Thunderstorms and Snowflakes On January 22nd

Good morning bloggers,

Kansas City Weather Timeline:

  • Today:  Cloudy with some rain and snow showers! Temperature in the 30s, staying just above freezing all day.
  • Tonight: Rain changing to snow and ending. A dusting to 1/2″ is possible. Windy and cold. Low: 20s  Some black ice may be a sneaky problem.
  • Tuesday:  Mostly sunny with a high of 39°

Sometimes we may not realize that Kansas City is quite often near the center of the storm. The center of the storm does not mean that Kansas City gets the most exciting weather, and this is an understatement because we are in a four year stretch where storm systems have not quite come together during the winter in this area.  We will have completed four straight years without even a 3″ snow storm in two weeks.  The last 3″ snow happened during he first week of February 2014.  But, the center of storm systems have passed through Kansas City, and one of them was directly overhead early this morning. Take a look at this surface map:

namussfcwbg

The occluded low pressure area was centered just north of KC this morning as you can see on this surface analysis. Take a look at this mornings radar image:

Screen Shot 2018-01-22 at 7.13.45 AM

This is a very functional storm and Kansas City had thunderstorms around midnight, so today began with thunderstorms. The day will likely end with a little bit of snow as the wrap around moisture moved in with the comma head.  Temperatures will likely be just above freezing later this afternoon and evening so any travel problems should be limited.

7:14 AM Radar:  The comma head was showing an increase in the precipitation early this morning as you can see below.

2

We will be monitoring this area of rain and snow showers as it rotates around the storm this morning. There may be a dusting of snow, and possibly even up to 1/2″ or so in a few spots this evening. If this gets a bit more organized then it could produce around an inch near KC, but I am just expecting perhaps a dusting at this moment. We still will have gone from thunderstorms to snow in the same calendar day, which is pretty exciting but our streak of lower than 3″ of snow will continue.

Gary

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Stl78
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Stl78

8.2 earthquake in alaska, tsunami warnings in effect! Wow!

Mr. Pete
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Mr. Pete

Way more snow than I thought was coming. Still coming down good and yard is totally white.

Rod
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Rod

Steady wind driven snow falling in Ashland at 9:30 PM, roof tops & elevated surfaces are white with a dusting. Beautiful winter scene at the moment.

Bill in Lawrence
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Bill in Lawrence

Gary: Good Monday evening to you sir!! Quite the exciting last 30 hours weather wise here!! First of all in my very humble opinion, this storm did not go poof. Did we get the snow in western Kansas to Minnesota…no….did we get the rain that Columbia eastward had….nope….however, I went from 4 below to 60 in part due to this storm….I had thunderstorms last night and while I did not receive a huge amount of rain, I still had quite the light show and picked up close to .25. Then today, I got to watch it snow for nearly 6… Read more »

Mr. Pete
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Mr. Pete

It’s very windy!!!!

Richard
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Richard

Family friend in New Prague MN posted pics on facebook at 7 pm
Patio table had over a foot on it and still coming down huge flakes.

Phillip
Guest
Phillip

This comma head died fast…no one in the immediate viewing area got more than 1” of snow

choppy
Guest
choppy

I got roughly zero inches out east around Wellington 🙂

REAL HUMEDUDE
Guest
REAL HUMEDUDE

Looks like the last weather event for awhile, GFS is boring for a bit

f00dl3
Guest
f00dl3

The good part is the next time the Arctic air sets up it probably won’t be as strong, meaning storms may be closer to clipping us than over Alabama and Mexico.

Terry
Guest
Terry

until like Around February 2nd or 3rd then it will pick up

Kurt
Guest
Kurt

Huh? I’m not sure your positive vibes will help this winter.

HEAT MISER
Guest
HEAT MISER

WOO HOO…GIANT SNOW STORM IN TEN DAYS!!!! Is it greedy of me to ask for even more snow?

Matt Maisch
Guest
Matt Maisch

I’ve looked at the models on that storm, and therefore must ask. What exactly defines a “giant snow storm” in your eyes? In mine, it better be 12″ of snow or more, otherwise, “giant snow storm” seems a bit much, even in the midst of the pathetic winters we have been experiencing. Just curious.

Tdogg
Guest
Tdogg

Enjoy your 1/2 of snow what will be gone by lunch tomorrow. Get some sleep, you and Terry will have school tomorrow 😉

Bluetooth
Guest
Bluetooth

That’s hilarious!!

Matt Maisch
Guest
Matt Maisch

Quick burst of snow has turned the ground white here in Odessa. Not much, but just enough to turn things white.

f00dl3
Guest
f00dl3

Whelp, I’ll be. It’s actually snowing at a decent clip at the rate in Lenexa, strong enough to overcome the warm ground temps. Not sticking on pavement, but at this rate we may darn well see 1-2″ tonight with residual wrap-around. Wow!

Tdogg
Guest
Tdogg

Flurry Storm 2018! Storm Robert proved to be a dud

HEAT MISER
Guest
HEAT MISER

Not in Lawrence, dude. Its snowing heavily and everything is white. Fourth such snow this winter so far. WOO HOO!!!!

Anonymous
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Anonymous

Ground is all white in st joe

KS Jones
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KS Jones

Now we’re on the west side of the swirl with lighter snow. The visibility has increased from 3/8 to 3/4 of a mile, and the wind has increased with gusts up to 45 MPH.
https://radar.weather.gov/Conus/uppermissvly_loop.php

Freezemiser
Member
Freezemiser

It’s snowing in east Independence!

Justnora
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Justnora

Snowing nicely north of the river near Penguin Park

Brad in MN
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Brad in MN

Going to end up with at least a foot up here in MN. Just dug 2 neighbors out with shovels who got high centered in front of my house.

Mr. Pete
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Mr. Pete

Snowflakes in Prairie Village

Mr. Pete
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Mr. Pete

Gary has the snow vest on

Fred Nolan
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Fred Nolan

Now if this would just stall right here and continue to spin we will be in business. One can hope.

Anonymous
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Anonymous

While not thundersnow, it’s picked here south of St. Joseph, ground is covered again as well as all exposed surfaces, streets mainly wet and slushy but have a good dusting so far and still coming down.

Stl78
Guest
Stl78

Where u at brad? I dont remember. Im in winona,mn

Brad in MN
Guest
Brad in MN

STL78, I am in Burnsville

Brad in MN
Guest
Brad in MN

Just heard thunder during this snowstorm! That is a first for me!

KS Jones
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KS Jones

Here, midway between Manhattan & Marysville, we had heavy fog, mist and a bit of light rain overnight. That precipitation transitioned to snow when the air temperature dipped to 32° at 8:30 AM.
Currently, we have moderately heavy snow blowing horizontally with wind gusting to 30 MPH.
Most of the snow that had fallen between the 11th & 14th melted away yesterday except for the deepest drifts on the lee side of terraces, but now the ground is completely white again.

Bsmike
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Bsmike

Sure looks like the coma head will wrap right in metro!!!

Clayton
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Clayton

Pretty cold. Have some big snowflakes hitting the ground in Leavenworth big if you look up in the sky it’s snowing like crazy. Huge flakes. Just shows how quickly it melts before reaching the surface.

Phillip
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Phillip

We need this in any form so let’s just stay positive about the precip we ARE getting 😊

Snow Miser
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Snow Miser

Just got a batch of snow mixed in with rain in downtown Independence.

Alex Pickman
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Alex Pickman

A light rain/snow/grauple/sleet here in St. Joe right now

Melanie
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Melanie

We had pea sized hail last night around 11:30pm. It broke my rain gauge, so I don’t know how much rain we received. I am in Eastern Shawnee.

Anonymous
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Anonymous

Rain/snow in Leavenworth. Raining and then a second later snowing hard and then back to rain super quick.

Anonymous
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Anonymous

I really hope MoDOT around Metro KC stay off the roads today. I am so done with the lingering road treatment, I don’t want any more of it. Thank you so much. 👌🏻

Mr. Pete
Guest
Mr. Pete

Heard its snowing in Topeka…

MikeL
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MikeL

Snowing pretty hard here in SW Topeka – the hardest I’ve seen in quite a while. Grass has a touch of white but it is 35 degrees and pretty wet so hard to accumulate.

RainsJ
Guest
RainsJ

Weather channel made it seem as if the snow band was gonna wrap around KC this afternoon for what it’s worth, not sure how Much though

LYITC41
Guest
LYITC41

Snow band W of KTWX showed a very slight increase in intensity about 1150, nothing to get excited about. It’s just about done.

Anonymous
Guest
Anonymous

Just noticed a trough in south Kansas that wasn’t on the map earlier this morning. Could that be a sign for organization of the precip that is west/southwest of kc?

Roger
Guest
Roger

Well, might as well get prepared for severe – extreme drought to march it’s way from the southwest to places like Salina, Hutchinson, Wichita, Pratt, Great Bend, IS. Sooner rather than later.

Roger
Guest
Roger

KS

REAL HUMEDUDE
Guest
REAL HUMEDUDE

Roger, it’s winter time and we average very little precip this time of year. You are getting the cart in front of the horse, let’s see how dry it is this spring and you can talk drought at that time but until then you are just wasting your time and setting up for a big dose of Crow once the wet season arrives

Roger
Guest
Roger

We had a rainy 25-35 day stretch from mid-march to late April. Other than that it’s been hard to get sufficient moisture.

Urbanity
Guest
Urbanity

I think the NOAA has us in severe drought conditions already. Hume, you forget, we haven’t had sufficient moisture out here since early June so it’s not just a winter thing.

Troy Newman
Member
Troy Newman

I would agree on the drought. We are having one of the driest 100 day stretches in 100 years and that is true for much of Central and Western KS as well as the Southern Plains. La Nina + dry LRC could equal bad news for those wanting to pasture cattle this spring. OK wheat crop is rated only 15% G/E and KS wheat crop rating has plunged as well. Since July 1 we are 6.5 inches behind on precip here and this is not a localized situation at all.

Stl78
Guest
Stl78

Dont apologize Philip! Thx for your update as well as the location. I may be 400 miles away but i still enjoy following the kc weather! ive also lived and chicago and st louis and still follow the weather there as well but this bloq sets kc apart from other former cities. Thx for making this possible gary and wx team!

Getmuck
Guest
Getmuck

My house in Olathe at 133rd and Blackbob received .04 last night with a few rumbles. My cousin in Emporia KS reports blinding snow with nothing sticking.

Mandy
Guest
Mandy

Any ideas about the weather during rush hour? I know you mentioned that the temp should stay above freezing all day – does that include the evening commute?

Anonymous
Guest
Anonymous

Any ideas about the weather during rush hour? I know you mentioned that the temp should stay above freezing all day – does that include the evening commute?

Phillip
Guest
Phillip

Sorry for so many comments, but car temp shows 38° with mixed precip falling now. 1-70 and woods chapel

Phillip
Guest
Phillip

Gary, do you have a more specific timeline for precip today and changeover time? Seems like that would be important even if we’re just getting snow showers and a dusting- 1/2”. Could impact these non driving peeps during rush hour?

Stl78
Guest
Stl78

In a quick search and study i found alot of research arguing both sides of the windmill farm theory. Interesting theory regardless. Like all theories, u are on one side or the other. If it does indeed impact the weather my thoughts would b that it is so minimal, one would never b able to tell. Just my 2 cents. Here is se mn we have transitioned back to a mix as we sit at 33°. Current precip total . 25

Phillip
Guest
Phillip

Got a light rain shower here in indep, driving home to grain valley. Weather app pushed any precip back to 2pm though? 🤔

Phillip
Guest
Phillip

It’s pure conspiracy, nothing more.

Stl78
Guest
Stl78

Windmill farm destoying precip? I live right by one and have never heard of such a thing. What’s thinking behind this phenomenon? Thx

Clint
Guest
Clint

I bet he believes the world is flat.

Urbanity
Guest
Urbanity

I bet you believe your stomach is flat. I’ve posted several studies on Lezak’s blog regarding the significant impact wind farms have on precipitation, it’s just that no one really wants to believe anything controversial or not discussed among talking heads.

Stl78
Guest
Stl78

That was funny.

MikeL
Guest
MikeL

According to Schopenhauer, the three stages of truth are (1) ridicule (2) violent opposition and (3) acceptance as self-evident. Maybe it applies in this case and maybe it doesn’t. We would need to examine it.

Urbanity
Guest
Urbanity

The effect of a giant wind farm on precipitation in a regional climate model B H Fiedler and M S Bukovsky School of Meteorology, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK 73072-7307, USA “In the Gulf of Mexico, there is a notable paired region of enhanced and diminished precipitation in figure 4. The time series for the region within the white box (figure 8) shows that the difference is dominated by the absence of two monstrous precipitation events in that locale when the wind farm is present. The time series is obviously non-Gaussian and Student’s t-test does not formally apply. Nevertheless, we… Read more »

Urbanity
Guest
Urbanity

B H Fiedler and M S Bukovsky Abstract: “The Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model is employed as a nested regional climate model to study the effect of a giant wind farm on warm-season precipitation in the eastern two-thirds of the USA. The boundary conditions for WRF are supplied by 62 years of NCEP/NCAR (National Center for Environmental Prediction/National Center for Atmospheric Research) global reanalysis. In the model, the presence of a mid-west wind farm, either giant or small, can have an enormous impact on the weather and the amount of precipitation for one season, which is consistent with the… Read more »

Urbanity
Guest
Urbanity

Windmill Farm destroying the comma head. We got a trace of snow out here west of Salina, not much precip to speak of.

SteveA
Guest
SteveA

Gary,
are these storms that are passing thru Iowa, Ill, Ind consistent with the LRC. thank

Brian watson
Guest
Brian watson

Yes they are consistent with the lrc. Gary has told us that somewhere in the United States a storm would be coming though somewhere within a week or two.