The Last Chance of Snow?

/The Last Chance of Snow?

The Last Chance of Snow?

Good Saturday bloggers,

Before we talk about the next chance of winter weather, let’s talk about severe weather.

Gary, Gerard and myself will be out at Nebraska Furniture Mart between 11 AM and 2 PM for Severe Weather Awareness Day. You can meet Sunny “the weather dog” and Gary will be signing and giving away a couple of his book, “It’s a Sunny Life.” We will also be giving away 4 pairs of Royals tickets. We hope to see you out there!

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OK, now back to winter in April. We expected to break a record low this morning and we did. The old record was 18° set in 2007. We dropped to 16°, 25 degrees below average.

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Let’s go through the weekend weather which includes snow. Is this our last chance for the year? I would say most likely, but between April 15 and 25 there is a slight chance, especially if the AO goes more to the negative.

TODAY: The sun will be out in full force warming us up to 20 degrees below average. There will be much less wind as well.

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SUNDAY 3 AM: It will still be mostly clear around here with temperatures in the 20s and 30s. A mix will be forming in northwest Kansas, somewhat like an MCS.

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SUNDAY 7 AM: We will most likely be dry and cold with temperatures around freezing. The mix to the west will be increasing and moving into Salina.

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SUNDAY NOON: Oh my! The mix has become mostly snow and it appears it will be a nice band as it moves across eastern Kansas and western Missouri. Temperatures will be around 32°, so roads will be mostly wet with some slick spots. The roads will be more covered in heavy snow areas. In locations outside the precipitation, temperatures will be near 40° and the band may start as rain and sleet.

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SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING: The main band of snow will end by 3 PM with lingering mix showers until 6-7 PM. Temperatures look to rebound back to the mid and upper 30s, so roads will be mostly wet. Sunday night into Monday morning the lows will drop to 30-35, so there is a slight chance of black ice from leftover moisture. The low Monday will depend on cloud cover. The colder it is, the more slick it will become.

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SUNDAY WEATHER SUMMARY: The snow begins from west to east 8-10 AM and will end 1-3 PM. There is the chance for lingering snow, sleet, graupel and rain showers until 7 PM. Roads will be mostly wet to slushy, which means there will be slick spots. Roads will be more covered and slick if the snow arrives before 8 AM as the sun angle will not be able to help. Also, no matter when the snow arrives, roads could become more slick in locations where the snow comes down heavy.

We are expecting a dusting to 2″ of snow on mainly grassy surfaces and we will watch the roads closely.

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Have a great weekend and hope to see you out at Nebraska Furniture Mart 11 AM to 2 PM.

Jeff Penner

2018-04-08T09:13:24+00:00April 7th, 2018|General|34 Comments

34 Comments

  1. Mr. Pete April 7, 2018 at 9:55 am - Reply

    Is it really winter weather or spring snow?

    • Heat Miser April 7, 2018 at 10:13 am - Reply

      wintery weather seeping into spring

  2. Adam April 7, 2018 at 10:38 am - Reply

    The 876th consecutive forecast for a dusting to 2 inches.

    Yawn.

  3. Terry April 7, 2018 at 10:46 am - Reply

    There you go boys the GFS 12z snowfall map for Sunday

    https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs&region=scus&pkg=asnow

    • Heat Miser April 7, 2018 at 1:03 pm - Reply

      except that it will be to warm to stick to much

  4. Richard April 7, 2018 at 11:23 am - Reply

    Another ice age coming ! Colder for the next 30 years. Grand solar mimimum
    Read about it.
    What would be worse year round heat or year round cold

    • Bluetooth April 7, 2018 at 3:43 pm - Reply

      I think cold would be far worse. I don’t know about another ice age but a little ice age is certainly possible. It’s a fact that sunspots are decreasing, and, the majority of days this year have been sunspot free. Only time will tell….

      • Richard April 7, 2018 at 4:16 pm - Reply

        I agree

        • Bluetooth April 7, 2018 at 4:27 pm - Reply

          Richard, it’s getting kind of hard to deny what is happening with the weather now.

          • Heat Miser April 7, 2018 at 9:52 pm - Reply

            we ve been in an over all warming trend in recent years… the debatable part is what is causing it

  5. choppy April 7, 2018 at 11:25 am - Reply

    You’re livin in a fantasy land Terry. It’s gonna be a glorified rain event.

    • Terry April 7, 2018 at 12:04 pm - Reply

      Here’s the Canadian model 12z just for you Choppy! 1 to 3 inches of snowhttps://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gem&region=scus&pkg=asnow

      • Terry April 7, 2018 at 12:06 pm - Reply

        It’s not working I’ll fix it

        • choppy April 7, 2018 at 12:15 pm - Reply

          You can post all the models you want. It’s gonna melt as fast as it falls.

        • Heat Miser April 7, 2018 at 1:03 pm - Reply

          It’ll be too warm to stick much at all Terry.

          • Terry April 7, 2018 at 1:11 pm - Reply

            If it snows hard enough fast enough that can achieve late on the grass area

            • Richard April 7, 2018 at 4:15 pm - Reply

              Another blog says It was cold yesterday, it’s cold today, and it’s staying cold Sunday. So if it comes down hard enough, it will stick. Especially on grassy surfaces.

              • Bluetooth April 7, 2018 at 5:07 pm

                This cold, I’m afraid is just the beginning. I am certainly not wishing for more snow. I am wishing for seasonally appropriate temperatures and weather conditions. I hope that the farmers can soon get into the fields for crop planting.

              • Heat Miser April 7, 2018 at 8:04 pm

                Grass sticking would be cool! 🙂

  6. Tdogg April 7, 2018 at 12:07 pm - Reply

    Biggest snow in KC history!!!!! Terry and Robert Racy will remember tomorrow for the rest of their lives! They both want 24″, I hope they get it!

  7. Mr. Pete April 7, 2018 at 3:18 pm - Reply

    I was just at the store and all of the milk and bread was gone – not joking.

    • Heat Miser April 7, 2018 at 8:04 pm - Reply

      rofl…I bought it all

  8. Adam April 7, 2018 at 4:36 pm - Reply

    Terry hasn’t posted the 18z NAM yet?? Its on the hype train for tomorrow! Choo choo!

  9. f00dl3 April 7, 2018 at 5:36 pm - Reply

    It’s like the Royals in 2015. A lot of sweeps when it ckmes to snows. But the Chiefs still cant shovel!

  10. Rod April 7, 2018 at 11:22 pm - Reply

    Late night GFS has a slight southward shift in the snow & takes it even south of I-70 compared to the previous run which barely had it down to I-70. Hoping to have one last winter day to relax in my hot tub with snow falling, bring it on!! ❄️❄️❄️

    https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/

  11. Mr. Pete April 8, 2018 at 12:18 am - Reply

    How in the world is it supposed to snow tomorrow when the temps will be 40+. This is a pipe dream.

    • WeathermanKumke April 8, 2018 at 3:09 am - Reply

      Depends on how shallow the warm air is. It’s snowed plenty of times when it’s been in the upper 30s-low 40s a couple hundred feet off the ground but below 32 at the 850 level. None of it accumulates and it usually melts on contact. Almost the opposet of how freezing rain works (warm at 850, below freezing a few hundred feet off the surface).

  12. Mr. Pete April 8, 2018 at 6:59 am - Reply

    Look at the radar. Kc looks to get whiffed.

  13. REAL HUMEDUDE April 8, 2018 at 7:30 am - Reply

    Splitting around KC and St.Joe by looks of it. HRRR still maintains precip shield will fill in for areas getting missed, but not sure I buy that. Hoping to see some increasing echoes around here in a few hours, esp St.Noe that have been so unlucky. Might struggle to get any real dent in drought situation up there until we actually break out into Thunderstorm season which is lagging way behind normal this year, Benn way to cold for convection most setups. JL mentioned March acted like Feb and now April acting like March, we are one month behind normal this Spring.

  14. Blue Flash April 8, 2018 at 7:46 am - Reply

    On KC radar, it looks like its snowing in Topeka and headed this way. But on Topeka radar, it looks like its snowing in KC but nothing over Topeka. Truth is its aloft and not reaching the ground either place.

  15. NoBeachHere April 8, 2018 at 7:51 am - Reply

    Poof Alert issued for the Northland

  16. Richard April 8, 2018 at 8:14 am - Reply

    Jeff is on kshb. Showed preliminary stayed tuned in a couple of min

  17. Richard April 8, 2018 at 8:17 am - Reply

    JL on twitter just minutes ago
    “Note about weather/radar apps today…they may have a rough go of it because reality may be different than what the app thinks. i.e. many radar apps think it’s snowing in KS now…vast majority is actually rain with some ice pellets mixed in. JL”

  18. Mr. Pete April 8, 2018 at 9:16 am - Reply

    Massive whiff on this one.

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