Great Weather for Big Weekend Events

/Great Weather for Big Weekend Events

Great Weather for Big Weekend Events

Good Wednesday bloggers,

It was a quite eventful first half of October. The next 7 days will see mostly quiet weather in our area with one main rain chance. This is good news for the big events this weekend. There are three races at the Kansas Speedway, the KC marathon and the Chiefs game on Sunday night Football in America, right here on 41 Action News against the Bengals.

The weather pattern right now is in split flow. There is a northern branch tracking southeast from Canada into the Great Lakes and New England. This is bringing rain and snow showers to the northeast part of the country. There is a second branch tracking across the southern USA. This branch is rounding an upper level low in the southwest USA which is delivering waves of rain from the southern Plains to the southeast USA. Texas is really getting hit as 5″ to 12″ of rain has occurred between San Angelo and Dallas. A new 2″ to 5″ of rain is likely before the system lifts out Thursday night and Friday. This will bring our next chance of rain. We do not expect much rain as the system will be weakening.


THURSDAY: It will be another nice fall day as a surface high pressure tracks from Nebraska today to the Tennessee valley. We will see a few more clouds as the southwest system begins to move. Rain will be found across the western Plains.


FRIDAY MORNING: This is when we have the best chance of rain for the next seven days. Right now it looks like just light showers with the heaviest staying south.


FRIDAY AFTERNOON: The rain will be mostly along I-44. It will be mostly cloudy around here with highs in the 50s and perhaps some mist or a few showers. The clearing line will move through Friday night. Total rainfall around here looks to be a trace to .10″, unless the system comes farther north.


The upper level flow this weekend will feature a new, weak upper low over southern California and a trough from Canada to the northeast. Northwest flow will be found over our part of the world, with the main jet stream to the north.


This will put us in the middle of a large area of great weather. It may be a bit breeze Saturday and again Sunday night. Showers will linger over the southern USA. It will be cold with rain and snow showers from the Great Lakes to New England.


This is great news for all the big outdoor events this weekend.






Have a great Thursday.

Jeff Penner

2018-10-18T10:24:05+00:00October 17th, 2018|General|18 Comments


  1. Snow Miser October 17, 2018 at 2:27 pm - Reply

    There’s only 69 days until Christmas!

    • Blue Flash October 17, 2018 at 3:29 pm - Reply

      That’s 5,961,600 seconds!

  2. Three7s October 17, 2018 at 2:53 pm - Reply

    If the split-flow can converge in our area, things could get real interesting.

    • A1hoops October 17, 2018 at 3:09 pm - Reply

      Looks like for the next 7 days the split flow will only converge on the east coast. Will be interesting to see how this flow will act in 2 weeks

      • Gary October 17, 2018 at 4:14 pm - Reply

        Only if you believe the GFS. The Euro and other models are diving energy farther west. It will be an interesting next ten days ahead of us.

  3. Richard October 17, 2018 at 3:53 pm - Reply

    Great writeup !
    Thanks Jeff !

  4. Anonymous October 17, 2018 at 4:04 pm - Reply

    Man Richard. Hard to know what your motives are. You stalk every met on here.

    • Richard October 17, 2018 at 4:15 pm - Reply

      Wth !??

      Hey Jeff, Gary, get rid of these anonymous bozos.

      • Alex Pickman October 18, 2018 at 12:16 am - Reply

        Richard you have a difficult time ignoring people. It’s ignore and laugh it off, and they will stop. When they get a rise out of you, it will just continue lol. Lighten up a bit

      • LYITC41 October 18, 2018 at 10:17 am - Reply

        Kind of like the mind of child, it’s hard for him to ignore or lighten up. He’s on other wx blogs too, seems to be all he has to do.

  5. Terry October 17, 2018 at 4:43 pm - Reply

    Are split flowed common in pattern sometimes?

    • Alex Pickman October 17, 2018 at 5:04 pm - Reply


    • Gary October 17, 2018 at 6:10 pm - Reply

      They are more likely in El Niño years! An El Niño is developing. they only benefit our excitement, however, if the LRC sets up with us in a good position. We have gone four winters in a row in the “wrong spot”. We do not know enough yet.

  6. nemo (not the fish) October 17, 2018 at 8:27 pm - Reply

    After all that rain, and some brief winter winter type weather, looking forward to some nice pumpkin patch time this weekend. I imagine some very happy folks out the next few days with all this vitamin D that’s predicted.

  7. f00dl3 October 18, 2018 at 8:25 am - Reply

    Is it a cause for concern that we are now in the wrong spot for a 2-3 week period?

    • Three7s October 18, 2018 at 8:28 am - Reply

      Are you going by the GFS? As Gary stated, the EURO is showing something different.

      • LYITC41 October 18, 2018 at 10:20 am - Reply

        And why would anyone believe something 2-3 wks down the road w/ the track record of these crappy models.

  8. Frankie October 18, 2018 at 8:27 am - Reply

    Gary not blogging again today?

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