Anticipation Is Building: A 100% Chance Of Snow

/Anticipation Is Building: A 100% Chance Of Snow

Anticipation Is Building: A 100% Chance Of Snow

Afternoon Update:

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Look at this large area of snow at around 1:30 PM.  How long has it been since we experienced anything like this? Now, we have some things to accomplish; 1) The ending of the snowflake contest on November 8th this year, and 2)  Getting three inches to accumulate to end an almost five year streak. The latter may be tough, as the first inch will melt and won’t count.  I still think we will end up with 1 to 3 inches on grassy surfaces, and 1″ or less on untreated pavement surfaces before this ends.  So, the snowflake contest is almost 100% certain to end this evening.  I am at work, just wanted to provide this update.  We will keep you updated on Facebook, twitter, and 41 Action News. I will try to update the blog later!

Previous entry below:

Good morning bloggers,

There is a 100% chance of snow today!  Some spots may go over 2″ and approach 3 or 4 inches by midnight tonight.  Remember, it has now been almost five years since we had three inches of snow in one storm.  This streak most likely will continue after today, as it would have to fall at KCI Airport for that streak to continue.  We finally have some evidence of a bit more organization to this fast moving upper level storm today.

eta27hr_500_vrt

A few model runs have come in showing this main disturbance strengthening as it tracks across southern Kansas later today and tonight.  Do you know what PVA is?  PVA is Positive Vorticity Advection, and notice the colors around the X.  Vorticity is increasing from Kansas City into that X with a channel of PVA targeting our area later today and this evening. This is valid at 9 PM and between 6 PM and 9 PM is when we should get the most influence from this wave, and it may last all the way up until around midnight.  This is why the amounts have come up on some of the models again.  The European Model was the last model to come back into focus with snowfall, and the only reason that model had less, is that it has it near 41 degrees this afternoon.  The profile of the lower atmosphere is below freezing all the way up the morning. By this afternoon there will be a very thin layer of above 32° air near the surface.  The precipitation may start as rain, but I wouldn’t be surprised if it starts as mostly snow, unless it does surge to near 40.  The surface temperatures are something to monitor.

Snowfall Forecast:

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11

12

10

There is likely going to be a band of heavier amounts along the path of that X, the “Vort Max”.  Exactly where that location will be is still being monitored, seemingly targeting the south KC metro area. This could be in a different position, however, so let’s see if it begins showing up around 6 PM.

Kansas City Weather Timeline:

  • Now-Noon:  Increasing clouds. It will stay dry.  High: 38°
  • Noon-3 PM:  Cloudy with rain, snow, or a mixture of precipitation developing and increasing from west to east.  It will be staying west of the state line until around 2 or 3 PM.  Temperatures in the middle to upper 30s
  • 3 PM-6 PM:  The mixture changes to snow and begins accumulating on grassy surfaces.  Temperatures dropping a few degrees but staying just above 32°. The roads will be wet and not slick yet, unless the snow begins coming down hard.
  • 6 PM-midnight:  Snow likely with a 1 to 2 inches likely. A few spots may get a bit more. Slick and hazardous conditions are possible as temperatures begin dropping to below freezing
  • Friday:  A few snow showers or graupel showers are possible.  Temperatures rising to a bit above freezing, then dropping Friday night into Saturday morning into the teens. Some slick spots are likely

Thank you for spending a few minutes of your day reading the Action Weather Blog featuring Weather2020 and the LRC. Have a great day.  Watch 41 Action News as we keep you updated.  The snowflake contest will likely end this evening.

Gary

2018-11-09T07:45:36+00:00November 8th, 2018|General|178 Comments

178 Comments

  1. BSMike November 8, 2018 at 6:48 am - Reply

    What a great start to the snow season Gary, it’s only November 8th! WOW

  2. Elaine Watson November 8, 2018 at 6:56 am - Reply

    Let the excitement begin! Thanks for the early update Gary.

  3. Johnny November 8, 2018 at 7:04 am - Reply

    Is it a cause for concern if we het 2 or 3 inches of wet snow on the trees?

    • Gary November 8, 2018 at 7:11 am - Reply

      I think it will become a problem if it is a bit more than that amount. 2″ or so will likely not be enough weight to cause problems.

  4. Mr. Pete November 8, 2018 at 7:05 am - Reply

    I’ve noticed that no one is treating any roads, so whatever falls tonight will probably stick to roads.

    • RossBo November 8, 2018 at 7:18 am - Reply

      KCMetroKDOT says in the window between rain & snow, pretreatment will go down to help manage icing. Biggest concern is refreeze tonight, especially bridges & overpasses. Will be interesting to see what commuters face tomorrow morning.

  5. Craig November 8, 2018 at 7:10 am - Reply

    Hey, Gary, off topic for a minute…
    As a child of the 70s and 80s, have you seen the Queen movie yet? It’s freaking fantastic! You’ve got to go see it!

  6. Terry November 8, 2018 at 7:11 am - Reply

    Gary or someone How come the NWS Hasnt Issued any kind of watch like a WWA or something yet ? I pick tonight For my snowflake contact early evening.

    • LYITC41 November 8, 2018 at 9:35 am - Reply

      Because it’s a non event.

      • Jack November 8, 2018 at 10:26 am - Reply

        Usually for a 1-3 inch event they will issue an advisory.

  7. snowflakeparkville November 8, 2018 at 7:28 am - Reply

    Here it comes! yay

  8. BIG PAPA POOF November 8, 2018 at 7:32 am - Reply

    Poof

  9. RossBo November 8, 2018 at 7:32 am - Reply

    As a guy who lived in Alaska and Utah growing up, this feeling of the prelude to snow is exciting!

    Read that the weather balloon sounding from Topeka, KS sampled a layer of drying air between 3k to 4k ft and my prevent precip from reaching the ground until this afternoon, but could also aid to faster changeover to snow.

    • RossBo November 8, 2018 at 7:33 am - Reply

      *may not my

  10. A1hoops November 8, 2018 at 7:49 am - Reply

    Aren’t the temps this morning a couple degrees cooler than what the models are showing that it was suppose to be last night?

  11. Snow Miser November 8, 2018 at 7:52 am - Reply

    Ugh, the one time I don’t want snow … 🙁

    • Heat Miser November 8, 2018 at 8:28 am - Reply

      You are Snow Miser….this is your doing

      • Snow Miser November 8, 2018 at 8:47 am - Reply

        I’ll make you a deal: I’ll let you send a little of your warmth up here to KC tomorrow morning, and in turn you’ve got to let me make a little snow around here on Christmas.

        • Heat Miser November 8, 2018 at 10:36 am - Reply

          NO DEAL brother! Sorry! LET IT SNOW I say!!!!

          • Snow Miser November 8, 2018 at 11:02 am - Reply

            Mother is going to hear about this! 🙁

  12. craig November 8, 2018 at 7:55 am - Reply

    12Z NAM is all snow…albeit the heavier stuff is a bit further south than I’d like.

  13. Frankie November 8, 2018 at 8:01 am - Reply

    We didn’t get our first inch of snow last year till Dec 23rd I believe. This year? Try November 8th!!! Awesome

  14. Skylar November 8, 2018 at 8:02 am - Reply

    Is there anyone who can get some statistics for snowfall in November?

  15. SnowDays November 8, 2018 at 8:02 am - Reply

    Snow Miser, isn’t that just life though?

  16. Mike November 8, 2018 at 8:06 am - Reply

    There is a big difference between the snow amount from Gary’s graphic last night and this morning. I thought dusting is the main event for today.

    • Frankie November 8, 2018 at 8:07 am - Reply

      The trend on the models has gone up since yesterday

    • Gary November 8, 2018 at 8:08 am - Reply

      Mike,

      It is the exact same graphic from last night! I love it when I do not need to update things, when there is consistency.

      Gary

      • Mr. Pete November 8, 2018 at 10:58 am - Reply

        Yes Gary – winning!

  17. Todd A Suits November 8, 2018 at 8:13 am - Reply

    How do I sign up for the snowfall contest? Am I missing the link on here?

    • Gary November 8, 2018 at 8:18 am - Reply

      Go to my facebook page or Twitter for the link. it is kshb.com/contests

  18. BSMike November 8, 2018 at 8:14 am - Reply

    Gary you stuck with your guns, others were afraid to say anything in accumulation numbers especially furry Chanel. Good job you have nailed it!! And the models were saying this 10 days out so that’s a plus for future storms.

    • Anonymous November 8, 2018 at 9:39 am - Reply

      Kiss Kiss

    • LYITC41 November 8, 2018 at 10:48 am - Reply

      It hasn’t happened yet, Kiss. Slow down.

  19. Skylar November 8, 2018 at 8:20 am - Reply

    It’s interesting that the new GFS has been one of the first models to show the last two chances of snow, but it has also done a terrible job with the specifics. Might be something to look out for this winter.

  20. Skylar November 8, 2018 at 8:30 am - Reply

    It looks like the biggest snowfall in Kansas City during the first two weeks of November is exactly 2”, with very few other small accumulation events occurring during that period.

  21. RossBo November 8, 2018 at 8:35 am - Reply
  22. Adam November 8, 2018 at 8:47 am - Reply

    I-70 Kansas midway through the state. http://www.kandrive.org/kandrive/roads/#devices/-97.9376/39.1852/7 Looks like it is snowing there already. Could be rain, but looks a little white to me around there.

  23. BSMike November 8, 2018 at 8:48 am - Reply

    Radar is blowing up!!

  24. Kurt November 8, 2018 at 8:53 am - Reply

    I think there will be a cutoff of heavier snow and not sure everyone especially us up north will get significant accumulation. It’s been a drier than normal first week of November up here, really drier than normal since the wet 4 days in early October. Hopefully this can be more widespread, but looks to be bands and if you’re not in the band it won’t be significant.

    • Fred November 8, 2018 at 9:08 am - Reply

      Debbie Downer.

      • Kurt November 8, 2018 at 9:13 am - Reply

        Nope need to be realistic. Hard to get excited when we are still 13 plus inches precip below normal year to date in St. Joseph, what we need here are wet systems even lots of snow that can melt into the ground when it thaws.

        • Fred November 8, 2018 at 10:15 am - Reply

          But, it is all the time, Kurt. We know you are below average in precipitation this year, because you have told the blog multiple times. Many of us are dealing with the same thing…yet, we take the weather and rain and snow when we get it, even if it is just a small amount and we are thankful for it.

          It isn’t the Dust Bowl of the 1930s. And the locusts aren’t coming.

          We know the pattern will change to benefit all of us, sometime. Anyways, have a nice day!

        • Heat Miser November 8, 2018 at 10:34 am - Reply

          Sad for your area…Lawrence has had buttloads of rain, esp. in October

  25. BSMike November 8, 2018 at 9:00 am - Reply
    • Frankie November 8, 2018 at 9:07 am - Reply

      Wow!!! Already accumulating there

  26. Brittany November 8, 2018 at 9:23 am - Reply

    Yay I’m excited!!

  27. craig November 8, 2018 at 9:29 am - Reply

    Why ANYONE watches Mr Calm…The Downplayer…who fancies himself “the adult in the room” is beyond me.
    He’s now a caricature of himself. So intent upon downplaying ANY possibility of a significant weather event that he’s become insignificant, unimportant and unwatchable.

    • Choppy November 8, 2018 at 9:55 am - Reply

      Apparently you watch him

      • Craig November 8, 2018 at 10:18 am - Reply

        Nope. Only very rarely. Mainly when I’m curious to know what’s NOT going to happen.

        • lks2003 November 8, 2018 at 11:06 am - Reply

          I prefer the calmer approach you get there, just sayin.

    • Kathy November 8, 2018 at 11:31 am - Reply

      I told my husband (who is a big fan of his) that he’s always wrong. Lol…we don’t argue about politics (even though we are on different sides), we argue about this guy’s accuracy. Our arguments are brutal at times.;-)

  28. Jason November 8, 2018 at 9:30 am - Reply

    My parents live just west of McPherson. Dad sent me a picture of 3″ already.

  29. A1hoops November 8, 2018 at 9:37 am - Reply

    We are still at 30 degrees and it’s already snowing aloft. I won’t if we will make it to freezing today

  30. Stacey November 8, 2018 at 9:40 am - Reply

    Do we think accumulation will happen on sidewalks and roads or just grassy areas? Wondering if the roads will be too warm.

  31. Anonymous November 8, 2018 at 9:43 am - Reply

    Hope it verifies for the snow lovers.

    Tired of snowless winter seasons.

  32. KS Jones November 8, 2018 at 9:57 am - Reply

    Tiny snowflakes are just now beginning to fall here (25 miles directly north of Manhattan, as the crow flies). The forecast says we could get 2″. It is currently 29°)

  33. RossBo November 8, 2018 at 10:05 am - Reply

    WWA issued

    • Ryan November 8, 2018 at 10:08 am - Reply

      …WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
      10 PM CST THIS EVENING…

      * WHAT…Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of up to one inch
      expected, mainly over grassy and elevated surfaces.

  34. Skylar November 8, 2018 at 10:08 am - Reply

    RAP and HRRR show temperatures jumping into the low 40s, then not falling back below freezing until the precipitation ends. Considering the environment upstream from the current wind direction + evaporational cooling that doesn’t seem to make sense.

  35. Jill November 8, 2018 at 10:17 am - Reply

    Very light snow just started in Topeka. Woo hoo!

    • lks2003 November 8, 2018 at 11:16 am - Reply

      17Z metar for Billard(KTOP) shows no snow at all there. Ceiling 3800 agl, should be awhile before any sig snow in Topeka.

  36. Troy November 8, 2018 at 10:26 am - Reply

    Moderate snow here in RP county covering the grassy areas. Had some heavy snow early this morning but it lasted just about 15 minutes.

  37. Heat Miser November 8, 2018 at 10:31 am - Reply

    I know I have snow anticipation out the ying yang.

  38. Rodney November 8, 2018 at 10:31 am - Reply

    I noticed your snow map showed under an inch for Columbia, MO, do you expect the system to weaken as it moves eastward down I-70? Could Columbia see 1-2” in your opinion, thanks

  39. Jack November 8, 2018 at 10:33 am - Reply

    It has been obvious over the last 2 days that the bullseye will be to our southwest, and radar is showing that. They will likely get 3-4 inches down there, maybe even 5. I think the 6z gfs this morning gives a really good picture of what will happen this afternoon. We need to watch the radar for heavier developments out by Salina, and we also need to keep in mind that the models can not predict melting snow. So while 1-3 inches for the metro is a good prediction.. some of that may melt when first begins to fall.

    Gary, great job with sticking to your guns. I think 1-2 inches, a few spots maybe getting a bit more, is a great prediction. Onto to radar watching!

  40. Heat Miser November 8, 2018 at 10:38 am - Reply

    1 inch = good, 2 inches = very good, 3 inches = outstanding

  41. Mr. Pete November 8, 2018 at 11:01 am - Reply

    I bet a surprise three inches might affect the schools tomorrow, we shall see.

    Pete

  42. snowflakeparkville November 8, 2018 at 11:11 am - Reply

    Nothing coming down yet in southern Platte County.

  43. Skylar November 8, 2018 at 11:20 am - Reply

    Beginning to flurry here in Lawrence

  44. Mark November 8, 2018 at 11:25 am - Reply

    Nothing close to downtown even though the radar shows tons of snow over KC. Just too warm to hit the ground.

    • snowflakeparkville November 8, 2018 at 11:33 am - Reply

      Too dry I think

  45. KS Jones November 8, 2018 at 11:28 am - Reply

    Snow is now accumulating on leaves, but it is especially noticeable on a sprawling juniper below a bedroom window, where a covey of 15 quail are now taking shelter. As I look out over the valley, the visibility is now only 1/2 mile.

  46. A1hoops November 8, 2018 at 11:45 am - Reply

    Snowflake coming down at town center 119th and nall

    • Ryan November 8, 2018 at 11:47 am - Reply

      Can confirm. 117th and Nall

    • Melanie November 8, 2018 at 11:51 am - Reply

      Yes! I see snow flurries at 115th and Metcalf!

  47. Bill in Lawrence November 8, 2018 at 11:48 am - Reply

    Snowing in Lawrence….just let my 4th hour World History go out and run around in it!!! 🙂

    Bill in Washington Creek Valley in Lawrence

  48. craig November 8, 2018 at 11:49 am - Reply

    My weather bug says it’s still just 31 in Lenexa. HRRR might be off.

    • Gary November 8, 2018 at 12:06 pm - Reply

      Suggestion: Stop looking at the HRRR. The Euro and HRRR have been way too warm. The NAM got this one. I am getting my snow vest on and heading into work soon. I may do a Facebook Live! 1-3 inches likely near KC. There may still be a band that has a bit more. By the time I am on at 4 or 5 PM, we should be able to pick up the exact location.

      Gary

      • Jack November 8, 2018 at 12:21 pm - Reply

        HRRR just went a little colder on its latest run. I feel like heaviest band will be near Emporia based on the radar.

  49. Frankie November 8, 2018 at 11:50 am - Reply

    Gary on Twitter just bumped his prediction to 1-3″ because of the increased snow activity picking up out west!

  50. Heat Miser November 8, 2018 at 11:52 am - Reply

    Well look at that, Bill is correct…it IS snowing in Lawrence. I may have to go run around in it too, just like your 4th hour World History.

  51. ginapuff November 8, 2018 at 12:05 pm - Reply

    Snowing in Gardner!

  52. RossBo November 8, 2018 at 12:07 pm - Reply

    Flakes in OP!

  53. Mark November 8, 2018 at 12:18 pm - Reply

    Flakes at 119th and I-35!

  54. akaclw1959@aol.com November 8, 2018 at 12:25 pm - Reply

    Is that a dry spot forming west of Kc?

    • Fred Nolan November 8, 2018 at 12:55 pm - Reply

      Wow. I haven’t seen someone use an AOL email address in a long time.

      • akaclw1959@aol.com November 8, 2018 at 1:02 pm - Reply

        Very new I’ll change that

  55. Supercell November 8, 2018 at 12:32 pm - Reply

    34 degrees at 12:30 and all snow in far south OP (about 164th and Quivira) Nice size flakes.

  56. George November 8, 2018 at 12:40 pm - Reply

    Light snow at my job in Lees Summit. Wonder what’s coming down at my house in OP

  57. snowflakeparkville November 8, 2018 at 12:44 pm - Reply

    Still nothing in Platte!

  58. Tim in Lone Jack November 8, 2018 at 12:50 pm - Reply

    The non-participating Tim from Lone Jack begrudgingly indicates flakes outside.

  59. Fred Nolan November 8, 2018 at 12:54 pm - Reply

    Nice flurry storm here in North Olathe. Nothing sticking yet.

  60. Snow Miser November 8, 2018 at 12:57 pm - Reply

    Flurries in Independence.

  61. BSMike November 8, 2018 at 12:57 pm - Reply

    Nothing in KCK near State Ave. yet!

  62. Carl Karlsson November 8, 2018 at 1:05 pm - Reply

    Snowing pretty heavily in Harrisonville at 1305. Not sticking yet.

  63. Phillip November 8, 2018 at 1:07 pm - Reply

    Flurries coming down in grain valley

  64. BSMike November 8, 2018 at 1:10 pm - Reply

    Flurries now @ KCK & State Ave.

  65. A1hoops November 8, 2018 at 1:14 pm - Reply

    Looks like a donut hole over the north side of the city. Looks like the heavy snow will set up along and south of the 435 loop

  66. blue flash November 8, 2018 at 1:19 pm - Reply

    Snowing by the Sports Complex.

    • Gary November 8, 2018 at 1:38 pm - Reply

      When a storm starts early, it is never a bad thing. I just updated the blog with the radar image, something we have not experienced in years. Take a look at the beginning of the blog.

      • Frankie November 8, 2018 at 1:47 pm - Reply

        This widespread of a snow hasn’t been seen very often the past few years. I believe this is a telling sign of the winter. The past two LRCs, this storm would have fallen apart and dissipated before it reached KC. Instead, it is now strengthening.

  67. shoedog November 8, 2018 at 1:25 pm - Reply

    light consistent snow for about 1 hour in Leawood, nothing sticking yet.

  68. Brittany November 8, 2018 at 1:43 pm - Reply

    Snowing at Longview Lake in Lees Summit!

  69. Farmgirl November 8, 2018 at 1:45 pm - Reply

    Huge flakes swirling in La Cygne. Haven’t seen it snow this heavy in several years. It’s sticking to elevated surfaces like the barn roofs. Wow, wasn’t expecting it to be so heavy this early.

  70. Weatherby Tom November 8, 2018 at 1:45 pm - Reply

    light snow at Weatherby Lake, I hope I’m not in any donut hole for this thing

  71. KS Jones November 8, 2018 at 1:47 pm - Reply

    I just measured 1.5″ of accumulated snow. The air temperature hasn’t gone above 30°, and the forecast says we can expect more snow for the “next several hours”.

    • Jack November 8, 2018 at 1:55 pm - Reply

      Where are you?

      • KS Jones November 8, 2018 at 2:33 pm - Reply

        25 miles north of Manhattan

      • KS Joned November 8, 2018 at 2:46 pm - Reply

        The wet snow accumulation is now slightly more than 2″. There has been very little breeze, so the snow depth is easily measured.

  72. snowflakeparkville November 8, 2018 at 1:47 pm - Reply

    Finally started coming down. Riverside, MO. Please please don’t be a donut hole.

  73. Jeanna Vossmer November 8, 2018 at 2:01 pm - Reply

    Just starting lightly in Lansing,Ks

  74. Tim in Lone Jack November 8, 2018 at 2:07 pm - Reply

    The non-participating Tim from Lone Jack begrudgingly indicates it is beginning to stick on elevated surfaces

  75. Elaine Watson November 8, 2018 at 2:07 pm - Reply

    Finally out of the dry slot. Very fine flakes here in Mc Louth. 35 degrees. Hope it is still snowing when temps drop.

  76. Jason November 8, 2018 at 2:20 pm - Reply

    SNOW!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

  77. blue flash November 8, 2018 at 2:27 pm - Reply

    Bigger flakes by Sports Complex, still not sticking on any surfaces.

  78. LYITC41 November 8, 2018 at 2:30 pm - Reply

    Fortunately the heaviest of it seems to be staying south.

    • craig November 8, 2018 at 2:37 pm - Reply

      Check the Topeka radar and look near Emporia. Then note the direction it is moving.

  79. Akiba Rubinstein November 8, 2018 at 2:33 pm - Reply

    Looking at live radar, I don’t see how this is going to drop 3″ of snow. I think the streak continues.

  80. Supercell November 8, 2018 at 2:33 pm - Reply

    Down to 33 degrees with moderate snow beginning to accumulate on grassy surfaces trees and rooftops. South OP

  81. Michael Casteel November 8, 2018 at 2:33 pm - Reply

    Just started getting very and I mean very light snow up here in Maryville. Doesn’t look like my Bobcats will be getting a workout anytime soon! Hope you guys down south get some snow! Go Chiefs!
    Michael

  82. Weatherfreaker November 8, 2018 at 2:52 pm - Reply

    Many of the trees still have some or most of their leaves…any possibility that the snow will stick to them once the temp drops below freezing causing possible tree limbs down and power outages? If so, not good…

  83. snowflakeparkville November 8, 2018 at 2:53 pm - Reply

    Coming down pretty hard now here. Not sticking to anything.

  84. f00dl3 November 8, 2018 at 2:58 pm - Reply

    3 hours of light to moderate snow here in Lenexa, maybe a trace on chairs and the deck. Got plenty of snow moving our way so even if it doesn’t stick until after 7 PM, I think it still looks as if we got an inch to two heading in.

  85. blue flash November 8, 2018 at 3:01 pm - Reply

    Its starting to stick on trees and grass here by the Sports Complex, although I think more is still melting than sticking.

  86. Kurt November 8, 2018 at 3:16 pm - Reply

    starting to whiten up the grass and trees here in St. Joseph, started snowing about 2:55 pm

  87. Mr. Pete November 8, 2018 at 3:20 pm - Reply

    Look at the glorious snow coming down!

  88. REAL HUMEDUDE November 8, 2018 at 3:31 pm - Reply

    Appears to be dry slotting, it’s eroding from the east to the west and steasily decreasing. If this continues we won’t even get an 1″ let alone 3

    • f00dl3 November 8, 2018 at 3:57 pm - Reply

      The storm is doing exactly what was expected. Did it kick out too fast though? Did the fashion in which it kicked out fast, snow started early, means snow will end earlier, and the window for accumulations is smaller due to the fact that the time it will be snowing with sub-freezing temperatures is minimized further.

  89. Elaine Watson November 8, 2018 at 4:17 pm - Reply

    Can someone explain the circle of ice showing up on radar around Marysville? Snow starting to stick here. Looks very pretty. This might be a fun winter.

  90. KS Jones November 8, 2018 at 4:22 pm - Reply

    Just measured 2 7/8″ of accumulation. It is a wet snow, but it hasn’t turned to freezing rain as it has north of here. The airport at Marysville has been reporting rain since 2 PM and the air temperature hasn’t gone above 30° today.

    • KS Jones November 8, 2018 at 5:40 pm - Reply

      Measured 3.5″ a few minutes ago. The snow coming down is lighter now, but the forecast says it will continue until 9 PM and we might get an additional inch.

      • f00dl3 November 8, 2018 at 6:15 pm - Reply

        Didn’t you also get 2″ during that October snow? Seeing a trend here with this LRC — N MO gets the accumulating snow while KC metro sees about 1/10th of what your area gets.

        Wonder if this will be a trend all winter?

        • Skylar November 8, 2018 at 6:45 pm - Reply

          Kansas City has never had more than 2” during the first half of November. If you’re going to decide the winter based on two very early winter events, including one that’s only half over, you might as well throw a dice.

        • KS Jones November 8, 2018 at 6:53 pm - Reply

          Yes, we got 2″ of snow on October 15th.
          We haven’t had a snow like this since January 11th when we got 4″.

  91. Phillip November 8, 2018 at 4:27 pm - Reply

    Radar isn’t looking great tbh

  92. f00dl3 November 8, 2018 at 5:09 pm - Reply

    Still a dusting, even on elevated surfaces 5 hours into the event. Cold air is cutting off the precip fast from the northwest, and shield is diminishing in intensity. It’s going to be a real race against time to get 1″.

  93. f00dl3 November 8, 2018 at 5:23 pm - Reply

    Good chance that this will make yet another snowfall with 1″ or less. That’s already 2 this year. Let’s see if we top last year’s record of wanna-be snows that never happened. lol.

    • Frankie November 8, 2018 at 6:58 pm - Reply

      Both of these happened in Oct and Nov. We are lucky we even got snow this early. Past few years we’ve had Octobers and Novembers with 80+ degree temps. I think it’s 100% a good sign for this winter that we’ve already had TWO snow events.

    • Anonymous November 8, 2018 at 7:31 pm - Reply

      Here in Lawrence its awesome…everything is white but the roads…its beautiful…and its only Nov 8th for crying out loud…what a fantastic snow bonus.

    • Paul November 8, 2018 at 7:46 pm - Reply

      Why don’t you go to a daycare and tell the kids there is no Santa!

    • Jason November 8, 2018 at 9:00 pm - Reply

      Wanna-be snows? Lord. Look at the big picture. Large area of snow lasted for hours IN EARLY NOVEMBER. Had at least 2” south of Lawrence

  94. Supercell November 8, 2018 at 6:21 pm - Reply

    Just crossed the 1” line on the ruler. South OP. Coming down at good clip.

  95. Jack November 8, 2018 at 6:35 pm - Reply

    We have about 1.25-1.5 inches in Atchison, KS. I went around measuring on top of cars where the snow would of stuck quicker. I am guessing, being further north, the temps were cooler and the snow stuck faster.

  96. BIG PAPA POOF November 8, 2018 at 6:39 pm - Reply

    Did the snowflake contest end?

  97. Kurt November 8, 2018 at 6:46 pm - Reply

    1.75 inches of snow just south of St Joseph, steady light snow that stuck to grass, cars, trees, metal and elevated surfaces and roads that have shade.

    Might surpass the 2 inch October snow last month. At least we seem to get moisture from snow, take any precip we can get.

  98. JC Joe November 8, 2018 at 6:49 pm - Reply

    I have four inches on the railing of my deck. About 7 miles south of Junction City.

  99. Eric R. North Overland Park November 8, 2018 at 7:02 pm - Reply

    Been following Gary’s blogs since 2010. I’ve never understood why people come on here to be negative, or to try and downcast a weather event. We’ve known this system is going to be about an inch to possibly 3 inches in spots… enjoy it everyone. It’s early November and it’s snowing! I find it fascinating!

    • Ryan November 8, 2018 at 7:08 pm - Reply

      Totally agree!

  100. snowflakeparkville November 8, 2018 at 7:16 pm - Reply

    Just starting to stick to driveways in Parkville.

  101. George November 8, 2018 at 7:21 pm - Reply

    Had snow most of the day at my house however nothing really stuck. Minor accumulation on grass. Everything melted on contact. Total precip may be 1/2″- 1″ but nothing to write home about. 87th & Antioch

  102. Mr. Pete November 8, 2018 at 7:23 pm - Reply

    Yard is covered here in Prairie Village. Roads are fine which is good. I’m thinking that we may wind up with 1.5 inches total here.

  103. Harold in Harrisonville November 8, 2018 at 7:23 pm - Reply

    2.5 inches in harrisonville. Still coming down.

  104. Melanie November 8, 2018 at 7:51 pm - Reply

    I just measured an inch on top of my car in Eastern Shawnee!

  105. Chris Sholl November 8, 2018 at 8:07 pm - Reply

    Measured 1 inch on our deck here in Raytown.

  106. A1hoops November 8, 2018 at 8:16 pm - Reply

    If it was just 3-4 degrees colder today this would have been a widespread 3-5 snowstorm. Can’t wait till it returns!

    • Frankie November 8, 2018 at 8:27 pm - Reply

      There is already something different about this winter than the previous two. For example, two early snow events in Oct and Nov. I think the snow drought will end in KC. It just looks that way to me right now.

  107. Emily November 8, 2018 at 8:18 pm - Reply

    Here in SE Berryton (1 mile north of Osage Co, 1 mile west of Douglas Co) I haven’t had a chance to take an official ruler measurement yet, but it’s safe to say that we definitely have over 2″ and may make it to 3″ before it stops completely.

  108. Supercell November 8, 2018 at 8:19 pm - Reply

    Over 2” now in south OP. 8:19pm

  109. Anonymous November 8, 2018 at 8:21 pm - Reply

    Forecast spot on for exactly how this storm developed, accumulations and where the snow bands would be. Great job Gary!

  110. Kstater November 8, 2018 at 8:37 pm - Reply

    2-3 inches in grassy areas and 5ish on cars and trees here in Manhattan.

  111. Weatherfreaker November 8, 2018 at 8:49 pm - Reply

    My daughter’s power in Waldo just went out. She said a transformer blew and that her trees are hanging on power lines with the weight of the snow on leaves that haven’t fallen yet…wonder if that will become a widespread problem in older neighborhoods tonight.

  112. f00dl3 November 8, 2018 at 8:57 pm - Reply

    Contrary to my doubts, an knch in spots on my deck in Lenexa now!

  113. Bill in Lawrence November 8, 2018 at 9:16 pm - Reply

    Gary:

    Happy Thursday evening to you sir!!

    Guessing around 1.5 inches here between Lone Star Lake and Clinton Dam. Snowed here for most of the day. As was mentioned above, if it had been 3 degrees colder we would have 3 maybe 4 inches for sure. Absolutely gorgeous snow……can’t wait to walk with the sun coming up in the morning!!!

    This 7 day stretch will be interesting for sure when it comes back through in the two winter cycles.

    Enjoy the snow for those of you who like snow; if you don’t like snow we look to be close to 60 by next Saturday so we have something for everyone!!!! 🙂

    Bill in Washington Creek Valley in Lawrence

  114. Mr. Pete November 8, 2018 at 9:22 pm - Reply

    Some tree limbs starting to sag over here.

  115. Frankie November 8, 2018 at 10:08 pm - Reply

    Snow has reduced to flurries at this point. What a treat it has been to experience our first inch of snow on November 8th! Now everyone enjoy the winter wonderland out there tomorrow

  116. Alex Pickman November 8, 2018 at 11:49 pm - Reply

    1.6” of snow here in Stewartsville, MO just east of St. Joe. That brings my season total to 3.1”.

  117. Doug November 9, 2018 at 4:49 am - Reply

    1.5″ near 143rd and Switzer.

  118. LYITC41 November 9, 2018 at 6:26 am - Reply

    Snow drought continues!! <3" everywhere! Roads no sweat this morning. This probably kills the best autumn colors we've had in quite awhile but it was going to end soon anyway. Must confess it was kinda pretty this morning. Dont mind as much these low hassle events.

    • Clint November 9, 2018 at 6:59 am - Reply

      Got 4 inches in Warrensburg, most we have had in years!

  119. snowflakeparkville November 9, 2018 at 7:17 am - Reply

    About 1 inch in Parkville. Stuck to everything except roads. Very beautiful.

  120. Michael Garner November 9, 2018 at 7:24 am - Reply

    The streak will end this year. When t warms up for a couple weeks people will freak out so be prepared snow lovers. This is the preseason of winter!

  121. Sarah Gregg November 9, 2018 at 7:50 am - Reply

    When is Gary doing his winter weather forecast?

  122. Tony November 9, 2018 at 8:21 am - Reply

    Did the snowflake contest end?

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