Snow In Central Missouri & Severe Weather Risks This week

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Good morning bloggers,

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This is how the day started here at 41 Action News.  It was snowing from Columbia, MO south to the Lake of the Ozarks. This band of snow has now zipped off to the northeast, and this storm will produce another day of severe weather:

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After this system moves off the east coast, our attention will shift west to the plains as you can see above.  There is a risk of severe weather showing up and we will be monitoring the data closely.  Where will the “triple point” be located. The triple point is where the low pressure center is, and it ties in a dry line, cold front, and warm front into one point, the center of the low.  Storm chasers will be targeting this region later Wednesday afternoon.

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As this risk moves by, there will be an intensifying storm aloft, and it may produce wrap around rain, a cold rain on Thursday.  It has been drying out a bit near KC, so this rain will be welcome.

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I hope everyone has a great Sunday.  I am on the air right now, filling in for Jeff this weekend.  Thank you for sharing in this weather experience featuring Weather2020 and the LRC.  This mid-week storm is directly related to the blizzard back in November, the snowstorm back in January, and the snowstorm in early March, and also the very wet early October storm. We are about to begin LRC Cycle 5.  Join in the conversation over on Weather2020.com.

Gary

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Josh
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Josh

First severe weather outbreak of the season for our area looking likely Wednesday afternoon/night. Hello spring, goodbye winter! I hate severe weather…

Brittany
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Brittany

Nothing too significant is showing up on any of the models. We might get some strong storms on Wednesday night, but it’d probably be LATE Wednesday night.

Dyl
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Dyl

Holy guacamole, would ya look at that.comment imagecomment image

Matt
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Matt

First one.

Dyl
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Dyl

Yep. Just hope that the timing in Spring Hill is after 8:00 PM, got some outdoor events planned!

Jack in Atchison
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Jack in Atchison

If you look at the placement of the low on the FV3 and the NAM, you can see how much further south the NAM puts the low.. we want the low to track in north central Kansas like the FV3 has it if we want good severe weather.

Brittany
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Brittany

But we don’t want good severe weather.

Terry
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Terry

https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=EAX&issuedby=EAX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1. SPC for bad weather here Wednesday/ night ! Its dose not say north or south will get hit the hardest only saying what I read there.

Terry
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Terry

Test

Terry
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Terry

But remember this is only Sunday and that. Serve weather is for Wednesday PM /wed night we all know how fast things can change in the model runs still 3 days away. Things will change for the good or for the bad who really knows yet!

Lrcfan1
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Lrcfan1

We never seem to be in the right spot for severe weather we will probably get a brief downpour late at night.

Heat Miser
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Heat Miser

That’s good right? We don’t want severe weather here.

Alexander
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Alexander

I’m personally a fan of thunderstorms. I’d love to have a nice thunderstorm with a lot of lightning and temporary heavy rain – but not much more.

thetophat
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thetophat

Tornadoes are fascinating until one goes through one…………….my turn was May 4 2003.

Frankie
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Frankie

SPC has the whole KC region included in their day 4 “30% risk” for severe wx. This normally means we’d get included in an Enhanced risk of severe weather once we reach tomorrow where the event will be more in range. Shaping up for our first severe weather outbreak of the season.

Brittany
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Brittany

I’m really wondering how much the immediate KC metro will be effected…all of the models I’ve seen (GFS, FV3, NAM) have seemingly been indicating nothing will come into the city until after dark. SPC was also mentioning how the two “target” areas for this storm are in Iowa and then down in Arkansas/Ozarks.

Frankie
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Frankie

That is a good point, I was reading that too. Seems like both of those areas are north and south of KC!

thetophat
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thetophat

As Gary mentioned that triple point is almost always the optimal place. I would also watch along and just south of that warm front. If his map verifies that puts central KS and west-central IA in the target zone. We likely get a line of severe storms after dark (perhaps after midnight).

Craig
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Craig

The SPC already has what is essentially a moderate risk for Wednesday.
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/exper/day4-8/

Matt
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Matt

That’s Enhanced Risk but could be upgraded if needed.

thetophat
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thetophat

All the major players will be on the field Wednesday. Will they all come together? I would also watch that cold air that appears to give Denver a chance of snow. If that punches into this system look out…………..

Mr. Pete
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Mr. Pete

A bit windy this AM.