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Good Sunday bloggers,

The day Chiefs fans have been waiting a long time for has arrived. Patrick Mahomes at home. The weather looks great for the Chiefs, last day of the Plaza Art Fair and first full day of Fall.

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We are tracking a cold front that arrives Tuesday, so let’s go through the sequence of events today through Tuesday.

SUNDAY: It will be another sunny and gorgeous day with highs in the mid to upper 70s which is slightly warmer than Saturday. There are low clouds along and south of I-44 and these will be heading north tonight.

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MONDAY MORNING: The low clouds will be in the area with temperatures in the 50s and 60s along with higher humidity. There may be some mist and fog as well.

2

MONDAY AFTERNOON: The low clouds will break up as highs climb to 75°-80°. You will notice the humidity is back as well. A cold front will be approaching from the northwest and will interact with the humidity, in our area, on Tuesday.

3

TUESDAY: The front will be moving southeast across the region and showers and thunderstorms will be likely. Some locations will receive .25″ to .50″ while others see a trace or nothing. Yes, it is the same pattern at this moment. Also, the temperature forecast is tricky as it will be in the 50s and 60s behind the front and 70s and 80s ahead of the front. So, your high temperature forecast is greatly dependent on the timing of the front. All locations will drop to the 50s and 60s by evening.

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Here is the bottom line for the week ahead.

You can gamble with the fertilizer and hope your yard sees .25″ to .50″ on Tuesday as this is the only day with a decent rain chance. If you have grass seed, you can give the sprinklers a one day break, but more rain is needed than one day of trace to .50″ to get the grass to germinate and grow.

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We still need the rain, as officially we are about 4.50″ below average. It will be harder to make up the deficit as we go into the colder season as heavy rainfall events become less likely. Colder air holds less moisture.

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Have a great week and go CHIEFS!

Jeff Penner

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Richard
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Richard

We got spoiled by the couple of big snowfall years in early 2000’s. They were exceptions to the rule.
Then reality sets in that we actually are rarely in the right spot for snowy winters.
We just aren’t.

KS Jones
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KS Jones

Out this way, the rain forecast for Tuesday has plumeted from 0.6″ to 0.07″. Then the forecast shows 6 days of constant drizzle and rain from Friday (9/28) through Wednesday (10/3), which would be somewhat similar to last year. We got 0.25″ of rain on September 24th; 1.12″ on September 25th, and the first half of October was unusually wet. November was dry; December through early March was average, and then we were abnormally dry until June. The months following June teetered from dry to wet. 2017 October 3: 0.12″ of drizzle October 4: 0.95″ of rain  October 5: 0.47″… Read more »

Snow Miser
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Snow Miser

Brrr.
comment image

Lary Gezak
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Lary Gezak

This is awesome. Somewhat encouraging that the models are showing this as it could be the model trying to pick up on the new LRC, but the models that far out are hardly ever accurate.

Heat Miser
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Heat Miser

Welcome to October

Mike (OP)
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Mike (OP)

1-5” snow all winter….mild temps…..winter 2018-2019 a complete bust for Snow lovers. The weather people will hype the winter but it will be a rather dismal period. Enjoy global warming!!!! Liberals will blame Trump. Enjoy the stupid polictal ads

j-ox
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j-ox

Lawrence: 12.93″ below avg for ’18. 18.05″ ytd & 30.98″ avg // or 58% of avg
12.93″ = 8.08 gallons/sq ft deficiency
So, yeah…whah.

Jordan
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Jordan

I’m in KCK and we’re over 12″ below normal and still listed in the “Exceptional” drought. It doesn’t look like there’s any droughtbusters coming this way any time soon, either.

Richard
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Richard

10 inches or less of snow sequel # 4 coming soon.

terry
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terry

Lol

Anonymous
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Anonymous

It is a recurring cycle

f00dl3
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f00dl3

Sadly this will likely last another 6 years. 1998-2008 was very much like this, the only exception is we had a fluke every year just in the right place to get us a smidge over 10″ for those seasons.Global warming asides. As weird as it is to say, I wonder if our average snowfall is actually skewed and snow is much rarer in these parts than the 18-19″ annual total implies – many years from 1998 to 2008 we only saw 12″ of snow tops each winter, and we had a few big snows 2009-2014 but the last 3 years… Read more »

Three7s
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Three7s

I have noticed a few systems in the winter during our inactive snow period take that southern track only to give us a cold rain. It can’t be argued that warmer temperatures have stolen potentially several inches of snow. Not to mention the ice events we’ve had.

Heat Miser
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Heat Miser

That is hard to believe….we have had a number of pretty wet systems come thru lawrence in recent months. The grass the was dying before is pretty green now.

Richard
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Richard

You can green the grass with a sprinkler.

Kurt
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Kurt

That’s at KCI, not necessarily representative of the entire region, St Joseph is almost 13 inches down year to date and the official national weather service site is 15.93 inches below normal. Ground is like concrete again up here, but at least the rains last month greened the grasses up. That puts St Joseph almost 26 inches down since May 2017

Heat Miser
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Heat Miser

wow…only 4.5 inches down now? Wow

Anonymous
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Anonymous

Disliked “there are several warmer and humid days left”

Mr. Pete
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Mr. Pete

CHIEFS!