Good Saturday bloggers,
The low this morning was 9°. Let’s put this into perspective. The record low was 19° and the average low is 37°. The average high is 56°. So, we are running close to 30° below average.
Now we turn our attention to the next chance of precipitation. A large, wet storm system will be forming in the southern Plains Sunday. As the storm is forming we may get in on a northern extension Sunday afternoon and evening. There is a trend towards our area seeing a period of snow, possibly starting as a mix with rain.
Let’s go through this changing forecast.
SATURDAY: It will be mostly sunny with highs in the low to mid 30s. A south wind of 10-20 mph will keep wind chills in the teens and 20s.
TONIGHT-SUNDAY MORNING: It will be dry and not as cold with lows in the 20s to around 30°. However, a south wind of 10-20 mph will keep wind chills in the teens.
SUNDAY NOON: The Chiefs kickoff at noon, and Sporting KC begins at 2 PM. Right now it looks dry for the Chiefs kickoff with temperatures rising to close to 40°.
SUNDAY AFTERNOON: There is a data trend towards a mix of snow/rain or all snow to move in around 3 PM. Temperatures will be 35°-40°, so like the other day the roads will start off wet.
SUNDAY EVENING AND NIGHT: The mix would quickly change to snow, peaking 7-10 PM. Two things to keep in mind.
1. Temperatures would likely be at or above freezing, so roads would be wet. Although, with surfaces a bit colder initially, there could be some slick spots after 4-5 PM. Lows Monday drop to 25°-30°, so if we have wet to damp roads, slick spots would be likely by Monday morning.
2. We are are at a 50-50 chance of this occurring as there is some data showing the precipitation well south. So, how far north will the precipitation shield travel? We will know more Sunday.
Our snow chance is just the northern fringe of a huge and wet storm that will affect the southern USA Sunday-Monday and the east coast Tuesday. We will have a new cold blast Monday with clouds and wind chill values in the teens. So, again, how far north will the precipitation travel, before heading back south?
SNOWFALL FORECAST: Amarillo, TX has a chance to see 2″-5″ of snow and this is quite a story. It has been 634 days (February 14, 2017) since Amarillo received measurable snow!
We have a chance to see a dusting to 1 ” on grassy surfaces. So, most likely the snowflake contest will continue through this next snow chance. Now, we have to watch this closely and we will know more Sunday.
Have a great weekend and stay warm.