Good morning bloggers,
This current storm system is tracking across the southern plains this morning. And, in this picture below, you can tell that it was over the desert southwest yesterday. This is just east of Tucson, Arizona. A rare sight in the desert.
This storm is now tracking into Oklahoma, and the forecast for them is quite difficult. Take a look at these two maps:
The storm will spin over the Red River Valley today and then track to over Arkansas on Friday. Kansas City will have almost no effect from this storm and the snow will change over to mostly rain by morning. El Niño is having an impact on these storm systems and this winter.
6:15 AM Radar:
An area of heavy snow was just southwest of OKC. Some spots across the southwestern half of Oklahoma may get 6 to 12 inches of snow as the storm spins overhead.
Looking ahead, the models are, as should be expected all over the place on the storm for the end of next week. It is an important storm, as it is the part of the cycle that brought us the blizzard, and the Chiefs play on the 12th in a big game at Arrowhead. As I said yesterday, it could be anywhere from just a strong cold front moving through late next week all the way up to a major snowstorm. And, the models have been showing all of these possible solutions.
What is this? This is the FV3-GFS model, and it has had a solution similar to this one four model runs in a row. It makes sense that the models will have a very difficult time with this part of the cycling pattern, and this storm. This FV3-GFS model which is being worked on to become the operational GFS model sometime in 2019 certainly is eye candy for us weather enthusiasts. Now, I don’t like the date up there, as this would be bad timing for the Chiefs home playoff game. Let’s see if the other models trend in this direction.
Have a great day and thank you for sharing in this weather experience.