The wet pattern continues

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Good morning bloggers,

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We just finished our fifth wet month in a row.  In Kansas City, the only month that had below average rainfall in this year’s LRC was in November, and that was on the heals of an extremely wet October.   Kansas City, and many areas of the plains, had their wettest October -March ever recorded.  This years cycling pattern set up as a wet one, and it is not stopping.  Take a look at the forecast from one of the models for the next 15 days:

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And, it was raining while I was writing this today.  This is just a weak disturbance moving by and there is another upper level storm that will likely bring rain on Friday, and a cool Friday at that.  It will be in the 50s tomorrow in KC with the nearly 100% chance of rain.  And, then this set up begins forming:

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Dew point temperatures of 75°+ will be drawn in from the Gulf of Mexico and make it up to the Dallas, TX area early next week.  A front will be stalling near northern Kansas into northern Missouri early next week and then slowly drifting south.  A very cool May air mass will be expanding over the northern plains into the northern Rocky Mountain states.  And why not, we are now in the part of the pattern that produced the coldest weather during the winter, the Polar Vortex part of the LRC.  I may share with you the map comparison in the next few days, as it is spot on and right on schedule.

Kansas City Weather Timeline:

  • Today:  Rain showers ending early this morning.  It will be cloudy with a chance of a few breaks in the clouds later this afternoon.  North winds 10-20 mph.  High:  62°
  • Tonight:  It will be mostly cloudy with a 30% chance of rain later tonight.  Low:  50°
  • Friday:  It will be cloudy, wet, and cool. There is 60% chance of rain with 0.10″ to 0.50″ possible.  High:  56°
  • Saturday:  The sun will come out and it will be a nice dry day.  High:  71°
  • Sunday:  Mostly sunny with south winds increasing.  High: 76°

Go to the Weather2020 blog by clicking here, Weather2020 blog , to join in the conversation.  There will be moderation on this blog to increase our positive experience.  Please be patient as there will be times where it is just a few minutes before your post is accepted, or it could take a couple of hours.  Thank you for sharing in this weather experience featuring Weather2020 and the LRC.

Gary

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Mr. PeteKaden (Liberty Missouri)KS JonesGarymatt Recent comment authors
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Mr. Pete
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Mr. Pete

Anyone who’s watching the lake levels at Milford, Tuttle Creek and Perry can see how wet the last several months have been. I think they are preparing now for 93 flood levels. ACOE say no water releases scheduled for the foreseeable future. MO River remains flooded.

KS Jones
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KS Jones

The water levels on those three reservoirs are not related to the rainfall in their basins. The Corps cut the outflows from those 3 dams in early March to protect Waverly, Missouri.
City-data shows Waverly is on the south bank of the Missouri. Its area is one square mile; its population is 826 and six of those are registered sex offenders.

Mr. Pete
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Mr. Pete

Then why does Perry continually rise after each of these rain systems move by?

Josh
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Josh

With this setup next week there seems to be a “triple point” What are the chances of severe weather?

matt
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matt

Nebraska/Kansas at moment.

Kaden (Liberty Missouri)
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Kaden (Liberty Missouri)

just in: we might see some

craig
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craig

Another 1.5″ last night brings the total since Sunday to 7.2″ here in W Lenexa, Gary.

Melanie
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Melanie

I have a similar total in Eastern Shawnee. Over 7″ for me.

Lyn
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Lyn

Gary, You mentioned the approaching high dew points and you’ve alluded to severe weather possibilities. These cool temps seem to suppress that possibility. Is that a fact and what are we looking for in May with the increased rain chances insofar as severe weather? Inevitably our temps will warm this month.

Near Pflumm and 243rd we’ve had 12.29″ for the year and 6.47″ for April. 1.15″ last night. The morning rain coverage map was accurate for this area. As you know farmers can’t get into the fields for planting. Thanks for your discussions and blogs.

Urbanity
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Urbanity

April for central Kansas was below average precip, definitely seemed like the turnpike and SE was the target. There are years when big storms roll and produce very little precip, at least with this year if there is a disturbance nearby we usually get what its worth. Still waiting for rains that make Clark’s Creek, Humbolt Creek, and McDowell Creek look like the Kansas River, been awhile since we have had consistent creek flooding during a spring/summer in those areas.

Snow Miser
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Snow Miser

I got very little sleep last night due to almost non-stop, low-key thunder. Usually overnight thunder lasts for an hour or two, but this started at like 1 in the morning and kept going on and off all night. I can’t help but wonder if people around here don’t really think about the effects of overnight thunder, because they’re so used to it. I grew up on the east coast, and most thunderstorms there occur in the afternoon, not overnight. Makes for much better sleeping. Almost makes me want to go back to college and study meteorology and do a… Read more »

j-ox
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j-ox

My best guess is that mountain ranges are kind of a timing reset. The Rockies steer much of our weather here in the KC region where overnight rains are very common. Having grown up here, I nearly always sleep more soundly when there’s rainy/stormy weather. Though, it’s when the quicker fronts arrive in the late afternoon = possible severe weather due to warmer air convection.

Andrew H
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Andrew H

Kauffman Stadium in KC May 2, 2013.
Royals vs Tampa Bay game was called off because of snow.
At least we are getting rain, not snow.

blue flash
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blue flash

Yes, it was supposed to be school day at the K, just like today. We ended up with 1 1/2 inches of snow on grassy surfaces. I was there before the game was supposed to start, have never seen the stadium so deserted on a game day. To add insult to injury, it then rained 1 1/2 inches the next day.

John
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John

I am not sure how you can say April was a wet month when all the rain fell the last 2 days. So after 40 days with less than .50″ we had a couple of real rainy days. Yes we ended the month above average but I would not say it was a wet month.

SnowGoPewPew
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SnowGoPewPew

The moisture still fell in April…So it would be called a wet month, maybe not in the sense of moisture most days of the month.

Hockeynut69
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Hockeynut69

This could get ugly for widespread flooding like 93. I was looking back at that year and the prior. The one difference I noticed was the prior year was very wet and we didn’t really get into that scenario until October in 2018. We’ll see how it plays out but sure makes it hard to mow. Don’t like mowing a wet yard, not good for mower and the grass.