across eastern Kansas and western Missouri from about 12 to 7 PM. The showers and T-Storms will increase in coverage as this area moves southeast.

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MOTHER’S DAY 12-7 PM: We will see scattered showers and T-Storms with a few heavy downpours. There may be some small hail in a few of the T-Storms. Highs will be mostly in the 50s, but some locations may touch 60° in between the rain. Topeka to Pleasanton south and west have the best chance to see highs in the low 60s. Total rainfall will be trace to .50″.

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MOTHER’S DAY 7-10 PM: The rain will end quickly with temperatures in the 50s.

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MONDAY MORNING: Lows will drop to the upper 30s and low 40s. Areas of fog are possible due to a light wind and all of the moisture around. There is a chance some of the fog becomes dense.

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MONDAY AFTERNOON: The fog and low clouds will burn off, becoming puffy cumulus clouds. It will be a nice May day with highs near 70° and a light wind.

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TUESDAY-WEDNESDAY: A few showers and T-Storms will be possible Tuesday, but the best chance will occur at night. This will be due to a disturbance and weak front tracking in from the northwest. Some of these T-Storms may produce very heavy rain, but it is not a big storm and will move along. The rain should end early Wednesday. There will be a slight chance for a T-Storm Wednesday as the weak front lingers.

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THURSDAY-FRIDAY: A few T-Storms will be possible early Thursday as a warm front surges north. Otherwise, these days will be partly to mostly sunny, windy, very warm and humid with highs in the 80s. New T-Storms arrive next weekend and these could be severe.

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So, after today, there is one main rain chance the next 5 days. This is quite a bit less than the last two 5 day periods. This will allow for some drying. That being said, the pattern is still a wet one during the wettest time of year. It will be hard to have a long stretch of dry weather in the coming days and weeks.

Happy Mother’s day and have a great week ahead.

Jeff Penner

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KS JonesEastOfEdenRockdocf00dl3Mike (Lenexa) Recent comment authors
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EastOfEden
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EastOfEden

Hey, see those four very warm days from Tuesday to Friday, with a peak on the third or fourth day depending on which forecast you check? Looks a lot like the warm first four days of February…or the warm spell in late March…or the one in mid-December… 🙂

July 4th heatwave, plan for it!

Rockdoc
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Rockdoc

Had very small hail earlier today in PV. Odd day with periods of sun followed by clouds and rain. In downtown OP this evening it was raining while the sun was out.

Hope everyone had a nice Mothers Day. Hoping for a dry week and NO rain next weekend.

Hockeynut69
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Hockeynut69

Have had about an inch of rain today just north of Liberty. Pond is full and still can’t mow. Maybe by Friday. Happy Mother’s Day to the moms on the blog.

EastOfEden
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EastOfEden

Weird sky in Parkville. Mix of puffy cumulous, flat clouds, dark stormy clouds, and the floaty see-through kind of floaty clouds. The sky is also “3D” here (clouds above clouds that you can see moving independently) and has a bunch of big clear blue holes in it too.

Occasional heavy showers. Then it goes back to clouds with the occasional bit of sunshine.

Becca
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Becca

I follow a bunch of storm chasers on twitter and they are all hyping up a very active end of next week. All are expecting the bad weather and tornado possibilities to rival that of 2003 and 2004 and last about two weeks. Does anyone know what they are referencing? It isn’t just one or two people but several. They seem pretty excited about the chasing possibilities. One even seemed to reference Gary by saying it is amazing that some can predict these patterns months out. He didn’t name Gary, but it was clear that he was talking about him.

KS Jones
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KS Jones
f00dl3
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f00dl3

would be nice to see Gary weigh in on this. I think it’s a legit concern, but there may be so much convection that it will somewhat mitigate alot of the setups

Adam
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Adam

Pea size hail in Gardner. Not a lot of it.

KS Jones
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KS Jones

48′ above normal pool level and 13′ below the spillway.
comment image

Mike (Lenexa)
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Mike (Lenexa)

We were over in Manhattan today for Mother’s Day and visited Tuttle. It is elevated at the spillway, water level was at 22 feet. Can’t image them opening the tubes full throttle until the construction as been completed. Could not help from noticing some standing water in farm fields between 1-70 and Wamego.

KS Jones
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KS Jones

I think water enters the spillway on the lake side at 1120′, but the gates can hold the water back up to 1136′.
The bridge replacement over the spillway has taken a long time, and it should be nearly completed by now, but I don’t think that construction would interfere with the function of the gates.
Photos of water flowing through the spillway gates on pages 67 & 68 in the following link.
https://www.kansasengineer.org/resources/Documents/McNulty%20kspe%20june%202018.pdf

Mr. Pete
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Mr. Pete

I’m officially tired of the daily rains

Nate
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Nate

Ugh. Mowing is becoming a nightmare. I don’t like mowing wet grass but being forced into it

Snow Miser
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Snow Miser

The Wunderground forecast has been upping the heat this next week compared to just a few days ago.

Jobu
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Jobu

h
Heavy down pour and small hail in the Northland. About 9:45 today.

Blue Flash
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Blue Flash

We had hail the size of sleet in Independence.

j-ox
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j-ox

Hi Mom!