State Of The Climate In 2017

Good morning bloggers,

Kansas City set the record for the earliest accumulation in recorded history last night with 0.2″ at KCI Airport.  There is a FREEZE WARNING for tonight.  There likely will not be a hard freeze. Conditions are favorable for heavy frost early Tuesday morning. There was too much of a breeze this morning for frost to form, and now with light winds tonight, we will likely have the heavy frost on Tuesday morning.  Then, there is a big warm up, and the weather looks dry and a bit cool next Sunday night for the big Chiefs home game against the Bengals.  Last night was a good night in the loss at New England. Our young superstar grew up some more.  We have some exciting years ahead, and this year may still be magical, so take a deep breath.

Speaking of taking a deep breath, I titled this blog State of the climate in 2017, and I am going to share with you what scientists have put together in the Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society here.  It will open up a big debate.  Where are the facts? I see them as this current warming of the earth being directly related to the increase in CO2 in the atmosphere.  Yes, the facts lean strongly in the direction that this is a man made warming.  This is not my opinion, although I lean in this direction.  Take a look:

STATE OF THE CLIMATE IN 2017 (from the special supplement to the Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, Vol. 99, No. 8, August 2018)

Climate“In 2017, the dominant greenhouse gases released into Earth’s atmosphere-carbon dioxide, methane, and nitrous oxide-reached new record highs.  The annual global average carbon dioxide concentration at Earth’s surface for 2017 was 405.0 +/- 0.1 ppm, 2.2 ppm greater than for 2016 and the highest in the modern atmospheric measurement record and in ice core records dating back as far as 800,000 years. The global growth rate of CO2 has nearly quadrupled since the early 1960s.

With ENSO-neutral conditions present in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean during most fo the year and weak La Niña conditions notable at the start and end, the global temperature across land and ocean surfaces ranges as the second or third highest, depending on the dataset, since records began in the mid-to-late 1800s.  Notably, it was the warmest non-El Niño year in the instrumental record. Above Earth’s surface, the annual lower troposhperic temperature was also either second or third highest according to all datasets analyzed.  The lower stratospheric temperature was about 0.2°C higher than the record cold temperature of 2016 according to most of the in situ and satellite data sets.

Several countries, including Argentina, Uruguay, Spain,and Bulgaria, reported record high annual temperatures.  Mexico broke its annual record for the fourth consecutive year.  On 27 January, the temperature reached 43.4°C at Puerto Madrid, (43°) anywhere in the world.  On 28 May in Turbat, western Pakistan, the high of 53.5°C tied Pakistan’s all-time highest temperature for May.

In the Arctic, the 2017 land surface temperature was 1.6°C above the 1981-2010 average, the second highest since the record began in 1900, behind only 2016.  The five highest annual Arctic temperatures have all occurred since 2007. Exceptionally high temperatures were observed in the permafrost across the Arctic, with record values reported in much of Alaska and northwestern Canada.  In August, high sea surface temperature (SST) records were broken for the Chukchi Sea, with some regions as warm as +11°C or 3° to 4°C warmer than the long-term mean (1982-present).  According to paleoclimate studies, today’s abnormally warm Arctic air and SSTs have not been observed in the last 2000 years.  The increasing temperatures have led to decreasing Arctic sea ice extent and thickness.  On 7 March, sea ice extent at the end of the growth season saw its lowest maximum in the 37-year satellite record, covering 8% less area than the 1981-2010 average. The Arctic sea ice minimum on 13 September was the eighth lowest on record and covered 25% less area than the long-term mean.

Preliminary data indicate that glaciers across the world lost mass for the 38th consecutive year on record; the declines are remarkably consistent from region to region. Cumulatively since 1980, this loss is equivalent to slicing 22 meters off the top of the average glacier.

Antarctic sea ice extent remained below average for all of 2017, with record lows during the first four months. Over the continent, the austral summer seasonal melt extent and melt index were the second highest since 2005, mostly due to strong positive anomalies of air temperature over most of the west Antarctic coast.  In contrast, the East Antarctic Plateau also distinguished by the second smallest Antarctic ozone hole observed since 1988.

Across the global oceans, the overall long-term SST warming trend remained strong. Although SST cooled slightly from 2016 to 2017, the last three years produced the three highest annual values observed; these high anomalies have been associated with widespread coral bleaching.  The most recent global coral bleaching lasted three full years, June 2014 to May 2017, and was the longest, most widespread, and almost certainly most destructive such even on record. Global integrals of 0-700-mand 0-2000-m ocean heat content reached record highs in 2017, and global mean sea level during the year became the highest annual average in the 25-year satellite altimetry record, rising to 77 mm above the 1993 average.

In the tropics, 2017 saw 85 named tropical storms, slightly above the 1981-2010 average of 82. The North Atlantic basin was the only basin that featured an above-normal season, its seventh most active in the 164-year record. Three hurricanes in the basin were especially notable. Harvey produced record rainfall totals in areas of Texas and Louisiana, including a storm total of 1538.7 mm near Beaumont, Texas, which far exceeds the previous known U.S. tropical cyclone record of 1320.8 mm.  Irma was the strongest tropical cyclone globally in 2017 and the strongest Atlantic hurricane outside of the Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean on record with maximum winds of 295 kmh/h.  Maria caused catastrophic destruction across the Caribbean Islands, including devastating wind damage and flooding across Puerto Rico.  Elsewhere, the western North Pacific, South Indian, and Australian basins were all particularly quiet.

Precipitation over global land areas in 2017 was clearly above the long-term average. Among noteworthy regional precipitation records in 2017, Russia reported its second wettest year on record (after 2013) and Norway experienced its sixth wettest year since records began in 1900.  Across India, heavy rain and flood-related incidents during the monsoon season claimed around 800 lives.  In August and September, above-normal precipitation triggers the most devastating floods in more than a decade in the Venezuelan states of Bolivar and Delta Amacuro. In Nigeria, heavy rain during August and September caused the Niger and Benue Rivers to overflow, bringing floods that displaced more than 100,o00 people.

Global fire activity was the lowest since at least 2003; however, high activity occurred in parts of North America, South America, and Europe, with an unusually long season in Spain and Portugal, which had their second and third driest years on record, respectively.  Devastating fires impacted British Columbia, destroying 1.2 million hectares of timber, bush, and grassland, due in part to the region’s driest summer on record.  In the United States, and extremely western wildfire season burned over 4 million hectares; the total costs of $18billion tripled the previous U.S. annual wildfire cost record set in 1991.”

This is the abstract to the full publication!  The earth has been warming. What is the cause? Is it a natural occurrence, or a major influence by manmade greenhouse gases increasing in the atmosphere, albeit small amounts. The direct relationship from the current warming to the increased greenhouse gases must be seriously considered and the evidence and facts point in the direction of this warming being manmade.

Have a great day. We will look into the cycling pattern on 41 Action News tonight. Go over to the Weather2020 blog to join in the conversation.

Gary

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Richard
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Richard

New blog is up
But same problem I had yesterday. Can’t get there from my home page link
Had to get there from kshb blog

Bluetooth
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Bluetooth

I’m not quite sure, but it’s been a lot once the faucet opened late in the summer.

Stl78(winon,mn)
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Stl78(winon,mn)

Lol BT, I read alot as well and do have a couple of years studying meteorology under Ben abell at St Louis University. I tend to agree with you in terms of solar minimum. I just threw it out there to stir the pot a bit more. As far as our weather up here, we really need a drying stretch. Currently sitting at 48 in or thereabouts for the yr. Any idea how much moisture u have received in your neck of the woods?

Stl78(winon,mn)
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Stl78(winon,mn)

Let’s throw solar minimum into the conversation too!😉

Bluetooth
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Bluetooth

Stl78, I’m not a climate scientist, but I read a lot and I have followed the weather for years. With that said, it is hard to discount the power of the sun. No sun, no heat, period. Sunspots are continuing to decrease and the weather has been becoming more unstable and unpredictable which is hard to deny. There has been lots of rain and weird weather between where you are and where I am. A clue is the prodigious amount of rain from what appear to be stuck weather systems that has fallen over the past several months. These rains… Read more »

Jason
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Jason

Ahhh the ol global warming talk. HARD PASS on listening to Joe Schmoe and his/her thoughts on global warming. I’ll check back on the next blog post.

Jason P
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Jason P

Ahhh the ol global warming talk. HARD PASS on listening to Joe Schmoes thoughts on global warming. I’ll come back for the next blog post.

Fred Souder
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Fred Souder

I need some help. “evidence and facts point to the warming being man made” Gary or others, could you supply that evidence? I spent a lot of time as an environmental engineer looking for it, and quite embarrassingly, all the evidence I found was to the contrary. All the paleo records of CO2 and temperature show that either temperature rises before CO2, (vostok ice core data), or that there is no correlation (Epica Dome C data). It would sure give me more ammunition to use against those idiot scientists that claim CO2 is not to blame. Scientists like Will Happer… Read more »

Bluetooth
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Bluetooth

Well written Fred.

Elaine Watson
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Elaine Watson

Sorry for the double entry..I didn’t think it went through the first time because I didn’t fill out my name etc.. I wasn’t trying to be anonymous.

Nate
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Nate

Back in the day, I wonder what they were saying about the Dust Bowl and the Dirty 30’s?

Troy
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Troy

I can’t imagine the panic that would occur. Now to be fair people did cause the dust part of the dust bowl but not the weather that was occurring. We have a time line in our church and for 1934 they had 32 straight days with temps over 100. Not that will be a tough record to break as we only average 6 days like that per year.

Bluetooth
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Bluetooth

Good point…not caused by man. It’s ironic that on the day of the earliest recorded snowfall in Kansas City we get a write up on man made climate change. Coincidence? I think not….

Heat Miser
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Heat Miser

Global Warming

Nick
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Nick

Last night was pretty insane for a bit in St. Joe, the snow really came down for awhile and was enough to start sending the trees, thankfully it stoped before things got out of hand, did still hear a branch break and fall while walking the dog after the snow had ended. A mini October surprise. 😛

Hockeynut69
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Hockeynut69

So the early snowfall record fell for KC yesterday. It was a record that was 120+years old based on actual recording of weather. It took this long for that record to be broken. It would seem that if we are contributing negatively to the atmosphere year after year after year, why wasn’t this record broken before now. I know it’s a record of a particular location for a particular date, but to say these changes are man made- I would expect as the population grows these things should be occurring much sooner. Otherwise, I chalk it up to climate is… Read more »

Bluetooth
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Bluetooth

Wow!! 120 years ago was the centennial Gleissberg solar minimum. What a coincidence, hmmm……

KC Hog
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KC Hog

I’m all for a warmer climate. I hate snow and cold. Plus you can’t grow any fruit over vegetables in the cold. Co2 is good for plants just in case you didn’t know.

LYITC41
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LYITC41

Thank you, KC. Don’t mind the cold, in fact prefer it to the heat but snow blows.

Anonymous
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Anonymous

Watched life after people once, they said the Earth’s temperature would actually rises after man went extinct. But yet we raise the earth global temperature… How so haha..
Recorded the earliest ever accumulation of snow today.

f00dl3
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f00dl3

I guess when the LRC gets boring the global warming discussion gets going.

Kurt
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Kurt

About 2.5 inches in metal, grassy exposed areas and trees, every tree was coated this morning. What a site with so much green against the blanket of snow this morning. Hope the weather dries long enough to farmers can get back in their fields.

Troy
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Troy

I don’t have a problem so much with people here but there are plenty around pointing to every weather event that is even a little outside of normal and saying its man made weather.

Heat Miser
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Heat Miser

yup. a bad hurricane…its global warming…to warm, global warming, too cold, global warming.

f00dl3
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f00dl3

Too dry? Global warming! Too wet? Global warming! We get a 48 inch snow year in 2011? Global Warming! We have drought in 2012? Global Warming! We go 4 years without a 3 inch snow, but hit 15 below? Global warming!

Adam
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Adam

Yup

Anonymous
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Anonymous

These are the same loons who believe in automatically assuming someone is guilty w/o a shred of evidence.

Heat Miser
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Heat Miser

Yeah, because someone said so…GUILTY. What, her own “witnesses” don’t know what she’s talking about? How dare you, she’s a victim…believe her.

Bluetooth
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Bluetooth

Well said Heat, well said….

MikeL
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MikeL

I don’t see anyone here not understanding the difference between weather and climate. There is just a certain irony in discussing global warming (which is really what is being talked about) when experiencing unseasonable cold and snow.

Troy
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Troy

I would like to see more discussion of the things we know and how they impact the weather. Saying its warmer in general isn’t really accurate. It is the Oceans that have seen the most warming along with the Arctic and Antarctic in winter. Global min temps are up but not max temps. All of this I would credit to the warmer Oceans putting more water vapor into the atmosphere. The fact KC struggles to hit 100 and all the heavy rains events are also bi-products of that. The most meaningful change in the weather where I live is increased… Read more »

Elaine Watson
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Elaine Watson

Here east of McLouth we had a strong 1/2 inch of snow that stuck. I can still see snow on some grassy areas and my deck this morning. Big fat flakes were coming down around 9:00pm. I wish it had started earlier as I love watching the snow fall. To join in, I wish there was a way to get an understanding of the difference between weather and climate explained to some individuals. I myself do believe that everything contributes to climate, both natural and man-made. To what degree I do not know. However, keeping our air and water from… Read more »

Anonymous
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Anonymous

So much for your anonymity Elaine.

Richard
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Richard

And yours ?

Anonymous
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Anonymous

Strong 1/2 inch or a bit more of snow here east of McLouth. Still see some on the grass and on my deck. At about 9:00pm big fat flakes arrived. I wish it could have been earlier, I love watching snowfall. And as a sidebar, I wish there was a way to get people to understand the difference between climate and weather. My main thought is this, I think everything contributes to our situation, natural and man-made. I believe clean air and water are vital to our health and well being regardless on whether or not people are having a… Read more »

Bill in Lawrence
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Bill in Lawrence

Gary: Happy Monday to you sir!! Hit 33 here this morning And it felt awesome being outside in it!!! 🙂 Thinking of this year’s LRC, I think these past 10 days for sure give us something to hang our hats on in each cycle. We had 3 organized waves in 10 days with decent cold air to tap in at least 2 of them. Should be an interesting scenario going forward. The last two (Friday and Sunday’s) I think are the best to produce snow. The first one hangs back way too long and will most likely pull in too… Read more »

Richard
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Richard

Morning Bill
I think you are right about this new LRC !
And your goughts about Gary’s blog writeup ?

Mike Holm
Guest

I hope this LRC is real, and that like last year’s. Where we got all that rain at the beginning and then poof. Great click-bait discussion today!

snowflakeparkville
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snowflakeparkville

I don’t think it’s like last year (knock on wood). We’ve had more than double last year’s October’s rain in half the time.

Urbanity
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Urbanity

FAKE NEWS. Sorry Gary, there is no substantiated evidence these things your speak of are man made. CO2 has been higher before man, events happen, the climate changes, and one could say the climate corrects itself. Scientifically speaking this is a counter argument. Another side of this argument, and I’ll say here that most on this blog will ridicule, but I’m not afraid to mention it. This world is temporary, we are seeing the signs of the end of times, the globalization of world governments is clearly spoken about in Revelations, the poisoning of the waters, the rise in global… Read more »

Heat Miser
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Heat Miser

OH god (no pun intended), you had me until the fruit loop end of times crap. I agree with your science based arguments, but mabye save the nutty end of times crap for crazy YouTube end of times discussions.

Richard
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Richard

Heat
Ya know, I feel sorry for you. No I don’t.
Believing that God and teachings of the Bible are real we have nothing to lose.
If we don’t believe in God and the teachings of the Bible, and He is real, we have everyting to lose.

Adam
Guest
Adam

That’s not real belief though, and if you don’t believe how do you fake it. This argument has always astounded me. I don’t believe, nothing in my 45 years on this planet has convinced me otherwise. If your god were real and at the end of my life I was confronted with this, do you think he would just say…ok you faked it well enough…come on in.

Heat Miser
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Heat Miser

Oh, religious folks have been saying the world is going to end, repent your sins now, for close to 2,000 years. Just enjoy life and be a good person.

Urbanity
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Urbanity

I think they are the same people who have told you to fear climate change for decades. You just kind of have to know for yourself what you believe in.

REAL HUMEDUDE
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REAL HUMEDUDE

Where has the glacial ice gone? Have they just evaporated? The world is bigger than Salina KS, and maybe your little slice of earth hasn’t changed much but go further north and they have dramatically. Armadillos are 300 miles further north now than they were 25 years ago, explain that with a bible reference if you can. So Satan is a climate change believer huh? I guess that’s your back handed way of saying anybody that has a liberal thought is also evil…….and let me guess, that gives you the moral authority, am I right? Come on man………

Urbanity
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Urbanity

Not really Hume, being liberal as in Progressive liberal, is anti-God. Doesn’t mean Prog’s love Satan, or evil to others (just their unborn), I didn’t say that, anyone can be evil. Surely you don’t want a list of what the Progressive liberals believe in? And what i don’t get about you Hume is that no one said global warming is not occurring, but, “Arctic sea ice extent for September 2018 averaged 4.71 million square kilometers (1.82 million square miles), tying with 2008 for the sixth lowest September in the 1979 to 2018 satellite record, and is 1.14 million square kilometers… Read more »

REAL HUMEDUDE
Guest
REAL HUMEDUDE

Sea ice comes and goes, freezes and thaws every year. Glacial ice is semi-permanent, with some ice at bottom of oldest glaciers an estimated 2.7 million years old. That’s along time for a piece of ice to survive. Everybody is an expert on this, everybody has their thoughts about how the climate has varied. But when you get sick do you refer to webMD if ypur life is at stake or do you go to the doctor (an actual expert vs your internet expert) In this case, I defer to actual experts on climate, not armchair scientists. The actual authorities… Read more »

Urbanity
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Urbanity

Okay Hume the planet is warming, you win…,oh wait,,,I already knee that. Too bad we’re closest to the sun than we’ve been for a few hundred years, all these crazy El Niño’s releasing more heat per occurrence than a 100 years of American industry. Perhaps the billions of people and their needs have amped it up a little as well. How hot is too hot?

Briana
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Briana

Liberals are the ones who are anti-God? Jesus was pretty clear, feed the poor, take care of the sick, love thy neighbor, do not judge lest ye be judged. Conservatives conveniently forget those parts.

Urbanity
Guest
Urbanity

America is the most giving nation in the world, but’s it’s not because of liberals who are the least giving to charity of all Americans. A liberal politician giving your money away is not the same thing as you giving your money away. Liberals love the drugs, love the freedom of sexual expression and hence abortion, libs are less likely to believe in God,…so many of the ones that give to charity or to others do not do it out of faith but for another reason. Liberals lie, a lot, have a strange way of convincing themselves that it’s not… Read more »

Mr. Pete
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Mr. Pete

You kind of lost me there – how does Satan influence the weather?

Urbanity
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Urbanity

Mr Pete, can you copy and paste where someone said Satan influences the weather? I’d love to see who wrote such an ignorant comment. Thanks Pal.

Mr. Pete
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Mr. Pete

It was you and your comments were very confusing.

MikeL
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MikeL

Alternate Headline: “Early Season Cold and Record Snow Caused By Global Warming!”

Better turn the USA into a third world country to stop it.

Richard
Guest
Richard

Climate change not global warming
Just because its cold in your neighborhood today doesnt mean that the entire world hasnt been warmer this year than it was all last year and the year before that. But what do I know I only believe the people that track this for a living.
– you are talking about weather, not climate. Climate is weather over long periods of time, not a couple of months. A Baseball player batting .500 in April is not hailed as the greatest hitter ever. Only at the end of the season would it mean anything.

MikeL
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MikeL

To each his own…

Heat Miser
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Heat Miser

The world has gone through warm phases and cold phases, ice ages, and thaws – remember that recorded temps dont go back very far. There is no convincing evidence that man is causing global warming. You should read some of Joe Bastardi’s writings on the subject..he thinks global warming, or man made climate change if that makes you happier, is complete and utter bunk.

Frankie
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Frankie

This exactly. Earth’s climate is always changing. I’m sure the Earth’s climate was a bit warmer than usual some odd years in the past, but there was no social media or politically-driven motives to freak people out about it. Earth’s climate changes and mitigates and although some things we humans do to fuel the heat definitely has an effect, it is not remotely big enough to fry the Earth to oblivion like some make it seem.

Richard
Guest
Richard

Gary
Saying this is not your opinion, but you lean in this direction is straddling the fence, is it not ?
Just say it is your opinion.
It is my opinion that it is manmade. It is happening faster.

Heat Miser
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Heat Miser

He says he’s leaning because that’s his opinion…his opinion he’s not fully convinced.

Richard
Guest
Richard

But he is leaning there.
So there’s that

Adam
Guest
Adam

Satire…but…

NoBeachHere
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NoBeachHere

Pure Satire To curb GW, I propose the immediate limitation on personal vehicle travel, only scientists and governments can travel by gas combustion engines. Also, all global coal fired power are to be shuttered immediately. Although we expect backlash from this and its immediate impact is unknown. To be included in shuttering all coal fired power plants, oil, methane based and NG power are to be included. Only solar, wind and hydro will be allowed to produce electricity. Hydro being the most vulnerable to being outdated and determined to be detrimental to aquatic species, shall go under review individually. Water… Read more »

Richard
Guest
Richard

Nobeach
How did you get here ?
I can only access this from the kshb blog
By clicking 2020 from my home page or Favs it tajes me to yesterdays 2020 blog
Jumping through hoops to get here !

NoBeachHere
Guest
NoBeachHere

Good Morning Richard,
I got here by procurement of a StarGate lol
JK

Weather 2020 is saved as a fave, hit that tab and away I go.

Richard
Guest
Richard

Stargate ! Ahh….lol !
I have it on Favs too. But it takes me to yesterdays.

Richard
Guest
Richard

Gary
Something is wrong. Got here by clicking your 2020 link from bottom of kshb blog.
But from my home screen it takes me to yesterdays 2020 blog.

Richard
Guest
Richard

First