Top Weather Events Of 2017 & Arctic Blast Arrives Tonight

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Good Friday morning bloggers,

An Arctic Blast will arrive tonight in Kansas City and expand over a large part of the United States tonight and Saturday.  An Arctic Blast Warning is now in effect through Monday.  Temperatures will drop to below zero, but the bigger factor will be a northwest wind blowing at 10 -25 mph. This will lead to dangerously cold wind chill values.

We will also discuss the top weather story of the year in Kansas City and nationally.  Let’s begin, however, with this Arctic Blast.

Arctic Blast Warning

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The National Weather Service created this graphic above. It will be very dangerous to spend any amount of time outside beginning tonight, but increasing on Saturday night into New Year’s Day.

  • Hypothermia and frostbite can happen in less than 30 mins and the symptoms can look just like someone who has celebrated too much
  • Temperatures will likely drop to below zero, possibly as low as 15 to 20 below zero near the Iowa and Nebraska borders
  • The wind will be blowing in the 10 – 25 mph range. This will create wind chills 15 to 40 degrees below zero
  • Most people will only spend one to three minutes outside. When you are going to New Year’s Eve parties, limit that time outside to a few minutes of getting out of your car and into the party. Don’t forget to have that designated driver

GFS Temperature Forecast Valid 6 AM January 1, 2018

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European Model Temperature Forecast Valid 6 AM January 1, 2018

Screen Shot 2017-12-29 at 5.20.50 AM

Arctic Air Retreat Within Ten Days

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This map above shows the forecast temperatures valid at noon on Sunday January 7th. Temperature may reach into the 40s and 50s, possibly even higher, over the Kansas and Oklahoma.  The Arctic air will likely have retreated back into Canada, but it is still sitting there to be tapped for LRC Cycle 3.

Speaking of the third LRC Cycle; it will begin around the middle of January. This cycling weather pattern began around October 7th, and each LRC Cycle is coming in with around a  47 to 48 day cycle length.  LRC Cycle 3 could begin as early as around January 5th to 7th, but more likely around January 9th to 11th.  Remember, in October it was actually fairly wet in the first few storm systems that cycled through, and ever since October 22nd it has been ridiculously dry.  We have noticed that every other cycle matches up better at times. So, there is hope that we can have some wetter storm systems January.

Today’s Set Up & Weather Time-Line:

As I was writing up this blog at 5 AM, and I was finishing this last Friday entry of 2017 I noticed the low cloud surge that was on the move. You can see the low clouds well on the 2-4 satellite picture before the sun rose this morning. Look at the dark areas, which showcase the low clouds. These were surging north and northeast right towards KC:

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Kansas City Weather Time-Line:

  • Today:  Increasing clouds, becoming cloudy. There is a chance of light freezing drizzle or snow flurries this afternoon and evening.  East to southeast winds becoming south, but staying fairly light. High: 29°
  • Tonight:  A chance of flurries of light freezing drizzle. Turning colder with winds increasing and shifting to the northwest at 10-25 mph. Low:  
  • Saturday:  Partly cloudy, maybe a few flurries. High: 10° with wind chills 10 below zero
  • New Year’s Eve (Sunday):  A few clouds and maybe a few flurries. High:  8° (Wind chills 20 below zero as we ring in the New Year!)
  • New Year’s Day:  Clearing and cold with early morning flurries, a light dusting is possible. Low: -10° High:

Top Weather Events Of 2017:

Nationally, I think Major Hurricane Harvey comes in at #1. In Kansas City, I believe that the March 6th tornado outbreak that produced EF-3 tornadoes near Smithville, MO and Oak Grove, MO is #1.  Here are some of the events as shown from the NWS:

Screen Shot 2017-12-29 at 5.33.16 AM

  • #1:  March 6th Tornado Outbrea
  • #2:  July flooding event over south KC
  • #3:  August flooding event on Eclipse day
  • #4:  The lack of snowfall
  • #5:  White Christmas

What do you vote for as #1 through #5?

Hurricane Harvey Is #1 Nationally

Hurricane Harvey formed near the Yucatan Peninsula just as the eclipse was being experienced around August 21st.  Harvey intensified into a major hurricane and slammed into the central Texas coast as a Category 4 hurricane with winds topping 130 mph near Rockport, TX, on August 25th, making it the first major hurricane to make landfall in the United States since 2005.  After landfall, Harvey moved inland and stalled over south Texas and then drifted around before re-emerging out over the Gulf of Mexico and then making landfall near Cameron, Louisiana five days later on August 30.  Harvey was a named storm for 117 hours after its first landfall. This makes Harvey the longest Texas landfalling hurricane to hold onto its name after landfall for that long.  As a result of the slow movement and track of Harvey, 50 inches of rain blasted away rainfall records and created massive catastrophic flooding in many cities, including the Houston metropolitan area. Harvey is the #1 weather event of the year nationally, the way I see it, but other storms come close such as Hurricane Irma.

Thank you for spending a few minutes of your day reading the Action Weather Blog featuring Weather2020 and the LRC.  Join in the conversation over on Weather2020, click on the blog as we are all learning and sharing together in this weather experience.  Have a great last Friday of 2017!

Gary

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KS JonesAnonymousEmawHeat Miser Recent comment authors
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Emaw
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Emaw

Simply pointing out the fact that we have no control over the weather.

B
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B

Been following this blog for a looongg time… didn’t realize how many brainwashed right wingers loved weather… I’m disappointed in the lack of awareness

MattinLeavenworth
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MattinLeavenworth

B, care to elab on that? Anyway, small snowflakes coming down in Leavenworth. Hitting hard in the face.

Anonymous
Guest
Anonymous

LoL…looks like Snowflakes in here too….that would be you B! LoL

Heat Miser
Guest
Heat Miser

Looks like snowflakes in here too…yes, that would be you B! LoL

KS Jones
Guest
KS Jones

He expressed himself clearly and succinctly–there is no need for further explanation.

Anonymous
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Anonymous

There’s a shocker… a lib feeling moral superiority and yet wrong on just about every aspect of politics. Snowflakes come in more than just weather form eh?

Anonymous
Guest
Anonymous

Gary Troll in here B

Emaw
Guest
Emaw

In the grand scheme of things we are a mere pimple on mother earth’s ass and have no control, we have to adapt, overcome, and let ‘er eat.

Carl
Guest
Carl

Had a decent snow for about 30 min or so in Columbia. Enough to cover the roof tops. With LRC cycle 3 coming, we know that we should see a strong cold shot or two. What’s the chances that this is the cycle where we FINALLY get those one or two big snow events?

KS Jones
Guest
KS Jones

http://www.latimes.com/local/lanow/la-me-ln-winter-heat-weather-20171228-story.html Thanks largely to a high pressure system compressing air over the Great Basin, Los Angeles County could see temperatures 10 to 20 degrees warmer than the seasonal average . . . Woodland Hills was the hottest place in the country on Wednesday when the mercury peaked at 86 degrees. That was one degree warmer than the previous record set four years ago.   As it happens, the high pressure system keeping our region unseasonably warm is the same one fueling bone-chilling conditions in the Northeast . . . Woodland Hills is forecast to hit 87 degrees Friday, which would beat a record… Read more »

Dave LS
Guest
Dave LS

I vistited my sister 2 years ago in El Paso Texas, and I honestly think that was the last time I experienced a 7inch snow storm in the last 3 years. That’s just ridiculous.

Blue Flash
Guest
Blue Flash

61 degrees in Denver right now! Should be in the mid-20’s for the game Sunday.

Phillip
Guest
Phillip

Got my days confused only supposed to get to 8° tonight.. 0° tomorrow

Phillip
Guest
Phillip

Gonna drop 33° quick tonight!!

TerryPolo
Guest
TerryPolo

Nice quick shot of snow here in Polo. Just wish it would last longer

Weatherby Tom
Guest
Weatherby Tom

Had a nice snow shower for about 10 minutes, it has ended. Good to see some flakes though

Mr. Pete
Guest
Mr. Pete

Decent flakes coming down in Prairie Village, KS

Freezemiser
Member
Freezemiser

It’s snowing off and on in Lee’s Summit!

Rockdoc
Member
Rockdoc

Gary, if you’re around, I have comments in moderation. It may be due to me being on line with a different computer. This message is being sent via cell phone.

Rockdoc
Guest
Rockdoc

Boy….so much for the fix…..I’m in moderation again.

Bill in Lawrence
Guest
Bill in Lawrence

Gary: Happy Friday morning to you sir. Hit 14 degrees this morning and by the looks of the timing of the front it appears this will be day 7 of temps at 32 or below and looks like that streak will last until Tuesday depending on how fast that surface high moves past us. Not a bad stretch of winter type temps for this area. Been since 2013-2014 since we have seen this type of a cold stretch. Sure it would have been nice to have more snow with this cold, but hey a winter lover can’t have everything here.… Read more »

Rockdoc
Guest
Rockdoc

Good morning Gary. A quick question, unless someone else on the blog can explain, why would we possibly anticipate freezing drizzle today when the upper layer air temps do not support this. In checking out the 925 mb, the 850mb and the 700mb layers (plus the surface temps) all temps are below the freeze point. You had alluded to the low flying clouds so perhaps you can provide a technical explanation on this? I do see a little disturbance just barely to our west that shows up on the surface map, a mini low pressure area, based on the direction… Read more »

Anonymous
Guest
Anonymous

My windshield washer fluid has been frozen for the past 3-4 days now, maybe even longer. Was out driving around today, and finally have it melted enough to use, though, when I popped the hood to check if the dipstick would come out (yes, my honda actually has a plastic dipstick that extends all the way down into the reservoir) it was still stuck, not able to come out which tells me I still have some fluid that is frozen. My plan is to drive some more and run that sucker dry, go to Walmart and buy the good stuff… Read more »

MMike
Guest
MMike

Tdogg,

Ha!

We sure could use some of that global warming right now! Records setting everywhere, how is that possible when winters aren’t suppose to be cold anymore?

sedsinkc
Guest
sedsinkc

This major cold relative to average is limited to Canada and US. Most of globe is actually near or above average. It’s the big picture. Don’t be myopic like President Dotard. See furry blog yesterday for global temp anomaly map as of yesterday.

Paul
Guest
Paul

Climate is always changing, but cause IS NOT MANMADE. They only thing is man-made are the liberal facts!

Shawn
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Shawn

Got any research to back that up?

Paul
Guest
Paul

Yup, it’s called historical data.

f00dl3
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f00dl3

Funny how the US data is the most open data and shows no climate change, but to get data from other countries you have to pay for it. Pretty easy for people to tell us that the climate is changing if they control the data and most don’t want to pay thousands per year to access it and historical data is very hard to find. The only somewhat reasonable data set is the GHCND by day data set… and I just got done parsing the entire thing into JSON in my database and have not yet figured a means of… Read more »

Urbanity
Guest
Urbanity

Too bad the liberals had to bury us in debt, if global warming is man made, the libtards have us in such debt we can’t afford to take the necessary steps to reduce emissions anyway. Socialism in the world today, run low on money just print more, it’s the way of the global monetary policy, yet not followed by China who is working it’s way up the social ladder. Another thing China does is ignore the UN’s request for clean air policies, while the US has been under UN leadership since Reagan left office.

Terry
Guest
Terry

May be we can get a good Snow event for my birthday it’s Show me where the 11th and Gary said Cycle 3 As early as January the 5th to 7th but more likely the 9th to 11th of January. We can call it winter storm Terry.

Clint
Guest
Clint

I support this idea.

Tdogg
Guest
Tdogg

Every winter storm we get this year we will name Terry.

Anonymous
Guest
Anonymous

Any chance areas in Jackson county (Independence, Blue Springs) see freezing drizzle today?

stl78
Guest
stl78

We have about 3 in on the ground with another 1-2 coming today followed by another cold front. Im hoping we dont add much to the snow pack otherwise temps could really crash. Oh well, what can ya do? At least i go home after work unlike traveling the country like ive done fo sooo long. Im sure il get called out overnight this wknd for a broken rail. Gotta keep the choo choos runnin

Troy
Guest
Troy

Pretty heavy snow in Worthington as we head for Kimball to see the in-laws. Probably 2 or 3 inches so far

Kurt
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Kurt

I’m sorry that stl78 and so many others have to endure this frigid air. Too bad we’re waisting all this cold and still no snow. I wonder how much colder it might be if we had a deep snowcover? My top weather story is the extreme rainfall pattern posted by the other blog this morning, and the small area that didn’t get the bigvrain events along the 36 highway corridor and the over into north central Kansas (interesting map) I’m looking forward to warmer temps, last nights 27 degrees at 7:00 pm felt balmy. Also look forward to rainy weather

Steve
Guest
Steve

Heck those symptoms up there were just old age!!! Lol.

Mr. Pete
Guest
Mr. Pete

How many more times this winter will we have cold outbreaks like this?

blue flash
Guest
blue flash

One more, cycle 3, 47 days, would be mid-February I would think.

Terry
Guest
Terry

If I remember right in Gary’s Winter forecast he said December and February would be the coldest.

stl78
Guest
stl78

I think u r under a wsw there for possibly 6 in

Urbanity
Guest
Urbanity

Articgeddon and yet the mean ridge remains the unmovable object, what is up with that??

Ross
Guest
Ross

Up visiting family in the quad cities this weekend. Ready for a decent snow event today.

Chris
Guest
Chris

I have family in Carbon Cliff

stl78
Guest
stl78

Cold weather takin its toll on the house. Garage door wont work properly and basement bathroom water lines have froze up…sigh

Urbanity
Guest
Urbanity

I can’t imagine what your going thru, that kind of cold is nearly unmanageable….even anti-freeze can freeze, cracked block, cracked pipes, caulking shrinking and cracking, doors freezing up, if you break down without a working cell phone it truly is life threatening. Keep the water trickling to prevent further frozen lines, close that fireplace chute and crank the gas heat up, space heat areas that need it.

stl78
Guest
stl78

Ive taken all thr necessary precautions, unfortunately some things are just unavoidable. Hope they dont burst! We look yo go under another windchill advisory too….sigh

Michael Casteel
Guest
Michael Casteel

Where do you live? I’m in Maryville, MO. I am going to attempt to cook some pork chops and baked potatoes on my Traeger tomorrow!
Michael

stl78
Guest
stl78

Winona, mn

stl78
Guest
stl78

I did a pork tenderloin last night. Worked much better without the strong winds

Michael Casteel
Guest
Michael Casteel

Wow way up North! Our NWMSU Bearcats have played a lot of teams on your Northern Sun Conference. Winona State has a pretty good ball team. We’ve played Duluth, Moorhead, Mankato, St. Cloud, and maybe Winona, not sure on them. Stay warm up there and myself and our BBQ team will be on Fire On Ice BBQ contest March 3rd on Mille Lacs Lake! BRRRRRR!

stl78
Guest
stl78

Very nice michael! Ive only lived in winona for a yr or so but have worked this area a ton over the last 6 yrs. I spent 9 yrs working for the fire department around kc and 12 yrs living just south of Smithville mo. Have lived in chicago, st louis, kc and now mn and hope our move to mn will limit my railroad travels. Good luck in the contest! Whats your go to meal on the traeger? Mine would b ribs

Michael Casteel
Guest
Michael Casteel

Everything thing that MOOOS, OINKS, and Clucks! LOL #lovemyBBQ
Michael

Dan T
Guest
Dan T

I would say the record flooding events along Indian Creek then the tornado outbreak. Then how our snow drought continued another year. Also don’t forget to limit the time our pets spend outside. I know my dog is not enjoying going out in the mornings.

Urbanity
Guest
Urbanity

I have chronic hypothermia, thanks for the diagnosis Gary.

Three7s
Guest
Three7s

What time today is the front anticipated to move through?

Freezemiser
Member
Freezemiser

Looks to be pretty chilly! Be sure to feed the birds and put out your heated water bowl. It’s tough on our feathered friends.

Bobbie
Guest
Bobbie

How is the eclipse not number 1?

Skylar
Guest
Skylar

It’s not a weather event