Tracking Today’s Snowstorm

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Good morning bloggers,

It is 2:40 AM and I just got 5 hours of sleep, and now Sunny The Weather Dog and I are ready to take in this snowstorm, and enjoy it to its fullest.  The first snowflakes will begin falling in Kansas City before 4 AM, and the disturbance is taking a nice track to bring KC the predicted snowfall amounts, likely close to 3″ near the city.  Let’s see what happens and I will check in later.  Watch the hole on radar fill in as the snow finally reaches the ground near Topeka, KS, and then you can see the leading edge approaching KC:

Snow Forecasts

8 AM Update: 

Sunny BodeeSunny didn’t mind the cold at all as she met Bodee, 14 years old this morning.   This storm is just about over, as of 8 AM, with one rather heavy band of snow over Linn county, near the state line heading east into Cass & Bates counties on the Missouri side. 1 to 2 inches is possible in this final band.  The one thing that appears to have not materialized was the expected 4″+ band down south. Just looking at radar overnight, there was some decent snow down there, and depending on what this last band produces, they may get up to 4″ or  so.

I measured just over 2″, and this one is a harder one to measure as the wind has been blowing the snow and drifting the snow in spots up to almost a foot in a few locations. So, it may seem like an inch or so, and then you will see a drift 6″ to 1 foot deep.  I would say 2.2″ on the Plaza, with a little more on the way.  Let us know how much snow you received.

There is an enhanced slight risk of severe weather over the deep south as this system moves east.  Here is the outlook from the Storm Prediction Center:

day1otlk_1200

And, then what is next? The models are all over the place with an interesting set up for Thursday, and then the next stronger storm is due in next weekend. The track of both of these storm systems will decide whether we have another chance of snow in our near future, or potential thunderstorms next weekend, or both?  We will look deeper into these set ups soon. Here is the FV3 GFS for Thursday:

3

This Thursday system is somewhat caught in a ridge, so it is rather suspect at the moment for the KC region.

Thank you for sharing in this weather experience featuring Weather2020 and the LRC.  Let us know if you have any questions and join the conversation on the Weather2020 blog.

Gary

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BrittanyJoeHockeynut69AdamRodney’s Clockwork Angels Recent comment authors
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Adam
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Adam

Well no Johnson County schools closed. I’m surprised they didn’t cave.

Rodney’s Clockwork Angels
Guest
Rodney’s Clockwork Angels

Old man winter and Mother Nature need to be arrested for this!!!

Blue Flash
Guest
Blue Flash

No school in Independence and Raytown.

L.B
Guest
L.B

just had at least 50 robins land in yard! Winter is over!!!!

L.B
Guest
L.B

it was earlier for those trolls who want to be trolls

Brittany
Guest
Brittany

When I was driving up through my apartment complex yesterday, I accidentally almost ran some over. Didn’t even see them! There was like, 20 of them all congregated on the curb LOL. They were all super puffed up too.

KS Jones
Guest
KS Jones

comment image?e44cf9acecc65b38f4d59a66368a87fe

Stl78(winon,mn)
Guest
Stl78(winon,mn)

Funny little clip from our local news station. My neighbor posted on Facebook snow for sale and it snowballed into a clip on our local news. U can see my home in the background…pretty funny

https://www.facebook.com/wxow19/videos/2105279816220927/

Michael Casteel
Guest
Michael Casteel

That was pretty good! Can’t believe how much more you guys have than us. Just getting the mail is a pain in the butt! I bet your street dept guys are at their whits end!
Michael

Freezemiser
Member
Freezemiser

School closings have already started for the outlying school districts. The most important thing is that kids don’t get hurt. That plus it’s important to have great attendance all the time. I bet we’ll know before the 10:00 PM news about districts in town.

someweatherdude
Guest
someweatherdude

It’s cold. But it’s not too cold to go to school. Even if it means waiting for a bus or walking a few blocks. Maybe a late start scenario at most.

Mr. Pete
Guest
Mr. Pete

SMSD has no provisions for a late start. It’s either start on time or no school.

Joe
Guest
Joe

Blue Valley doesn’t either, which is hard to believe. Supposedly next year that will be an option.

Curtis
Guest
Curtis

Not really up to you to decide what is or isn’t too cold though…

Joe
Guest
Joe

I agree kids don’t get hurt but….this is the problem with society now….our standards have gone so soft….again I am not saying these wind chills aren’t bad, however the standards in Minnesota and Wisconsin are different here…school would not be cancelled up there for this….

someweatherdude
Guest
someweatherdude

Even in Des Moines, where it’s supposed to be quite a bit worse than here, they only have a handful of late starts, but no closings. I just looked. Compared to here with a ton of closings. Des Moines is only three hours up the road. I really think part of the problem is the lack of winter the last few years here in KC.

Stl78(winon,mn)
Guest
Stl78(winon,mn)

Fwiw, kids up here have missed a ton of school

EastOfEden
Guest
EastOfEden

Oh, it definitely is. No one is used to this anymore.

Bob H
Guest
Bob H

Obviously kids don’t get hurt most of the time but it does happen and your better safe than sorry anyways kids spend 8 hours in that school a day for 160+ days it’s not gonna hurt anyone to miss 5 or 6 days to ensure safety

KCW0LF
Guest
KCW0LF

It’s not standards, it’s what people get awarded when they sue. If there’s a chance of a lawsuit, then we play it safe. It is what it is…

Hockeynut69
Guest
Hockeynut69

That’s exactly the problem. We have a litigious society. Plus it’s a no win situation for the school districts. They send kids to school, they are criticized for not caring about the kids. They call it off and the parents are mad because they have to find child care or stay home.

kellyinLS
Guest
kellyinLS

Agreed, it’s the fear of lawsuits and the fact that (in MO) we get funding based on attendance. Attendance suffers on extremely cold or days with potentially dangerous weather, so financially it makes more sense to cancel and make the day up in May (or June…). And many bigger districts can’t do late start due to having to stagger busses and start times anyway. I work in a late start school and if we had a two hour delay we would start just before lunch starts for kindergarteners. It doesn’t give the kitchen any time to prep, and by the… Read more »

Bob H
Guest
Bob H

Schools will probably close it really is dangerous with wind chills that low

Heat Miser
Guest
Heat Miser

Ouch, 10 might be dead in AL from tornadoes I just heard

Dominic_De_Soto
Guest
Dominic_De_Soto

14 fatalities according to CBS news ten minutes ago…

Heat Miser
Guest
Heat Miser

Yeah, I just heard that. Just saw scary storm chaser footage of a huge, wedge tornado that they were way to close to.

Alexander
Guest
Alexander

I really don’t understand why so many people hit the minus on comments here. So much negativity. You are just talking about weather

Rich (east of Topeka)
Guest
Rich (east of Topeka)

100% agree. I’ve commented many times asking why so much hate towards Heat Miser. Heat’s comments are the same as everyone else yet always get downvoted. I just don’t get it.

Emaw
Guest
Emaw

🤜❄🤛

Freezemiser
Guest
Freezemiser

Im keeping my fingers crossed that the wind chills don’t close schools!

KC BBQ
Guest
KC BBQ

Bound to happen though right?

WeatherOrNot
Guest
WeatherOrNot

I work for a major school district north of the river (sorry can’t say which one)and we will be using a 2 hour delay tomorrow.

Mr. Pete
Guest
Mr. Pete

Not sure how they couldn’t.

Emaw
Guest
Emaw

But you’re the Freezemiser this should be exactly what you want, right?

Troy
Guest
Troy

About 4″ here in Republic County bringing us up to 46″ on the season. About a foot of snow on the ground. We have had snow cover now since Feb 15 and looks like we will have it until Mid March. Still have not been above 34 since Valentines Day. Hastings NWS said they will likely go at least 22 days without being above freezing and that hasn’t happened since Dec 1983.

Stl78(winon,mn)
Guest
Stl78(winon,mn)

Crazy

David Pollard
Guest
David Pollard

Measured an average of about 3.2″ in the yard this morning right after it stopped snowing.

KC BBQ
Guest
KC BBQ

Are temps really going to be THAT low in the morning? … Enough to cause school closures?

Terry
Guest
Terry

Gary do you think this is gonna be or last snow this Winter or this season? I know you mentions that you expect some more

Inspector
Guest
Inspector

Huh Terry?

ClassyCat
Guest
ClassyCat

Not hard to understand the question.

Stl78(winon,mn)
Guest
Stl78(winon,mn)

Impressive warned tornadoes down south! Hope all are safe.

Weatherfreaker
Guest
Weatherfreaker

And…unfortunately we-Jackson county-was just added to that wind chill advisory. Ugh. It is March…right?!?

Weatherfreaker
Guest
Weatherfreaker

Any chance the metro will get added to wind chill advisory by NWS? Gary said it will be -15 wind chill in the morning.

Grambo624
Guest
Grambo624

Kind of surprised they havent added us. Criteria is 0 to -18 sustained for one hour. We will meet that criteria.

Mr. Pete
Guest
Mr. Pete

Just did.

AlexPickman
Guest
AlexPickman

2 inches here in Stewartsville, MO. Season total up to 39.8 inches.

Ted in STJOE
Guest
Ted in STJOE

that is what i received too.

Michael Casteel
Guest
Michael Casteel

I recorded a little over an inch of snow up here in Maryville, Mo. Hard to tell for sure with all the dang wind! LOL. Have a Blessed Sunday Bloggers!
Michael

EastOfEden
Guest
EastOfEden

A bit of an odd question, but what were the prior occurrences of the March 2010 snowstorm? Curious how 8.8″ suddenly happened with temperatures just barely cold enough.

snow hater
Guest
snow hater

heat mizer is this enough its nmarch for gods sake let spring begin heat mizer you snowlovers got your snow

Heat Miser
Guest
Heat Miser

Yes!!!! I would be very satisfied if this were the last snow of the winter…close to 30 inches…WOOT!!! However, if one more snow storm wants to sneak in somewhere, I won’t complain. ROFL!

Mr. Pete
Guest
Mr. Pete

Hey – Heat isn’t the only one who loves the white stuff! Leave us alone!

Liberty Weather Guy
Guest
Liberty Weather Guy

Was a dud here in Liberty, can still see the ground in places, surely due to the wind. Fine with me, I am ready for spring.

Snow Miser
Guest
Snow Miser

One thing I don’t like about snowstorms is, my bird feeders get overwhelmed with starlings. 🙁

Becca
Guest
Becca

Maybe 2 inches at 143rd and Pflumm. Definitely missed my 8 inch prediction! This is why I am not a meteorologist and Gary is. He nailed it. Me not so much :p At least school will most likely be in session tomorrow.

Grambo624
Guest
Grambo624

Not necessarily…could be out due to cold.

SnowDays
Guest
SnowDays

Gary, as a teacher and a parent, I’m done with days off school!
I’m seeing higher temp forecasts for tomorrow morning than what it was a few days ago. What’s your current thinking on a low/wind chill for the morning?

Kadens Mom
Guest
Kadens Mom

I hope I don’t have to walk my son to school tomorrow.

ClassyCat
Guest
ClassyCat

About 3-3.5 inches 143rd Switzer area. Right around 36 inches for entire season. A very snowy turnabout from recent winters.

Heat Miser
Guest
Heat Miser

That dog is really cute Gary. LOL Nice snow…very pretty. Last one, or will we get another?

Blue Flash
Guest
Blue Flash

Ahh March sun, do your thing!

KS Jones
Guest
KS Jones

The wind-driven accumulations make measuring snow depths too difficult here. Olsburg is SSW of here; Blue Rapids is NW of here, and the distance to both is roughly 12 miles. Both have Cocorahs observers, and their measurements are close to what I believe fell here (2″). I left my pickup out in the driveway last night, and it doesn’t have any snow on it whatsoever. The snow obviously blew off of its slick surface. The reason I left the pickup outside was to make room in the sheltered breezeway for a tractor so I would have it handy to clear… Read more »

Bill in Lawrence
Guest
Bill in Lawrence

Gary: Happy Sunday again!! Just came in from getting our road/drive cleared…my final tally is 2.5 with some 6-7 inch drifts in a few places. That wind will get your attention today!! While I stuck with 3 for this area, I will again admit I was off base on the potential. I bought the 12Z NAM yesterday and when some of the RAP runs had something similar I posted a few times I thought Lawrence was in for possibly its biggest snow of the season….oh well…live and learn. Someone mentioned March 2104 when here we had a high of 7… Read more »

Blue Flash
Guest
Blue Flash

I am measuring 2″ in West Central Independence. Used the snowblower right after the snow stopped, and the driveway is already melted and clear.

someweatherdude
Guest
someweatherdude

Just got back from being out and about. Nice little snow. But still in the nuisance category. The roads in JoCo are already starting to clear up. Definitely not amazing or incredible or anything like that. But the snow looks nice. Better than the brown and gray. I’m going to be optimistic for once and say that schools out here in the BV district will be open tomorrow. They’ve run out of days, and I think they’ll feel they have to suck it up and have school — and learn that it’s OK to have school when it’s cold.

Nate
Guest
Nate

I’m south of I-70, where is that massive storm??

Joe
Guest
Joe

Hey they still got it right….they said 1-8 inches….all stations got it right actually…everybody wins…btw…..roads are impassable, schools most likely closed till Wednesday

KC BBQ
Guest
KC BBQ

Till Wednesday?! Not a chance. Monday, maybe due to the cold temps.

Joe
Guest
Joe

I was being sarcastic 😏

MikeL
Guest
MikeL

Looks like I got my usual 2.5″ of snow in SW Topeka. I love snow, but it’s March now and I’m ready for Spring…

Mr. Pete
Guest
Mr. Pete

Let’s take a poll. Will metro schools be open or closed tomorrow?

Three7s
Guest
Three7s

I’ll say closed due to the cold.

Blue Flash
Guest
Blue Flash

It depends on the city. In Independence it usually takes at least a couple of days to plow the side streets, so I am guessing they won’t be ready for school tomorrow morning. The extreme cold doesn’t help.

someweatherdude
Guest
someweatherdude

But do the streets really have to be clear to have school? If they’re passable, shouldn’t they have school? I get it if there’s 6+ inches and vehicles literally can’t move. But two inches? There are plenty of places that have school even when the streets are covered with a couple inches of snow.

Joe
Guest
Joe

👍👍👍

Three7s
Guest
Three7s

Correct, schools won’t be closed due to snow tomorrow. This is a nuisance event at best.

Grambo624
Guest
Grambo624

The cold in addition to snow could be enough, however.

Blue Flash
Guest
Blue Flash

The buses have to be able to stop and start on inclines. It’s one thing to go on a passable road when you don’t have to stop. Quite another to get traction uphill from a complete stop.

SnowBadger
Guest

It’s not the snow that will close most schools, it will be the extreme cold. The older kids could handle it, but young K thru 2nd are more susceptible to the weather at the bus stops. I know LSR-7 has closed without snow.

Grambo624
Guest
Grambo624

Generally it is a Wind Chill Warning or Advisory, however.

Adam
Guest
Adam

They’ll close if wind chills are low. In Johnson County KS if you live within 2 miles of your school you either walk or pay for a bus. So they’ll hedge that out of the kids who walk one of their parents will sue them if something happens. School closed.

Grambo624
Guest
Grambo624

Based from my experience schools dont usually close due to cold unless it is a Wind Chill Warning or Advisory. I am surprised we are not in an advisory, at least.

Mr. Pete
Guest
Mr. Pete

I agree – and that was just issued by NWS – wind chill advisory.

Mr. Pete
Guest
Mr. Pete

Replying to my own post – since we have the wind chill advisory now I’m going with no school tomorrow.

Jake Pro
Guest
Jake Pro

These 1-3” max events are lame. If it is going to snow in March, give us one of those big bois. Luckily looks to be the last little snow (fingers crossed?) for the season. Bring on SPRING! I want to wash my car!

Joe
Guest
Joe

Where are heat miser and terry…thought we could talk about this 10 inches of snow ??

ClassyCat
Guest
ClassyCat

They never once said we were getting that much and you know it. They discussed possibilities of 6 or more, and it was possible with the data, but it didn’t materialize. Now, do you want to discuss weather or continue to be an antagonist? Happy to discuss.

Joe
Guest
Joe

Not antagonizing at all…they just said I think heat said 5-6 ish….I am not as weather smart as those guys obviously that’s why I wanted to get their take on why it didn’t materialize

ClassyCat
Guest
ClassyCat

Yeah right. Get their take? Not a chance. You were gloating about something that doesn’t even make sense. Nice try. Not buying it for a second.

Inspector
Guest
Inspector

Probably trolling Twitter and other weather blogs. I hope they can manage to escape their computers today

ClassyCat
Guest
ClassyCat

Said the 2020 trolll himself.

Snow Miser
Guest
Snow Miser

Haven’t measured anything, but I think maybe I got an inch. I’ll classify this one as semi-poof.

I’m ready for spring now.

Snow Miser
Guest
Snow Miser

OK I just went out and stuck a ruler in spots on my patio. It’s more like two inches.

EastOfEden
Guest
EastOfEden

Probably about 2″ in west Parkville, but drifting makes it vary from a dusting to 5″.

Ted in STJOE
Guest
Ted in STJOE

Sun poppin’ out 1040 hrs

Lrcfan1
Guest
Lrcfan1

May get some nice rain next weekend and wash all this yuck off.

Andrew
Guest
Andrew

Just enough to make a mess of the side streets again. I hate snow, but I don’t know whether I hate these little bursts of snow more than the big kahunas. I guess I’m of the frame of mind that if it’s gonna snow, just freakin do it. On the plus side, my arms may get a rest from shoveling this go around.

George
Guest
George

Got 1 1/2″ at my place. OP 87th & Antioch

thetophat
Guest
thetophat

Coldest April high in KC history (kids sledding on Easter) happened just one year ago. Will today be the coldest March high in KC history? Depending on Midnight/early AM temps that could happen (believe it is 11 degrees in 1979 but not swearing to it). Absolutely amazing…………………

EastOfEden
Guest
EastOfEden

Not the coldest April high, the latest subfreezing high. Close to coldest though. The coldest March high is 5 in 2014. Only single-digit high ever in March.

Bob H
Guest
Bob H

The GFS has been good with the last couple storms

Joe
Guest
Joe

Well let’s get it started….what happened wishcasters? Super powers weren’t strong enough? The stars didn’t align right? I tried to help, but my power beam from my comic book wasn’t available. Boo 😕

Mr. Pete
Guest
Mr. Pete

Hard to keep a car clean these days.

f00dl3
Guest
f00dl3

So the NAM did ok until the storm was a day out, the GFS did really good the day of the storm. But the FV3, HRRR, Euro, WRF, and RAP severely over-estimated totals and did poorly.

Gary nailed it saying 100% for 1″ and steep bell curve after.

about 2″ in Lenexa near old town. T-4″ range w/ drifting