Good Friday morning bloggers,
An Arctic Blast will arrive tonight in Kansas City and expand over a large part of the United States tonight and Saturday. An Arctic Blast Warning is now in effect through Monday. Temperatures will drop to below zero, but the bigger factor will be a northwest wind blowing at 10 -25 mph. This will lead to dangerously cold wind chill values.
We will also discuss the top weather story of the year in Kansas City and nationally. Let’s begin, however, with this Arctic Blast.
Arctic Blast Warning
The National Weather Service created this graphic above. It will be very dangerous to spend any amount of time outside beginning tonight, but increasing on Saturday night into New Year’s Day.
- Hypothermia and frostbite can happen in less than 30 mins and the symptoms can look just like someone who has celebrated too much
- Temperatures will likely drop to below zero, possibly as low as 15 to 20 below zero near the Iowa and Nebraska borders
- The wind will be blowing in the 10 – 25 mph range. This will create wind chills 15 to 40 degrees below zero
- Most people will only spend one to three minutes outside. When you are going to New Year’s Eve parties, limit that time outside to a few minutes of getting out of your car and into the party. Don’t forget to have that designated driver
GFS Temperature Forecast Valid 6 AM January 1, 2018
European Model Temperature Forecast Valid 6 AM January 1, 2018
Arctic Air Retreat Within Ten Days
This map above shows the forecast temperatures valid at noon on Sunday January 7th. Temperature may reach into the 40s and 50s, possibly even higher, over the Kansas and Oklahoma. The Arctic air will likely have retreated back into Canada, but it is still sitting there to be tapped for LRC Cycle 3.
Speaking of the third LRC Cycle; it will begin around the middle of January. This cycling weather pattern began around October 7th, and each LRC Cycle is coming in with around a 47 to 48 day cycle length. LRC Cycle 3 could begin as early as around January 5th to 7th, but more likely around January 9th to 11th. Remember, in October it was actually fairly wet in the first few storm systems that cycled through, and ever since October 22nd it has been ridiculously dry. We have noticed that every other cycle matches up better at times. So, there is hope that we can have some wetter storm systems January.
Today’s Set Up & Weather Time-Line:
As I was writing up this blog at 5 AM, and I was finishing this last Friday entry of 2017 I noticed the low cloud surge that was on the move. You can see the low clouds well on the 2-4 satellite picture before the sun rose this morning. Look at the dark areas, which showcase the low clouds. These were surging north and northeast right towards KC:
Kansas City Weather Time-Line:
- Today: Increasing clouds, becoming cloudy. There is a chance of light freezing drizzle or snow flurries this afternoon and evening. East to southeast winds becoming south, but staying fairly light. High: 29°
- Tonight: A chance of flurries of light freezing drizzle. Turning colder with winds increasing and shifting to the northwest at 10-25 mph. Low: 6°
- Saturday: Partly cloudy, maybe a few flurries. High: 10° with wind chills 10 below zero
- New Year’s Eve (Sunday): A few clouds and maybe a few flurries. High: 8° (Wind chills 20 below zero as we ring in the New Year!)
- New Year’s Day: Clearing and cold with early morning flurries, a light dusting is possible. Low: -10° High: 3°
Top Weather Events Of 2017:
Nationally, I think Major Hurricane Harvey comes in at #1. In Kansas City, I believe that the March 6th tornado outbreak that produced EF-3 tornadoes near Smithville, MO and Oak Grove, MO is #1. Here are some of the events as shown from the NWS:
- #1: March 6th Tornado Outbrea
- #2: July flooding event over south KC
- #3: August flooding event on Eclipse day
- #4: The lack of snowfall
- #5: White Christmas
What do you vote for as #1 through #5?
Hurricane Harvey Is #1 Nationally
Hurricane Harvey formed near the Yucatan Peninsula just as the eclipse was being experienced around August 21st. Harvey intensified into a major hurricane and slammed into the central Texas coast as a Category 4 hurricane with winds topping 130 mph near Rockport, TX, on August 25th, making it the first major hurricane to make landfall in the United States since 2005. After landfall, Harvey moved inland and stalled over south Texas and then drifted around before re-emerging out over the Gulf of Mexico and then making landfall near Cameron, Louisiana five days later on August 30. Harvey was a named storm for 117 hours after its first landfall. This makes Harvey the longest Texas landfalling hurricane to hold onto its name after landfall for that long. As a result of the slow movement and track of Harvey, 50 inches of rain blasted away rainfall records and created massive catastrophic flooding in many cities, including the Houston metropolitan area. Harvey is the #1 weather event of the year nationally, the way I see it, but other storms come close such as Hurricane Irma.
Thank you for spending a few minutes of your day reading the Action Weather Blog featuring Weather2020 and the LRC. Join in the conversation over on Weather2020, click on the blog as we are all learning and sharing together in this weather experience. Have a great last Friday of 2017!