Another One of those Events

/Another One of those Events

Another One of those Events

Good Monday bloggers,

Well, here we go again and again and again and again. This next rain event for tonight and Tuesday is turning into a scattered event and the trend is toward less rain as we get closer to it. Sound familiar?

Here is our latest thinking.

A cold front is drifting south across the Plains and it is a decent front. But, it will become more ill-defined as it heads south which means our rain will be more disorganized. At least we will cool off  Tuesday into Wednesday.

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Here are the disturbances we are tracking as of 4 PM Monday. They will move east into our region later tonight and move out Tuesday morning. These hold our best rain chances for the next 7 days.

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TONIGHT AT MIDNIGHT: You can see the heaviest showers and T-Storms are located in southern Iowa. The I-70 corridor has just a few yellow spots, meaning not many heavy rain areas. South of I-70, there is barely any rain.

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TUESDAY: The showers and T-Storms will exit during the morning, leaving a few showers behind during the afternoon. Highs will reach the low to mid 80s as the sun begins to peek out.

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RAINFALL FORECAST: This is a JOKE! Rainfall amounts will be trace to 1″ with the least south of I-70. As it stands now, the heaviest rain looks to occur from southern Iowa to northern Indiana where they are not in drought conditions. It would be nice to shift this thing south by 100-200 miles. It could happen at the last minute, but unlikely. If it does, we will update the blog. We will know later this evening if this could happen.

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A few showers and T-Storms may pop up Wednesday as a second system moves by, but overall we are looking dry into early next week after Tuesday.

Tomorrow is election day, remember to vote.

Have a great night.

Jeff Penner

2018-08-07T16:39:56+00:00August 6th, 2018|General|43 Comments

43 Comments

  1. Fred Nolan August 6, 2018 at 4:36 pm - Reply

    Ugh. This pattern absolutely stinks right now. Hoping for the best but realizing we aren’t going to get much again.
    It’s gonna be hot, it’s gonna be dry, and it’s gonna last you for the rest of your life.

  2. Snow Miser August 6, 2018 at 6:04 pm - Reply

    POOF!

  3. Richard August 6, 2018 at 6:17 pm - Reply

    KC
    Where rain comes to die.

    Severe storms in CO Springs / Manitou
    Baseball size hail causes damage and injured 200 people at the zoo in the Springs.

  4. JoeK August 6, 2018 at 6:22 pm - Reply

    Jeff,

    Thank Goodness, that was a close call! You prevented a meltdown today by taking the time to write a blog. All joking aside, have you performed an analysis on the dust/sand storm coming out of the Sahara that is disrupting the weather in the Atlantic? It is amazing how much events such as this can impact the weather on a global scale. Looking more likely that it will change the cycle/pattern enough to throw everything off in the tropics.

  5. Mr. Pete August 6, 2018 at 7:09 pm - Reply

    👎

  6. Ben August 6, 2018 at 7:31 pm - Reply

    And the rich get richer. Farmers in Iowa don’t know how easy they’ve got it. They wouldn’t make it two years down here.

  7. Nate August 6, 2018 at 8:02 pm - Reply

    Totally off topic, but are “rural” areas becoming more dangerous? I was thinking of moving from Lees Summit to somewhere a little more open and Lees Summit seems to be having a rapid change in demographics (for the worse), time to move on but was thinking of Southern Johnson County or Miami County. I’m a city boy, don’t know if I could handle a winter out there all alone, well I have my bird dogs.

    • WeathermanKumke August 6, 2018 at 8:40 pm - Reply

      Nothing is wrong with the demographics of Lee’s summit

      • Nate August 6, 2018 at 8:46 pm - Reply

        That could very well be but I’m seeing otherwise and I’m by far not the only one who has noticed and no, I not only referring to blacks (although that’s blatantly noticeable), in fact most of my concern is white trash.

    • KS Jones August 6, 2018 at 8:44 pm - Reply

      Check the stats for MIP (most in population) vs non-MIP
      http://www.kansas.gov/kbi/stats/docs/pdf/2016%20Crime%20Index.pdf
      KBI 2016 Crime Index

    • Mr. Pete August 6, 2018 at 8:44 pm - Reply

      👎

  8. Weatherby Tom August 6, 2018 at 8:45 pm - Reply

    Rain delay at Kauffman. Looks like a nice little cell, hope more of that continues overnight

  9. Nick August 6, 2018 at 9:34 pm - Reply

    St. Joe got one again, lol, had a nice gust front, lots of downburst winds and even a period of heavy rain for our storm of the month. 😛 so at least we were the lucky ones this time.

  10. Mr. Pete August 6, 2018 at 10:07 pm - Reply

    It’s raining in Prairie Village. Wow it’s been a while!!!!

  11. Hockeynut69 August 6, 2018 at 10:15 pm - Reply

    Simply unbelievable. 0.0” once again. Literally had a storm to the west, north, south, and then east of my house. Have been holding off on sod at the new house due to drought. This pattern sucks. Hopefully by September when sod goes in, it will rain. I have to stop watching the radar. It is too depressing.

  12. Fred Nolan August 6, 2018 at 11:04 pm - Reply

    ok i’m just going to say it. If i get banned so be it.
    This fucking weather pattern sucks bigtime. How can we continue to get missed like this. Front after front headed right towards the metro and it just blows its wad right before it gets here.
    Sorry but i am just sick of this. There has to be some kind of explanation as to why this keeps reoccurring. And the answer is not, we just arent in the right spot!

    • Nate August 6, 2018 at 11:11 pm - Reply

      Military / CIA Weather Manipulation Testing

      • Heat Miser August 7, 2018 at 12:20 am - Reply

        cuckoo cuckoo

    • Mr. Pete August 7, 2018 at 12:02 am - Reply

      I’m in the metro and did not get missed.

    • Heat Miser August 7, 2018 at 12:21 am - Reply

      I’m not getting missed…raining right now in lawrence

  13. Snow Miser August 6, 2018 at 11:22 pm - Reply

    I’m getting a veritable drought-buster here SE of the stadiums.

    I decided to water a bunch of stuff in my yard tonight, I figured that would make it rain. I was right!

  14. Jordan August 7, 2018 at 1:26 am - Reply

    I’ve been waiting for the split to form on radar, and it just did, like it always has this summer, out near Salina. Shaping up to be another whiff on a precip forecast.

  15. MattinLeavenworth August 7, 2018 at 3:47 am - Reply

    Not really Jordan. It’s about to hit the entire metro

    • Jordan August 7, 2018 at 11:00 am - Reply

      First time all summer the line didn’t divide and half of it dive south. It really looked like it was going to again.

  16. Brian August 7, 2018 at 5:45 am - Reply

    Watching the radar it looks like the KC Metro will end up with lighter totals. This is an OK scenario as long as the rural areas get the much needed rain. Those in the concrete jungle can make their own rain to keep the grass green.

  17. LYITC41 August 7, 2018 at 6:17 am - Reply

    Good to see points north getting some rain they really need. Nice showers for the city too.

  18. Bill in Lawrence August 7, 2018 at 7:04 am - Reply

    Happy Tuesday everyone!!

    Around half an inch just SW Lawrence between Clinton and Lone Star Lake. Biggest single rain event at my location since June 2nd. It has been amazing, beautiful, awesome, fantastic…..what other adjectives can I use….better check out School House Rock!!!

    Have a wonderful day everyone…

    Bill in Washington Creek Valley in Lawrence

  19. Alex Pickman August 7, 2018 at 7:36 am - Reply

    Only got a little over An inch of rain at my house in Stewartsville MO, but St Joe finally got some decent rain

  20. Skylar August 7, 2018 at 7:47 am - Reply

    The latest GFS shows Arizona as the wettest state in the country over the next 2 weeks…

  21. Blue Flash August 7, 2018 at 8:06 am - Reply

    0.6″ here in Independence. Not complaining! Looks like there were widespread, substantial rains over North Central Missouri.

  22. hoopsA1 August 7, 2018 at 8:22 am - Reply

    glad to see that we finally got our first widespread rains this year! this just goes to show that even models cant predict what will happen just a few hours before the event!

  23. Bill August 7, 2018 at 8:39 am - Reply

    Finally a good soaking from north to south. STJ looks like they got slammed so Kurt hope you got at least an inch!

    Drought far from over but this is a nice change. Except people forgot how to drive in the rain….

  24. Kurt August 7, 2018 at 9:18 am - Reply

    just under 2 inches last night and this morning over several rounds, lost power with the initial push or wind from the gust front and first storm was out from about 8:30 to almost 2:00 am; not sure why I wake up less than a minute before the power came on. That happened the last time to. Looks like north St. Joseph got 3 – 5 inches of rain. Very much needed, now if we could get this on a weekly basis region wide to knock back the drought.

  25. Snow Miser August 7, 2018 at 10:16 am - Reply

    Weather station closest to me has .54 inches total yesterday and today.

  26. Dwight August 7, 2018 at 11:06 am - Reply

    So it didn’t seem scattered at all. The radar loop over night and this morning looked pretty impressive. Precipitation totals of 2 inches in some areas.

  27. Dwight August 7, 2018 at 11:07 am - Reply

    But have we turned the corner for wetter and cooler weather for fall? It seems in the past, that change comes in mid to late August.

    • brad August 7, 2018 at 11:10 am - Reply

      i am thinking early winter

  28. Nick August 7, 2018 at 11:36 am - Reply

    Wow last night was pretty insane in north St. Joe, first we had the storms with the wind( thankfully we didn’t lose power with that and just had one branch down(small), but the gust front was cool looking, then later at night, we got pounded by west-east training cells that, DUMPED on us and then at about 2am, there was a bright flash of lightning, with a boom and the lights were out for an hour. I havn’t seen a rainstorm like that in a loong time. 😀

  29. Mr. Pete August 7, 2018 at 12:28 pm - Reply

    Got the standard 3/4 inch here in Prairie Village – just enough to keep things green and growing.

  30. KS Jones August 7, 2018 at 12:57 pm - Reply

    Got 0.56″ (midway between Manhattan & Marysville). It came with a light north breeze from midnight to 3 AM, so the soil soaked it up well. We are now 3.96″ below year-to-date average.
    WeatherUnderground predicts we’ll get 0.77″ from August 14th through 16th.

  31. Jason August 7, 2018 at 2:35 pm - Reply

    About 1″ just south of Lawrence. Most I’ve had in many months. Majority of the last events left me with a trace to .20″

  32. REAL HUMEDUDE August 7, 2018 at 2:35 pm - Reply

    We got about .5″ this morning. Missed a heavy cell yesterday afternoon to the east and another to our south. Take what I can get, helping to keep pastures alive which is a major issue now.

  33. j-ox August 7, 2018 at 4:20 pm - Reply

    0.7″ in NW Lawrence. Most since June 20th’s 1.6″ rain.

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