Two Arctic Blasts, Ludicrous Wind Chills

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Good Sunday bloggers,

We have many weather changes the next 36 hours as a system drops south from Canada, bringing in warm air first, then an Arctic surge.

A few snow showers are possible this morning as a disturbance moves by from the northwest. Tonight will warm to around 40° with a chance of rain, followed by the Arctic front. Roads will be wet for the morning rush hour as temperatures will still be above freezing. A few slick  spots may form after rush hour if there is enough moisture left on the roads.

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SUNDAY AFTERNOON: A warm front will be fast approaching as we see temperatures in the low to mid 30s along with periods of clouds. It will be in the 50s, perhaps 60° in western Kansas.

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TONIGHT (7 PM-MIDNIGHT): Temperatures will rise to around 40° with increasing clouds and wind. A band of rain showers will be approaching from the north.

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MONDAY (MIDNIGHT-7 AM): A band of rain is likely, possibly ending as snow. Rainfall will be a trace to .10″. Temperatures will still be above freezing by 7 AM, so the morning rush hour will likely have wet to damp roads.

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MONDAY (7 AM-7 PM): The Arctic air will be surging in on north winds at 15-30 mph. Temperatures will drop to around 20° by noon and then stay 15°-20° the rest of the day. Wind chill values will be -10° to 0°. If there is any moisture left on surfaces it will freeze by 10 AM. The wind will help to dry most surfaces out.

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TUESDAY-WEDNESDAY: A second surge of Arctic air moves south Tuesday and this one is serious. Wednesday looks to be the coldest day as lows drop to around -5° in KC, .-20° to -10° in far northern Missouri and -35° to -25° from Bismarck, ND to Chicago, IL. These are actual temperatures without the wind factored in. What are the temperatures with the wind factored in?  See next map, your eyes may pop a bit.

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OK, this is insane. Wind chill values will drop to as low as -60° to -50° from Minneapolis to Chicago. Here in KC the wind chill will drop to around -20°. If you are headed to these locations this week, take it serious. This is extreme for these northern cities. We do not see much snow with all of this cold.  Also, the Arctic air will exit just as fast as it arrives, leaving by the next weekend. We may see highs around 50° next Saturday.

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Have a great week and stay warm.

Jeff Penner

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Mattf00dl3NoBeachHereSnowCommanderAndrew Recent comment authors
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f00dl3
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f00dl3

The winds gonna be brutal when they get here. Gusts 40 to 50 MPH with the frontal passage.

f00dl3
Guest
f00dl3

They are just that. Fantasy maps. Testing – 06z GFS Snowfall (barely any)
comment image

NoBeachHere
Guest
NoBeachHere

Yea !! Maps!!

Matt
Guest
Matt

Bring that high totals here after the Groundhog says early weeks of Spring.

SnowCommander
Guest
SnowCommander

🌪. ✅
❄️ ✅
💧. ✅
☀️ ✅

Yepper. We’re good to go. All systems up and running 👍

Andrew
Guest
Andrew

Snow Miser put a map on here not just the link.
How do we do that

Snow Miser
Guest
Snow Miser

I’m not even sure how I did it. All I did was paste the link to the image.

Andrew
Guest
Andrew

😳 must have been a temporary glitch in the new format

Snow Miser
Guest
Snow Miser

Let’s try again:
comment image

EDIT: Looks like it was working as intended.

Snow Miser
Guest
Snow Miser

I think you have to put a link to the actual image file (the thing ending in .png or .jpg) rather than just a link to the web page.

Andrew
Guest
Andrew

Wow
Lol
This should get interesting when everyone realizes they can and start filling the blog up with fantasy maps ! 😂😬

Snow Miser
Guest
Snow Miser

Some nice eye candy:
comment image

EDIT: Ooo ooo! Just discovered you can now edit posts, too! *jumps up and down in joy*

Fred Souder
Guest
Fred Souder

Too bad! I remember back in 2005 (I think it was), that the 10 day model runs showed a snow storm targeting Kansas City, and… get this… they verified! As far as I know, 100% of the models since then have not. So, if we are right in the bull’s eye on this model, we almost assuredly won’t be in 10 days. But here’s hoping!

Hockeynut69
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Hockeynut69

That is showing a potential of 6″ on the GFS. Something to watch for sure!

jcling64056
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jcling64056
Andrew
Guest
Andrew

How did you put that map on here ??

Stl78(winon,mn)
Guest
Stl78(winon,mn)

If the 18z 3k nam and hrrrr are correct, this clipper looks to maximize right over my location. Time will tell. Most will fall overnight. Tom should b interesting.

KS Jones
Guest
KS Jones

It is currently 45° and mostly sunny here (midway between Manhattan & Marysville). Low temperatures Tuesday & Wednesday are predicted to be from -1° to 2°. Cut wood yesterday and will be starting a blaze in the fireplace later tonight.

Roger
Guest
Roger

7 degrees in Des Moines to 60 degrees in Pratt, KS. Of an interesting note, the Des Moines NWS forecasted today’s high temperature of 26!!! And, a rising temperature to 35 by midnight!!! Talk about a busted forecast!!!
https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?x=197&y=173&site=dmx&zmx=&zmy=&map_x=197&map_y=173#.XE4O8HRMHqA

Heat Miser
Guest
Heat Miser

Coldmagedon

JVossboss
Guest
JVossboss

Currently spitting snow in Lansing!

Andrew
Guest
Andrew

This morning Jeff showed 50 for Saturday !
Bring it !

ClassyCat
Guest
ClassyCat

Once in a while you’ll hear a person say it’s too cold to snow. Most of us know that’s a myth. Just look at the heavy snow expected tonight and tomorrow in Minnesota, NE Iowa and Wisconsin. A lot of what falls will be while the temperature is hovering around 0-5 degrees. Never too cold to snow. I think it’s harder for systems to come together when it’s that cold, especially around KC, as when we are that cold, the storm track is usually well south of us. Being in the center with all the dynamics on all sides of… Read more »

Jack in Atchison
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Jack in Atchison

Models are hinting a possible system hitting the midwest the middle of next week… a storm hit the midwest on December 27th.. would these be related??

snowflakeparkville
Guest
snowflakeparkville

dec 26 = feb 13

Don
Guest
Don

Nope

Mr. Pete
Guest
Mr. Pete

Gets cold but then immediately leaves day later. Quick shot of cold air…

j-ox
Guest
j-ox

Late Dec ’89-early Jan ’90 was COLDER.

Fred Souder
Guest
Fred Souder

late ’89 was a LOT colder. Highs well below zero. Got used to it, though, because it was colder for weeks. This short blasts of dry cold air stinks.

No doubt the MO. side schools will be closed Wed. morning.

Heat Miser
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Heat Miser

Got down to -23 in Topeka in Feb of 89…that was a record

Adam
Guest
Adam

I remember that year. They called school off for nearly a week because of the cold.

Janet
Guest
Janet

I remember so clearly not late December of ’89, but January 31 of ’89. I was in college in Hays, KS and the temp got to 79 degrees! Kids were in shorts, everyone was outside, loving the weather. February 1, 1989–high of 12 degrees and by February 4, high of -1. It was the most dramatic temp change I can ever remember. I still have the cartoon from the newspaper. It showed Jan 31–sleeveless kids playing basketball, Feb. 1–kids dressed to the max and shivering!

Fred Souder
Guest
Fred Souder

wow