Good morning bloggers,
We are finishing up a dry April in Kansas City. Take a look at the rainfall stats:
The total is actually 5.60″ less than last year in April. Wow! In our spring forecast, I predicted that we would be near or above average in May and June, so this means that we will get at least 10″ of rain by the end of June. We will need it as it is getting quite dry out there. 2.74″ below average would be much more glaring if it was a warm month, but it was one of the coldest Aprils on record. I believe we are coming in second or third coldest.
Severe Weather Risks:
Storm chasers from around the world have flown out, driven to, or somehow ended up in chase vehicles over the western plains states today. These storm chasers are either by themselves, which we do not recommend, or with chase teams. There will be, what is called, chaser convergence where any big thunderstorms develop. One of the biggest dangers of storm chasing is not being killed by a tornado, but the driving dangers. In recent years, storm chasers have been killed by tornadoes and in traffic accidents. So, this is a dangerous hobby for sure. If you do go out, always have a driver with you that will concentrate on driving. And, then when it comes to tracking the super cell thunderstorms, make sure you keep your eye on the road and not the sky. Stop the car when you want to look at the storm structure. And, obey the traffic laws.
The risks are challenging as this storm approaches the region. Today, the risk is out west, but it will shift east towards KC in the next couple of days. It appears the risk will stay north of Kansas City until Wednesday.
The risk on Tuesday is above, and the risk on Wednesday shows what is likely the best chance of severe weather near KC:
From the Storm Prediction Center: “There is an enhanced risk of severe thunderstorms mainly from northwest Texas, across Oklahoma, Kansas, and northwestern Missouri. Severe Thunderstorms are likely across a large part of the southern and central plains Wednesday afternoon through Thursday morning, with a few tornadoes, damaging winds, and large hail. The greatest threat area at this time appears to be from northwest Texas across Oklahoma and eastern Kansas.”
The set ups are still in motion, and there is a lot to discuss in the next few days. Right now, today will be calm near KC. How will Wednesday set up? More soon.
Thank you for spending a few minutes of your day reading the Action Weather Blog featuring Weather2020 and the LRC. Let us know if you have any questions, and join in the conversation on the Weather2020 blog. Have a great day!