Strong Cold Front & Possible Snowflakes

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Good morning bloggers,

It was down to a bone chilling 19 degrees in Casper, Wyoming his morning, and 20 degrees in Denver, CO:

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This cold front is heading our way and will move through later this morning with the temperatures beginning to fall.  The air will be coming from almost due north, so we will not have the air coming front Grand Island, for example, but rather Fort Dodge, IA. This will likely keep our temperatures from dropping to below 32 degrees tonight with the brisk north wind not allowing any low lying areas from dropping into the 20s. If there are any wind protected areas, then a freeze is possible. This is why the NWS has not issued a freeze warning for KC yet.

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There is a freeze warning to our north, however, so northwestern Missouri and far northeastern KS locations do have a Freeze Warning.

There is an area of precipitation organizing to our northwest and it is snowing over a large area of Nebraska, touching the Kansas border.  Will Kansas City see any snowflakes? The conditions are not favorable for any snowflakes reaching the surface until well after sunset tonight, and this will be when the precipitation is about to end.  It will be something to monitor closely as the Chiefs play New England in Boston.

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Forecast Maps:

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The rain/snow/sleet line does get to the south side of the KC metro area before midnight. There is a chance that a dusting to less than 1″ of snow may accumulate on grassy surfaces north of KC later today, but with temperatures hovering just above freezing there likely will not be any accumulation on roads, so no travel problems are expected.  What are the chances that KC, that we see our first snowflakes tonight? Well, I would put it at70% chance north of I-70, with lesser chances farther south and east.

New England Tonight:

It will be clear, with light winds in Boston with temperatures dropping from the 50s into the 40s.  It could not be better weather for a big game. Go Patrick “Michael Jordan” Mahomes and the KC Chiefs tonight. Will we be 6-0 by 11 PM tonight? I think so. My prediction is 34-23 Chiefs.

Thank you for spending a few minutes reading the Action Weather Blog featuring Weather2020 and the LRC. Go over to the Weather2020 blog to join in the conversation.

Gary

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RichardThree7sStl78(winon,mn)LYITC41KS Jones Recent comment authors
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Richard
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Richard

Hey Gary
When I clicked your link for 2020 blog at bottom of kshb blog it took me to the 2020 new blog of 10/15
But when clicking 2020 from my home screen it brings me to this one. 10/14

Richard
Guest
Richard

New blog over on the kshb blog.
Guess Gary forgot to hit the button for 2020

Richard
Guest
Richard

“With more than two weeks to go before Halloween, Kansas City has already received its first measurable snowfall of the season.

The National Weather Service office in Pleasant Hill said it had measured 0.2 inches of snow late Sunday. The Oct 14 snowfall beats the previous record for earliest snowfall by three days. Kansas City had 3.3 inches of snow on Oct. 17, 1898.

The temperature at KCI Airport also set a record. At 31 degrees, the airport had its coldest recorded temperature ever for Oct. 15. The previous record of 32 was set in 1943.”

Richard
Guest
Richard

It was the earliest neasureable snow in Wichita dating back to 1888

Stl78(winon,mn)
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Stl78(winon,mn)

@ Matt, I’ve been saying for awhile that I thought there was a chance of snow in your viewing area. however, I did also say that I didn’t put much stock into the gfs fv3. Regardless, sounds as though you guys had a nice little storm producing very early in the cycle

Three7s
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Three7s

Yeah, we definitely have some sort of long-wave trough over us. These disturbances are really getting their act together right on top of us.

KS Jones
Guest
KS Jones

Snow is still lingering on cold surfaces here, and there is 0.2″ of water in the rain gauge.
The temperature didn’t go as low as forecast — only 30° rather than 27°. It is currently 32°

Alex Pickman
Guest
Alex Pickman

Welp first snowfall of the season here in Stewartsville, MO, and it accumulated nicely!! Am sitting at 1.5” on the dot of wet snow.

Looks like higher amounts in just west of me in St. Joe with some power outages. First measurements in the book!!

Kurt
Guest
Kurt

We had several inches of wet snow and now power is out here just south of St Joseph. This was the second October surprise here. And snowflake contest would be over up here.

Alex Pickman
Guest
Alex Pickman

Any measurements over there Kurt?

Matt
Guest
Matt

So, where are those one bloggers who last week were laughing at snow predictions based on their own weather analysis? Too many “forecasters” said snow this early was basically fortune telling. “Oh it’s too early for snow”. Their weather predictions were not even based on what was actually happening, but based on historical stats. Historical stats is how they predict what is actually happening currently lmao.

Mattj
Guest
Mattj

So what was the name of that computer model that predicted snow a week ago. The one where some bloggers blasted it as hypocrisy and 100% false. The posts of those bloggers is completely wrong with what q

Mr. Pete
Guest
Mr. Pete

Heavy small flakes here in Prairie Village. Wow. Can’t believe it’s actually snowing.

snowflakeparkville
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snowflakeparkville

Sticking to cars and little else. 12:25AM near I-435 and MO-45.

Matt
Guest
Matt

Cars are turning white up here. grass is still just wet.

birdieman
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birdieman

Really?! Snow is fine with hot chocolate, a fire and a snuggly woman but it blows driving across town at 7am to go to work, especially the first one. Folks, it’s too early

matt
Guest
matt

cars are covered in snow up in Leavenworth.

Skylar
Guest
Skylar

Dusting here in Lawrence! It looks like this is the second earliest accumulation for most of the area.

snowflakeparkville
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snowflakeparkville

This will be #1 earliest for KC, breaking a 120-year-old record! (October 17, 1898)

Numb3rsGuy
Guest
Numb3rsGuy

I just checked the record books, and the snowfall value for 10/14 is “missing”. My guess is that they are reviewing the measurement accuracy because breaking an all-time record for KC with records dating back to 1888 would be insane! Especially a record for the earliest measurable snowfall in the age of climate change. The record back in 1898 is 3.3″, so I don’t think we’ll quite get there. 🙂

LYITC41
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LYITC41

Snowflakeparkville: Wrong. No records will be broken.

snowflakeparkville
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snowflakeparkville

Snowing heavily here!

Katharidinaus
Guest
Katharidinaus

Still rain/drizzle here in Independence (40 Hwy/Noland). I’m not sure the changeover line will get here before everything shuts off

A1hoops
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A1hoops

Snow sleet rain mix in Shawnee

Mr. Pete
Guest
Mr. Pete

let It snow!

Matt
Guest
Matt

Snow is coming down in downtown Leavenworth. Just got done taking the dog out. There is still rain drops mixed with it, but there is a layer of slush forming on the tops of cars. Kind of nasty actually as the wind is pushing it in at a 45 degree angle. So enough to get in your face.

Matt
Guest
Matt

Looking at the radar its showing snow all over KS. From the Colorado border to the Missouri border. Should start snowing any minute here in Leavenworth. Jefferson County to the west and western LV County is getting snow.

nemo (not the fish)
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nemo (not the fish)

the very few times I’ve ever commented it’s always stayed in moderation. never. once has it been posted. even when I had to pay to play. what gives? kinda frustrated and would like an explanation. makes it real hard on ppl who follow you and play by the rules, yet others get their posted when they shouldn’t even be allowed. I’m sure your going to read this, and probably leave it in moderation again…..

Heat Miser
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Heat Miser

report of heavy snow in Topeka, 36 in Lawence

Troy
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Troy

Here in RP County I measured 4″ of snow. Coming home from church the roads were bad as it came heavy enough to put a couple inches on the highway and was very slushy. Had to get the snow plows out already.

KS Jones
Guest
KS Jones

Current conditions at
Marysville Municipal Airport (KMYZ)
Lat: 39.86°NLon: 96.63°WElev: 1283ft.
Light Snow
32°F
Humidity 100%
Wind Speed N 12 G 21 mph

Matt
Guest
Matt

Down to 38 degrees up here in leavenworth

Richard
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Richard

Just heard thunder

Hockeynut69
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Hockeynut69

Down 10 degrees since 1pm. If this cycles back around in cycle 2, the colder air during that cycle could make for an interesting day. Moderate to heavy rain now. No snowflakes yet.

snowflakeparkville
Guest
snowflakeparkville

Heavy rain just started a few minutes ago in southern Platte County.

Mike
Guest
Mike

The AO appears to be trending negative towards the end of the month.

Hockeynut69
Guest
Hockeynut69

Front is pushing through now between Liberty and Kearney. Winds fairly brisk out of the N/NW. There’s a mist blowing sideways. Temperature is down about 5 degrees so far.

craig
Guest
craig

That was wild!
Like a squall line of drizzle just moved through Lenexa/Olathe. Heavy drizzle with 20-30 mph winds.
For points east, you can see it coming on radar, too.

Michael Garner
Guest
Michael Garner

In Omaha now and the snow is crazy, CRAZY GOOD!

Roger
Guest
Roger

Power outages occurring in the Lincoln and Omaha areas. Heavy banded snow for the last 3 hours.

Skylar
Guest
Skylar

Winds really picking up out of the north here in Lawrence in the last half hour with a heavy drizzle.

KS Jones
Guest
KS Jones

It looks like Concordia is just now getting snow. The NWS says this area (60 miles east of Concordia) should expect <1". Weather Underground's forecast agrees with that. After today, the forecast says the next nine days will be sunny and mainly sunny with no precipitation.
http://www.intellicast.com/National/Radar/Current.aspx?region=sln&animate=true

Richard
Guest
Richard

We might get a nice fall after all.
Warming into the 60’s this week and quiet for the next 7-10 days.

Matt
Guest
Richard
Guest
Richard

Matt
Really ?? TWC ?
Sorry, but lol

nemo (not the fish)
Guest
nemo (not the fish)

Gary, quick question. I’ve been a longtime follower of this blog but rarely ever leave a remark. I throughly enjoy some of the shenanigans that take place on this blog, and on the ones that have come before. I do my best to spread the word about the LRC, as I appreciate your work and the accuracy I see with many of your predictions. I do however peruse the weather channel, but mostly for their news articles. Today I read an article about their “winter forecast” and chuckled a bit. Do you have any idea where these knuckleheads come up… Read more »

Mr. Pete
Guest
Mr. Pete

Michael Jordan Mahomes? I like showtime better. 😊

Frankie
Guest
Frankie

The NAM is hinting at a second/later band coming after the rain that would come in as just snow. I think the chances are high that we get our first snowflakes tonight.

Michael Garner
Guest
Michael Garner

Snowing here……Omaha that is. At first when the models showed some snow in the KC area for today and none for Omaha I was bummed that the weekend I’m gone this would happen, but now it is snowing here in Omaha!!!

Three7s
Guest
Three7s

Next to nothing showing up on the models beyond storm A-3. Looks like things will get quiet for awhile.

Terry
Guest
Terry

But remember we cant trust Anything beyond 3 to 5 days Because will be field with Errors and I have looked and seen things change from day to day on that! So far i believe this has been a very good LRC pattern 2018/2019

Tony
Guest
Tony

What?

Terry
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Terry

You know what I said Can’t trust any things beyond 3 to 5 days for accuracy model wise .

LYITC41
Guest
LYITC41

Get used to it.