The Friday Fog Will Lift

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Good morning,

This 2-4 satellite picture shows the low clouds in the dark colors.  Kansas City was in the middle of these low clouds and fog this morning as you can see below:

g16_20190405_105621.07

Goooooooooooooooood Friday morning bloggers,  I was just on the radio, and I think the high temperature will reach the upper 60s this afternoon.  The fog will lift and the weather will become quite nice later today.  There are a couple of weak disturbances moving across the plains this weekend with the best chance of rain, and possibly a thunderstorm, arriving Saturday evening and Saturday night.  Then, we will look ahead to this storm next week:

1

2

The top map is the new FV3-GFS, and the bottom one is the old operational GFS.  They both have a wet storm in KC. The European Model was farther north and had a big dry slot and not much precipitation.  There is a block forming over Greenland, and it may force this storm farther south.  I have low confidence on the track of this system at the moment. Let’s see how this trends.

Have a great day!

Gary

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Three7sTed in STJoeMattDylf00dl3 Recent comment authors
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Ted in STJoe
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Ted in STJoe

That is the 15 Dash 22 inches of snow I’m talking about. Within 50 miles of Saint Joseph or in Saint Joseph. Heavy wet snow 31 to 34° overnight event. All of the ingredients will be present. Mother nature has one last rabbit to pull out of her head. The last hurrah and that it needs to warm up so that my grass seed will germinate or I’ll have to replant.

Dyl
Guest
Dyl

Per the 18z FV3, Omaha might get a hammering, pray to God that this doesn’t shift farther south.comment image

f00dl3
Guest
f00dl3

Could be a problem….

comment image

Matt
Guest
Matt

What could be a problem the Rain?

Three7s
Guest
Three7s

No, in the simplest way I can think of, that map is basically used for detecting the possibility of long-track tornadoes. The brighter the colors, the worse it could be.

snow hater
Guest
snow hater

snow miser heat mizer snow next thursday you have got to be kidding me the plant gwrowth cycle has already been pushed nback a month it well be mid may before we can plant at this rate

TED in StJoe
Guest
TED in StJoe

sun out just pooped up to 62-64 330pm

Dyl
Guest
Dyl

So………about that forecast being a bust?

Ben
Guest
Ben

Upper 60’s? 54 at 1:30

KS Jones
Guest
KS Jones

72° here (@ 1:50 PM) and 73° at the Manhattan airport.

Rich (east of Topeka)
Guest
Rich (east of Topeka)

Yep, it’s finally warming up, up to 62 now in Lawrence with the sun starting to shine through the clouds.

Johnny
Guest
Johnny

Once sun is out it will get to mid upper 60s

TED in StJoe
Guest
TED in StJoe

Forecasts will be a total bust today, up here, Cloudy/foggy and — 52 — at 1240

Adam
Guest
Adam

2

TED in StJoe
Guest
TED in StJoe

it will snow a bunch 15-22 inches 50 miles from me …. or here in STJOE

Mareina
Guest
Mareina

So the GFS says that the rain is increasing

matt
Guest
matt

Marginal Risk in West and Central KS tomorrow. Enhanced Risk tomorrow already.

Jim
Guest
Jim

Shouldn’t the LRC give you confidence in the track of this storm?

Stl78(winon,mn)
Guest
Stl78(winon,mn)

Why are we still beating on the snow drum? I understand Gary is just posting maps and my guess is most are done with snow and there are just a couple left that would like to see some snow. I guess I should count my blessings up this way. Last April we had 22 in lnches in April vs a dusting thus far this year. Just outta curiosity POST A 1 IF U WANT MORE SNOW. POST A 2 IF YOU’RE READY FOR SPRING TO TRULY SHOW UP. BTW, I’m a big fat 2

Rich (east of Topeka)
Guest
Rich (east of Topeka)

BIG FAT 2 for me also Stl78 🙂 . Although I enjoy me some snow, I don’t enjoy it in April because it immediately melts away and just makes our county roads a quagmire.

Happy Friday all!

Urbanity
Guest
Urbanity

Anytime you can get a snow that melts the next day I’ll take it. We didn’t get much snow out here in central KS this past winter, so I’m posting a 1.

BUT, ready for spring:)

NoBeachHere
Guest
NoBeachHere

Absolutely 2

Snow Miser
Guest
Snow Miser

I’ll post a 1, to live up to my screen name. 😀

Clint
Guest
Clint

Did you see the amounts the Euro is predicting up your way? Yikes!! That won’t be good for flooding on the Missouri and Mississippi river.

Stl78(winon,mn)
Guest
Stl78(winon,mn)

Yes clint, I’ve seen and I’m ignoring. It’s a week out. On a brighter note we may see our first taste of 60s next

Three7s
Guest
Three7s

I love snow, but I’m a 2 right now.

EastOfEden
Guest
EastOfEden

1 for this storm specifically, only because I am a big fan of unusual weather events. I’d be just as supportive of a freak April heatwave. As you might imagine, 2018 was pretty fun for me – a new weird feature every month, it seemed! (except for maybe March?) On that note…FV3 looks to be the long-overdue “great equalizer” for this winter’s Platte County Anti-Snow Bubble problem! 🙂 (lol) Edit: I typed numerous mini-rants here and none of them sounded good, so I’ll just say this: Wow, 9 minutes since I posted this comment and already I’m being downvoted. Really?… Read more »

REAL HUMEDUDE
Guest
REAL HUMEDUDE

I want a summer dry spell!
Last year the creek only flooded a single time,in early June. It has already flooded 5 times this year, and water gaps are getting really beat up from all the debris. Only bigger and wetter storms on the horizon. Flooding is just getting started this year, your going to be hearing about it most of the Spring and summer is my thoughts

Troy
Guest
Troy

No kidding. My pond has had water running through the spillway about half a dozen times since Sept 1st. Tried fishing last night and my boys caught a couple bluegill but the water is really cloudy after all that.

REAL HUMEDUDE
Guest
REAL HUMEDUDE

Troy….I’ve been fighting water clarity all spring long, can’t hardly catch a fish water is so muddy everywhere! Try a spinnerbait, makes a commotion running through water they can track down, that’s all I can catch anything on lately.

EastOfEden
Guest
EastOfEden

I’m not sure if it will happen…there has been no break in the precipitation since the pattern began. I think f00dl3 theorized that a dry spell may be most likely to happen in August or September?

I wish weather stations in the US still recorded sunshine hours. I imagine we could make a run at “least-sunny year” for 2019, at least based on how it’s been so far. Really worrying when you look back at the October storm…imagine if it repeats, possibly multiple times. Not good at all.

REAL HUMEDUDE
Guest
REAL HUMEDUDE

We have had a couple LRCs begin with a huge rainfall that never repeated quite the same way again. I think in the past 5 years, I’ve had a 4-5″ rain 2 or 3 times in that first week of October. Yet that never happened again in the same fashion in any of those LRC patterns. The storm came back around sure, but never produced the copious rainfall the same way.
Now that doesn’t mean we won’t get some huge rains from training thunderstorms this year, that’s always a possibility

Troy
Guest
Troy

2

Rodney
Guest
Rodney

A big 1, it’s rare to see accumulating snow in April other than maybe a dusting. I love wild weather & a heavy wet snow would be awesome!!

Rodney (Ashland, MO)

TED in StJoe
Guest
TED in StJoe

2nd

Snow Miser
Guest
Snow Miser

First!

Heat Mizer
Guest
Heat Mizer

Second!