Good morning bloggers,
A very wet April winter storm will strike the northern plains this week, and a lot of the precipitation is going to fall over the Missouri River basin, upstream of where the flooding has been this early spring. This storm will affect Kansas City as well, and this time it appears KC will more likely have lower amounts of any precipitation from this storm. Here is the FV3-GFS model solution for precipitation amounts ending one week from now, so it combines two storm systems:
And, here is the GFS snowfall projection for amounts ending this Sunday:
Most of the models are now showing 1 to 2 feet of snow upstream near the Missouri River. A strong surface cyclone will be forming by Wednesday afternoon as you can see below.
The surface cyclone will then move slowly across Kansas Wednesday night into Thursday:
As this system spins by, the SPC is placing a small slight risk area over the plains ahead of the surface low:
This system is very strong, but the severe weather potential is going to be limited for several reasons. There will be a limited amount of low level moisture with dew points likely staying under 60 degrees, which will significantly limit any widespread severe weather risk.
After this system spins by, some cold air will arrive, and a freeze is likely by Saturday morning. As you can see below, temperatures may drop in to the 20s all the way down to southern Kansas and southern Missouri.
In KC, it may reach 80 degrees on Wednesday ahead of this system. Thank you for spending a few minutes of your day reading the Action Weather Blog featuring Weather2020 and the LRC. Share with us on the Weather2020 blog and join in the conversation, or just read the weather discussion. And, have a great start to the week.