Good morning Weather2020 bloggers,
There is a risk of severe weather the next two days as the pattern continues to cycle regularly according to the LRC. As many of you know we have been in close to a 59 day cycle this year give or take a couple of days. What happened 59 days ago? Would you be shocked if I told you there was a severe weather outbreak in early January? There was a two day stretch from January 1st into January 2nd that had severe weather with the outbreak on January 2nd. Take a look at the storm reports from LRC Cycle 2:
43 tornado reports on January 2nd. The rest of the meteorological world out there has no clue that the pattern is cycling and regularly. This is going to be a big year for Weather2020 and this is yet another example on how our knowledge of the cycling pattern allows us to issue a day 60 severe weather risk that is just as good as a day 7 severe weather risk. Here are the risks the next two days:
The above map shows the risk for today, and the one below shows tomorrows risk:
I posted this map in yesterdays blog:
It hasn’t been 100 degrees since September 8, 2013, almost four years ago. Here is a forecast for many 100 degree days in July based on the LRC model which has out performed all other models this winter. This model will continue to get more accurate as the next few years go by as there are advancements in the works to make it even better. Our energy and agriculture customers have access to this model now and they have access to our Weather Intelligence Reports and videos. And, yes, we have a peer review paper finally in pre submission form, and we are planning on submitting it and presenting it this year. The above example shows strong evidence to what we have been sharing with you for 15 years in the blogs.
Today’s Set Up:
I hope this verifies as it has Kansas City in the thunderstorm band at around 8 to 10 PM tonight. Some large hail and damaging winds will be the main risk. The risk of tornadoes actually increases as the system moves away and into tomorrow, which just using the LRC would make sense. Let’s monitor this closely today.
Have a great Tuesday. Thank you for participating in this weather experience. Today is the last day of Climatological winter. We will look back at the past three months and look ahead to spring in the next few blogs.