Nice March Day, Four Day Storm on the Way

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Good Monday bloggers,

This is one of the nicest days we have seen in weeks. The sun is out and it is not brutally cold. But, as you know, this pattern is crazy and active and our next storm arrives by Tuesday morning.

This is a slow-moving storm system that is picking up copious moisture from the Pacific ocean and Gulf of Mexico. By Tuesday morning rain will extend from Kansas to the Pacific Ocean and Baja, CA!

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TUESDAY EARLY MORNING: The rain will move into our region 3-6 AM, so it will be a wet morning rush hour. Temperatures will be warming from the upper 30s to low 40s.

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TUESDAY MORNING: Periods of rain and drizzle will be spreading north and covering most locations by 10 AM.

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TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT: There will be periods of rain/drizzle and south winds will bring warmer air north. Temperatures will rise into the 50s Tuesday night. The main storm will still be in the southwest USA and you can see a large area of rain and thunderstorms forming from eastern Colorado, western Kansas south to west Texas. There may be some severe weather out there, but it will likely not be warm enough for widespread severe weather. This is not a usual location for that amount of rain to be located this time of year.

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WEDNESDAY: The area of heavy rain and thunderstorms will track east Tuesday night, arriving in our region Wednesday morning. This will be the last period of heavier rain for the storm. Temperatures will rise to the low and mid 60s. This will not be quite warm enough for severe weather. But, winds will be gusting over 40 mph anyway as a deep surface low tracks into the Plains. The central pressure will be 28.70″! The pressure this afternoon is around 30.40″. So, if you are susceptible to aches and pains due to pressure changes, this may be an issue this week.

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THURSDAY: The storm will head into the Great Lakes. This will put us in the wrap around which means more wind, temperatures falling from the 40s to 30s and rain/snow showers. Yes, we could see some snow, but we are not expecting any accumulation or slick spots as it will not be cold enough. Friday will be cloudy, windy and cold with highs in the upper 30s to low 40s.

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RAINFALL FORECAST: At this time it looks like we will see around 1″ of rain, give or take .25″.  A few locations could see more, if there are more thunderstorms. Remember, we average 2.37″ of rain for the entire month of March, so this is quite a bit of rain for a storm this time of year.

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Rainfall amounts will be 1″ to 2″ over all of the Plains, including Colorado. This is rare for those locations this time of year.

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There is a flood watch from western Kansas to southeast Nebraska. It is rare any time of year for western Kansas to be in a flood watch, let alone the early to middle part of March. We have a smattering of river flood warnings, which is not that unusual.

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The weather looks nice next weekend, including St. Patrick’s day. Right now it looks sunny with highs in the low 50s next Sunday.

Have a great rest of your week.

Jeff Penner

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Mr. Pete
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Mr. Pete

Looks like a 2.5 day system to me. I can’t tell honestly.

f00dl3
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f00dl3

It was 4 days and 4 nights of rain. And then a Ark popped out of the sky, and Gary Lezak named that Ark the “LRC – Lezak’s Reoccurring Canoe”

Inspector
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Inspector

This is a 15 day cut off low storm

Johnny
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Johnny

This place is hoppin today

SnowGoPewPew
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SnowGoPewPew

Its a seven day storm, c’mon people realize what is happening…hehe..

REAL HUMEDUDE
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REAL HUMEDUDE

Why isn’t there a flood watch here? Its Rediculously saturated, my creek is running 2′ high off .6″ rain 2 days later! A 1/2″ rain wont even make puddles in the creek when its dry. Marais Des Cygne is bank full, it will be flooding seriously with any rainfall. I dont get it, we are on vege of terrible flooding and yet no watch. Im stumped

KS Jones
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KS Jones

This coming flood on the Big Blue will be the fifth flood since we got five consecutive days of rain from September 2nd through September 6th. Then, five consecutive days of rain from October 5th through the 9th caused our second flood, and rain on December 1st and December 26th caused our 3rd & 4th flood. This chart shows the water depth on the Blue at Blue Rapids is expected to reach 35.3′. The depth was only 17′ before the meltdown began a few days ago. Big Blue at Blue Rapids Flood stage: 26.0 feet Latest stage: 24.5 feet at 8… Read more »

Heat Mizer
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Heat Mizer

I’m still confused as to why you keep calling it a 4 day storm? Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday. We aren’t expecting any precip on Monday or Friday, right?

Hockeynut69
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Hockeynut69

They are using common core math to come up with 4 days!

f00dl3
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f00dl3

Why do we keep saying 4 day storm? Are we thinking it’s going to continue to rain on Friday? If so wouldn’t that be snow on the back side?

Rich (east of Topeka)
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Rich (east of Topeka)

Hi Jeff. I think you mean 3 day storm.

Snow Miser
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Snow Miser

There’s only 289 days until Christmas.

Stl78(winon,mn)
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Stl78(winon,mn)

Really? Lol. There r still a few houses up this way with Xmas lights turned on. I guess they figure there is snow on the ground it’s ok..

Athan
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Athan

No more snow let’s just have some good old thunderstorms. Got my yard ready for the spring so I’m ready to go.

Bill
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Bill

omg first??