Good morning bloggers,
Here is a video of this mornings distant thunderstorms on a tranquil morning.
An interesting late May and early June set up exists near Kansas City this week. There is a weak front forecast to develop and stall near our region. At this time of the year you just need a front near by and thunderstorms will be rather likely. The winds converge near the front. It may be weak, but with so much moisture available a few thunderstorms will likely be forming. You can see this front on this forecast map for this afternoon..
This front is forecast to be located over the Kansas/Missouri region with a warm front extending out from a low pressure area near Denver, CO, or rather it is really a stalled front near Kansas City as you can see above. The models have varying ideas on when thunderstorms will form. A lot of times at this time of the year you do get late afternoon and evening thunderstorms, and you can also get late night and early morning thunderstorms. We will be monitoring closely. Here is today’s severe weather risk.
This next forecast map shows the thunderstorms near or just south of Kansas City. This is just one model solution. The other models have all kinds of other solutions, but we can certainly see that there is a chance of thunderstorms and if you get under one of these it could produce one or two inches of rain in a short period of time.
We will be monitoring this closely on 41 Action News. Our month long forecast verified quite well. Here was the forecast from 30 days ago:
It was really quiet and dry during the first 17 days of the month, and then it got stormy and wet in the past two weeks. This is exactly what we forecast would happen as you can see above and below:
We will be doing a month long forecast for June tonight at 10 PM on KSHB.com and 41 Action News.
Have a great evening. I am on the air tonight and we will go in-depth into our weather forecasts to bring you the best weather information available.