The Top Weather Events of 2018 & A New Year’s Eve Storm

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Good morning bloggers,

A storm system, that was over Mexico yesterday, is now tracking right over eastern Kansas and western Missouri today.  An Arctic front is also on the move and heading this way.  And, let’s take a look at the top weather events of 2018.  Let’s begin with today’s storm system:

1

A large area of rain is moving northeast across Oklahoma into eastern Kansas, Missouri, and Arkansas, and it extends east across Illinois into southwestern Ohio this morning.  Rainfall amounts will approach 1″ near KC.  KCI Airport just needs 0.04″ to reach 40 inches for the year. The center of this disturbance will track right over the KC region this afternoon.  It may be just strong enough to dynamically cool the layer between the surface and 10,000 feet to allow for a mixture of snowflakes, and there is even a chance it will change to a heavy snow in some spots as it passes overhead.  This may surprise a few forecasters today, and I am paying close attention to this development.  It may happen just as it is passing by, and there still could be a small accumulation if the changeover happens.

Today’s storm system in Kansas City:

  • This morning:  A 100% chance of rain this morning with temperatures in the middle to upper 30s.  Southeast winds 5-15 mph.
  • This afternoon:  The rain will be ending with a few snowflakes mixed in. The rain may change to snow before ending, and if it does some minor accumulation is likely. This is most likely near KC and areas to the northeast of KC as the storm exits. The wind will shift to the northwest by late afternoon with temperatures beginning to drop to near freezing.
  • Tonight:  The cold blast arrives before midnight with falling temperatures to well below freezing. A few icy/slick spots may develop from any standing water.  There will be a chance of a few snowflakes and a very light dusting of snow.  Low:  12 degrees.
  • New Year’s Day:  Cloudy with a few snow flurries.  Wind chills near zero or lower with a high of 19°

10

The Top Kansas City Weather Events of 2018:

  • #1:  The November Blizzard with KC’s first 3″ snow storm in almost five years.  5.8″ fell with blowing and drifting snow.
  • #2:  Snow on Easter Sunday with snow on the first three Sunday’s in April
  • #3:  First 100° day in over four years. It reached 100° on July 12th, and it was part of a five day heat
  • #4:  The drought that extended east over Kansas City. It was mostly a hot and dry summer
  • #5:  Heavy 10″ rainfall in October finally wiping out the drought in our region
  • #6:  The earliest measurable snowfall in Kansas City’s history when it snowed 0.2″ on October 14

That first measurable snow on October 14th was the first of 14 days with snowflakes falling already this season.  Here are those 14 days:

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The storm moving across now is being kicked out by another storm system that will most likely track south of Kansas City later this week.  We are in the part of the cycling pattern that produced Kansas City’s first inch of snow to end our snowflake contest, and a similar storm system brought 9″ of snow to St. Louis.  It created a nightmare to forecast this system in November, and it is posing similar challenges for our region this time, especially down to the south in Oklahoma and St. Louis once again. It will need to be monitored closely, and I am expecting and forecasting that it will track south of KC once again.

Thank you for sharing in this weather experience in 2018.  We hope you have a safe New Year’s Eve! How about those Kansas City Chiefs. We will look into that anticipated storm that is due in between the 8th and 15th of the month. Hopefully it isn’t timed for the 12th when the Chiefs will host a playoff game at Arrowhead.  Happy New Year!

Gary

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rush2112
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rush2112

Looks like no snow or anything Thursday -Thursday night, all south.

Austin Braddock
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Austin Braddock

Are roads slick out?

j-ox
Guest
j-ox

We’re each another’s audience outside the gilded cage.
Peart/Shakespeare

Rodney’s Clockwork Angels
Guest
Rodney’s Clockwork Angels

I would like that mid week storm to get us with some snow so the “Subdivisions” around Lawrence look like winter!!!

rush2112
Guest
rush2112

Just stepped outside and there is – DZ here near St Luke’s S. and that will be – FRDZ very soon if it continues.

Bsmike
Guest
Bsmike

I guess Thursday is a no now, Gary said south at 5 pm newscast. Crap !!!

Bill in Lawrence
Guest
Bill in Lawrence

Time for Aldo Nova?? The Canadian music on here today…:-)

Snow Miser
Guest
Snow Miser

It’s just a fantasy (oh oh oh oh)
It’s not the real thing (oh oh oh oh)
It’s just a fantasy (oh oh oh oh)
It’s not the real thing (oh oh oh oh)
Sometimes a fantasy (oh oh oh oh)
Is all you need:
comment image

Heat Miser
Guest
Heat Miser

Make it happen brother…I won’t interfere. 😉

Stl78(winon,mn)
Guest
Stl78(winon,mn)

The 18z Nam continues to blast u guys

Kurt
Guest
Kurt

Front made it here, stronger northwesterly winds now, everyone that’s out tonight be extremely cautious with areas that normally have standing water on or near roads due to freezing. Also any areas that don’t dry out.

Just use good judgement and Happy New Year!!!

Adam
Guest
Adam

From Pleasant Hill NWS. KC received 0.80″ of rain today tying it for the 3rd wettest New Years Eve on record. That totals 3.04″ for the month of December which is nearly twice the normal amount (1.53″) and makes it the 11th wettest Dec. on the 131-year record. I’d say we’re in a much better place than we’ve been in for awhile. Whether it’s snowing when we want it or not.

Bill in Lawrence
Guest
Bill in Lawrence

The front is through Lawrence….the plunge in temps will begin here soon. Manhattan is at 32….Concordia at 22. We were close these past 2 events to having decent accumulating snow; better than anything we have seen the past few years. The storm Thursday tracks over Nevada instead of Topeka….the wave today holds back about 4 hours and then rides the arctic front up over central Missouri…..closer to two decent snows in 6 days than any set up we have seen the past few years. I’ll eat my crow and admit I missed something (more than just El Ninio) about the… Read more »

blue flash
Guest
blue flash

1.0 inches of rain here in southern Independence.

Hockeynut69
Guest
Hockeynut69

So did the nearby area of KC get the 3” the HRRR was predicting? It seems the models don’t take in consideration of current conditions and overstate these events time and time again. They may be worthy in showing a trend but by no means worthy of accumulating totals.

MMike
Guest
MMike

Hockeynut69, The HRRR did an excellent job on storm totals. It made the adjustment late last night into this morning on moving the heavier rain farther NW. There was certainly a trend on all models for snow to fall as the storm got closer, in the end, it did snow, so the data is pretty amazing to pick up on that. The data likely couldn’t figure out ground temps as we have all seen before…rain change to snow and temps drop to 32 degrees and it accumulate fast. It did snow hard and even accumulated for a very short period… Read more »

snowflakeparkville
Guest
snowflakeparkville

To corroborate your NW Barry account – west Parkville, dusting on roofs, railings, etc around noon. Probably KCI recorded tiny measurable snow, like 0.1-0.3″.

Hockeynut69
Guest
Hockeynut69

MMike don’t get me wrong I am happy with the moisture. I have sod that was put in October, seed that was planted over Lbor Day, trees and shrubs in October, and dormant seeding on Thanksgiving weekend. But what I mean by current conditions, I am saying the ground temperature, air temperature, wetness of flakes. Those should all be factors in predicting accumulation. I have heard the local weather folks take all those factors when talking about snow totals and saying that the models are overstating amounts and those conditions would reduce accumulating totals on various storms.

Kurt
Guest
Kurt

Amen! Awesome to finally get wet and functioning storms in what isn’t considered a “wet” month.

We’re at 3 inches precip up here in St Joseph for the month, that hasn’t happened in the last two lrcs for us, good bye drought.

MMike
Guest
MMike

Hold the phone….Kurt is happy with the pattern??? NO WAY! LOL. Just messing with ya!

Hockeynut….understood. Thanks.

f00dl3
Guest
f00dl3

KCI probably got 0.2″

rush2112
Guest
rush2112

Yeah, we will see, and you’re not going to like it too much. Happy New Year anyway!

Bsmike
Guest
Bsmike

Rush …. keep talking trash bro. You will see soon what Texas is made out of. Tom Herman as the underdog is dangerous.

rush2112
Guest
rush2112

The main event is winding down, areal cvg on radar is decreasing, and most of the action is N of the river. No accumulation, but the models sure got everyone excited, and then let down, as usual.

Bill in Lawrence
Guest
Bill in Lawrence

Okay…2 Rush fans in the same blog….gotta love it!!!! Rush 2112 and Clockwork Angels…..AWESOME!!!! 🙂 I personally love Clockwork Angels and probably listen to at least 3-4 tracks a week from that album. They blistered the opening of R40 with 3 songs from that album!!!! Oh yea…this is a weather blog….:-) Snowed for about 20 minuets here at school (23rd and Crossgate)….arctic front on the move….much more interesting weather day than the models were showing 18 hours ago for this area!! Enter the champion….Prince Bytor appears….the spell has been broken…the dark lands are bright….if you chose not to decide…you still… Read more »

REAL HUMEDUDE
Guest
REAL HUMEDUDE

I respectfully argue Rush lead singer has most annoying voice ever recorded and it’s a blight to mankind that unfortunately persists to this day. It’s just one of those bands I can’t listen to, like KISS

Adam
Guest
Adam

And Meatloaf, and Queen…I hate whiney and nasel voices.

Bill in Lawrence
Guest
Bill in Lawrence

REAL HUMEDUDE:

I totally understand….they are one of those bands. That said….voice or no, all three are in the top 5 historically with their respective instruments…amazing the talent in that band.

Nick
Guest
Nick

Had a nice slushing here in st. Joe, a nice burst of heavy snow, that now has tapered to light rain/drizzle again, still though, yet another producing system and I consider it a bonus, since it looked like it could have all stayed just to our southeast on alot of the models up through yesterday( although the new GFS I think was not too bad on this).

MMike
Guest
MMike

Nick, The RGEM short range model picked up on this well.(it has done a pretty good job the last several storms. It was the most robust with precip. totals and much farther to the NW. All data had the storm, but a bit off on the far NW extent. Good rains for all and the drought is a distant memory as soils have been very wet since OCT. You’re right, this is a much better pattern this winter then last year. I believe this is the 4th year in a row that KC has finished above the annual average in… Read more »

snowflakeparkville
Guest
snowflakeparkville

rain -> heavy snow, huge flakes -> rain -> heavy snow, small flakes -> very light rain, almost nothing -> light snow (current)

Rodney’s Clockwork Angels
Guest
Rodney’s Clockwork Angels

We had half dollar sized flakes for 20 minutes in East Lawrence. It is ending now and even had seen a peak of sun coming out.

Bsmike
Guest
Bsmike

Still nothing here in Blue Springs 😡

rush2112
Guest
rush2112

Ready for that Bulldog beatdown tomorrow?

Snow Miser
Guest
Snow Miser

Looks like the forecasts of an inch or three are gonna go poof. Still not sticking here and there’s not much left on the radar.

rush2112
Guest
rush2112

As I was saying earlier….🙄

Snow Miser
Guest
Snow Miser

Yup you hit it on the nail.

Blue Flash
Guest
Blue Flash

Back to rain at the sports complex.

Snow Miser
Guest
Snow Miser

Mega huge flakes coming down heavily in Independence. I wonder what the record for the world’s largest snowflake is? :-/

Snow Miser
Guest
Snow Miser
Blue Flash
Guest
Blue Flash

What is the Eskimo name for these snowballs falling from the sky?

Mr. Pete
Guest
Mr. Pete

All rain in Prairie Village again.

Blue Flash
Guest
Blue Flash

Huge flakes by the sports complex.

Bsmike
Guest
Bsmike

Nothing in BS yet

Bsmike
Guest
Bsmike

Gary freaking cracking me up catching ❄️

Chris S.
Guest
Chris S.

120th and State Line……Huge Charlie Brown sized snowflakes.

Frankie
Guest
Frankie

Is anyone watching Gary’s FB live? I have never seen him so excited. He’s hyped over the big snowflakes, lol. It’s awesome

Michael
Guest
Michael

Just changed to snow in Lansing

NoBeachHere
Guest
NoBeachHere

Snow in Liberty
Rain still mixed in

Snow Miser
Guest
Snow Miser

Finally some flakes mixed in with the rain in Independence.

Austin Braddock
Guest
Austin Braddock

How long is rain supposed to last

Lisa Lu
Guest
Lisa Lu

Huge snowflakes falling in OP – 119th/Antioch – monster size! Falling at a pretty good clip and sticking to my deck – streets not so much. Was out an about running errands about 30 mins ago and could see tiny ice particles in the huge rain drops also. Stat in car read 39.

Lisa Lu
Guest
Lisa Lu

These are the largest snowflakes I’ve ever seen!! Coming down at a fast pace and really beautiful

RossBo
Guest
RossBo

Huge clumps. Beautiful!

JimH
Guest
JimH

I hope Terry and Heat Buddy are having a play date

Kurt
Guest
Kurt

Silver dollar sized snowflakes now, starting to turn the ground white.

Lori Gillespie
Guest
Lori Gillespie

Huge snow flakes falling in Gladstone!

Weatherby Tom
Guest
Weatherby Tom

Huge snowflakes here at Weatherby Lake, temp 36

snowflakeparkville
Guest
snowflakeparkville

Was huge snowflakes for a while, now it’s tiny snowflakes falling really hard. Sticking as half-frozen ice on just a few surfaces.

rush2112
Guest
rush2112

Not going to stick to the roads. .60″ rain s. OP near St Lukes.

Mike M (Lenexa)
Guest
Mike M (Lenexa)

Big white snow flakes falling in Lenexa. Reminds me of a snow globe. Starting to stick on our grass and deck.

The current radar echos suggest we will have this around for another hour or so.

Cmw
Member
Cmw

Snowing at west side of Barry Rd

EmilyB
Guest
EmilyB

The rain just changed over to big fat snowflakes here in Berryton, KS at 11:50. 🙂

Freezemiser
Guest
Freezemiser

All rain (heavy at times) still in eastern Independence. The raindrops seem like they may have some snow mixing in but it might be wishful thinking!

Mr. Pete
Guest
Mr. Pete

Snow stopped. I think that was it. Was pretty for about 10 minutes.

Jayhawker
Guest
Jayhawker

It switched over to all snow here near Oskaloosa for a few minutes and snow stuck thickly at that point. Now more rain mixed in and few flakes. Have a heavy dusting to 1/4 inch of snow on ground at the moment.