Fall Begins at 8:54 PM

/Fall Begins at 8:54 PM

Fall Begins at 8:54 PM

Good Saturday bloggers,

Fall begins at 8:54 PM tonight and the weather is following suit. We have dropped into the 40s this morning, officially, for the first time since April 29th.

What is going on with the Earth and Sun on this day? The sun is shining directly on the equator as its direct rays head south for the winter. During the summer, the sun shines directly over the Tropic of Cancer which puts the direct rays over the northern hemisphere. This is why it gets so hot. During the winter the sun shines directly over the Tropic of Capricorn, putting the least direct rays over the northern hemisphere. This is why we turn colder. It is the tilt of the Earth, at about 23.5°, that causes the seasons. During the winter the northern hemisphere is tilted away from the sun. The Earth tilt never changes, but you can see how the northern hemisphere is tilted away from the sun during the winter and towards the sun during the summer.

Seasons sun and earth

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There are a ton of events this weekend and the weather could not be much better. The Plaza Art fair runs from 10 AM to 10 PM today and 11 AM to 5 PM Sunday. I will be out there from 4 PM to 6 PM today at our booth near Seasons 52.

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The weather looks great for the Chiefs and Patrick Mahomes home opener! Temperatures will start in the 50s for tailgating then warming to the 60s. Highs will reach 75°-80° which means low 70s for Kickoff.

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Here is the look at the weather for the first few days of fall.

TODAY: Near perfect with highs in the upper 60s to low 70s. The wind will be from the east-southeast at 5-15 mph.

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SUNDAY: After lows around 50° we will warm to 75°-80° with abundant sunshine and winds from the southeast at 5-15 mph.

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MONDAY: It will be warmer and more humid as south winds of 5-15 mph bring back Gulf of Mexico moisture. There will be more clouds as well.

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TUESDAY: We will be in the same pattern for another 10-14 days. This means the same old thing is likely on Tuesday, as far as rainfall, when this cold front arrives. We will have scattered showers and thunderstorms with amounts a trace to .25″. A few locations may see .50″. The most significant rain will be well east.

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Have a great weekend.

Jeff Penner

2018-09-23T08:12:57+00:00September 22nd, 2018|General|12 Comments

12 Comments

  1. terry September 22, 2018 at 10:59 am - Reply

    Thats GFS 06 z dated October 6th will this storm be in the New LRC 2018/2019 ? the Will be passing by Southwest of us.

  2. Jimbo September 22, 2018 at 11:30 am - Reply

    Huh?

  3. Jordan September 22, 2018 at 12:06 pm - Reply

    This is already the second “powerful fall cold front” that was forecast to bring up much-needed rain, and less than 24 hours after that prediction was made, it’s already changed to a trace-.25″. Yeah, this pattern’s looking really promising lol.

  4. terry September 22, 2018 at 12:15 pm - Reply

    Anyone or Gary when did Actually did last year LRC in October start what day ? 2017/2018 ?

  5. j-ox September 22, 2018 at 1:46 pm - Reply

    I relish our changing seasons…that is, WHEN/IFF they change. We need an avg+ snowy Winter and an actual Spring.

    Fun fact(??):
    Folks on the equator never get to experience more than 12 hrs of sunlight/day, but they get those 12 hr peaks 2x/year at the two solstice events.

  6. Anonymous September 22, 2018 at 3:37 pm - Reply

    Remember though even as we close in on the start of the new LRC( around the 7th of October or so) even though the GFS will go out two weeks into the future, it doesn’t mean that it really knows whats going on untill it happens, and for any run beyound 240 hours or so it might as will just be art at this point, yes its possible as that first day approaches that it ( and even some other models might latch onto something) and then there will be a chance that we are looking at the very first small piece of the new pattern, but we need to try not to fall into the trap of just assuming that it is part of the new pattern and trying to make to many judgements based on that small part of the new pattern that we are seeing that may or STILL may not be correct in the form that the models are showing. 🙂

  7. Nicholas Rau September 22, 2018 at 3:38 pm - Reply

    Remember though even as we close in on the start of the new LRC( around the 7th of October or so) even though the GFS will go out two weeks into the future, it doesn’t mean that it really knows whats going on untill it happens, and for any run beyound 240 hours or so it might as will just be art at this point, yes its possible as that first day approaches that it ( and even some other models might latch onto something) and then there will be a chance that we are looking at the very first small piece of the new pattern, but we need to try not to fall into the trap of just assuming that it is part of the new pattern and trying to make to many judgements based on that small part of the new pattern that we are seeing that may or STILL may not be correct in the form that the models are showing. 🙂

    • terry September 22, 2018 at 6:36 pm - Reply

      Yes very true about the models still all over that far out. The closer we get to the beginning of the new LRC The more we could trust in the model runs.

      • JoeK September 22, 2018 at 7:34 pm - Reply

        Terry,

        You cannot “trust” the model runs even when we get into the new LRC. The models have proven to be very inconsistent. Once we know how the new LRC sets up, we can use it to verify the model accuracy or have a better idea of when the models are accurately depicting the possibility of an approaching system. This year is a perfect example, 10 days out, models would show copious precipitation amounts and then once we got closer to the event, would come back to reality. We already had an idea the models were over performing by using the LRC. Make sense?

  8. Kstater September 23, 2018 at 12:24 am - Reply

    They are getting quite the early snow in the plains of Canada. Parts of Saskatchewan and Manitoba are getting lots of snow.

  9. f00dl3 September 23, 2018 at 6:43 am - Reply

    GFS flopped on the cold air making a strong push to us later this upcoming week, and has us up near 90 again on the 30th. More upper 40s showing up, yes, but no longer low 40s showing up.

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