Mild First Weekend of 2019, Where’s Winter?

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Good Saturday bloggers,

This is going to be a good day to take the holiday decorations down as we will see sunshine, a light wind and highs 55-60. Our next storm system is approaching California as it grabs a ton of moisture from the south Pacific. The system moves through Sunday night in a weakened state, so it will have plenty of moisture, but not much precipitation.

Take a look at all of the moisture that that the storm is grabbing from the El Nino warmed water in the south Pacific Ocean. There is even a small tropical disturbance at the southern end of the tropical moisture plume.

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TODAY: It will be sunny with a light wind and highs 55-60. There is a weak January cold front to the north. This front will not even make it as the system from the west tracks to our north. This will bring the warmer air north.

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SUNDAY MORNING: The clouds from the south Pacific will be overhead. This will keep temperatures in the low 40s.  It may drop to 35-40 by midnight, before rising back to the low 40s. Venus and Jupiter were spectacular this morning in the eastern sky. You will not be able to see them Sunday morning.

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SUNDAY AFTERNOON: It will be cloudy, breezy and mild with highs 50-55. The sun may be dimly visible at times.

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SUNDAY NIGHT-EARLY MONDAY: The system will race by with clouds, wind and a few rain showers. The rain will mostly get it’s act together east of our region. We may see a trace to .10″ of rain. Take a look at the temperature Monday morning. That is not a misprint as warmer air will surge north and temperatures will likely rise to the mid and upper 50s.

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MONDAY AFTERNOON: The system moves east of the Mississippi river and we have a low pressure trough moving by, not a cold front. So, highs will reach 55-60 again on Monday. The temperatures may drop to 45-50 mid Monday morning in between the Sunday night and Monday afternoon warm ups.

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WHERE’S WINTER? There is Arctic air lurking in Canada as storm systems are lined up in the Pacific Ocean. Starting next weekend and lasting for a couple of weeks we will see if one to three of the storm systems can grab some of the cold air to the north. So, let’s see how this evolves, because one of the systems that could grab colder air is timed for next weekend, yes the Chiefs game.

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Here was a view of Venus and Jupiter about 630 AM in the eastern sky. Again, tomorrow morning will be cloudy.

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Have a great weekend,

Jeff Penner

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Mr. Pete
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Mr. Pete

I don’t think the Chiefs will beat Indianapolis.. sorry folks.

snowhater
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snowhater

colts oh no chiefs lose b no snow heat miser ha ha ha ha ha ha

Athan
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Athan

The weather today really got me hoping for an early spring.

blue flash
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blue flash

I guess the moderation closed at 4:15 today…..

Lrcfan1
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Lrcfan1

Looks nice for the chiefs game 47 degrees is forecasted on Saturday!

Como
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Como

As we look at highs in the 50’s+ I just find it really hard to envision a switch flipping and winter weather returning. I mean, it was only a couple days ago that only one model run showed the AO going positive yet, now we’re talking like that’s what is going to happen and it shoots a dagger through our weather chances in the coming week? Someone posted earlier that they were 99.9% sure that this next cycle would produce, is that no longer the case?

blue flash
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blue flash

GFS for game time next Saturday has no storm, loosely packed isobars so very little wind, temperatures in the upper 40’s. Recent trend has been that the weekend storm has vanished.

Anonymous
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Anonymous

This well above average stuff will really suck this summer!

snowflakeparkville
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snowflakeparkville

It doesn’t have to! Look at 1949-1950 and the following summer in statistics. A mild winter with very little snow (5.5″, fourth least snowy on record, was second least before 2011), and then had the 2nd coolest July and 6th coolest August on record.

KS Jones
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KS Jones

High temperatures have exceeded expectations– it was 57° yesterday and it is currently 62°.
Haven’t had any rain or snow in the past ten days, but the ground is still muddy.

Araignee
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Araignee

There are large bees flying around my flower pots on the back deck. Very grateful for the beautiful mild weather!

Terry
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Terry

The model will change day-by-day model By model every hour and every day.

rush2112
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rush2112

Looking good for the game so far, could change this far out of course.

Lrcfan1
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Lrcfan1

I’m ready for spring, this weather is boring. Have a good day bloggers!!

someweatherdude
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someweatherdude

The GFS doesn’t show a single hour of below normal temperatures here for the next two weeks. Despite having a negative AO. Amazing.

Chris
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Chris

Is it normal to have 55 degree temps in Jan??

Janet
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Janet

You’re in Kansas City. I’ve lived here a long time now and it can be 70 and it can be below zero! Not one year has been the same since I’ve lived here! I pay close attention because we have a business where our guys work outside. Some January’s we work all month. The next year we possibly have to put all work off till March.

ClassyCat
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ClassyCat

First 2.0?

NoBeachHere
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NoBeachHere

1st or not?🤔

AnthonyW
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AnthonyW

First

Hockeynut69
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Hockeynut69

Mid to upper 70s down in south Texas. Visiting family and loving this weather. Mother Nature did not deliver a white Christmas, so I am ready for spring! Enjoy the KC weather it sounds great for January! It will probably go cold when I get back. 😂

Stl78(winon,mn)
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Stl78(winon,mn)

First on the second blog..lol

Rodney
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Rodney

First

Rodney (Ashland, MO)

snowhater
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snowhater

rfirst first cheifs lose to the ravens no snow haet miser

someweatherdude
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someweatherdude

You can’t even spell, dude.

Heat Miser
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Heat Miser

lol

Jobu
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Jobu

First

Hockeynut69
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Hockeynut69

First