A Record Breaker Is Right On Schedule

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Good morning Weather2020 bloggers,

Todays record breaking warm day is right on schedule. Take a look at one of the models forecast for this afternoons temperatures:

And, here is todays video showing how this part of the pattern is directly related to the part of the pattern that produced the huge warm up ahead of the Christmas storm:

The Cycling Pattern On February 22 from Weather2020 on Vimeo.

Have a great day and thank you for participating in this weather experience.  The same pattern continues to produce similar results.  The last time it didn’t snow one flake in Kansas City during February was in 1892.  Of course I am a bit shocked, but then again not too surprised either. We have been experiencing this pattern since it started dry and warm in October and November.

Gary

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CraigBill in LawrenceHeat MIserMr. PeteRockdoc Recent comment authors
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Bill in Lawrence
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Bill in Lawrence

Gary:

Good Thursday morning to you sir.

Kind of interesting that this storm is going to go a bit further south than the models were showing yesterday. Not far enough obviously but if the 6Z is correct it looks to be close to a 100 miles further south. I wondered about that this morning when I woke up to a stiff NE breeze…it actually looks to track between Ottawa and Lawrence on the 6z.

Not going to change things much, but interesting none the less.

Have a great day

Bill in Washington Creek Valley in Lawrence

Craig
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Craig

Interesting, Bill. Perhaps the SPC will shift this thunderstorm area a little farther south, too, with their Noon update?
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

Craig
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Craig

Anyone else notice the snow for Monday on the 6z GFS?

Mr. Pete
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Mr. Pete

Glad to see some freezes this weekend. Zap some mosquitoes and flies

Rockdoc
Guest

I posted on yesterday’s blog accidentally. That’s funny f00dl3 regarding you getting sunburned due to EPA. Actually you may not be far off. I think we can all agree that this February is definitely out of the norm and that the climate is shifting. The only question is whether it is naturally occurring, it is man made, or a combo of the 2. Being a Scientist/engineer I fall on the side that it is most likely attributable to man. Given geologic conditions and the current state of chemicals spewing into the atmosphere and their affects on creating conditions ripe for… Read more »

Dave
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Dave

I got in my car this afternoon and had to put on my sunglasses!

First time I have ever had to wear sunglasses in February.

There is something definitely going on… sunburns, sunglasses, and they are talking about shutting down the EPA? Oh man…and 132 degree summer days? What’s happening here? Soon, locusts and the plague? Or just a huge mess of oak mites and mosquitos?

Someone help us. Please.

Thanks for the laugh today!

Heat MIser
Guest
Heat MIser

I dont get that…the sun can be just as bright in the winter as the summer.

KS Jones
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KS Jones

It was a bit above 79° at Blue Rapids today.
The Blue Rapids forecast says the high will be only 35° on Friday with a low of 20°.

blue flash
Guest
blue flash

I don’t know if anyone has mentioned it previously, but it appears to me that today’s 79 is the warmest temperature ever for this early in the season. The previous mark is held by Feb. 3, 1934 when it hit 76.

Mr. Pete
Guest
Mr. Pete

Keith Urbanity! By the way what’s the EPA have to do with morning sunburns?

KS Jones
Guest
KS Jones

It was 80° at the Manhattan airport from 3 PM TO 4 PM.

Richard
Guest

One hr ago NWS KC on their facebook page “Kansas City has reached at least 79° today, which shatters the record of 73°, is the 3rd warmest February day on record and makes this the warmest 7-day stretch ever recorded in February. This is also the 6th time this month KC has reached 70° which is a record not only for the month of February but for the entire winter season. We were curious how far south you’d have to travel to find a normal high of 78° for February 22. You’d have to go all the way south of… Read more »

Richard
Guest

NWS KC says the mosquitos and oak mites will be bad this year

Kurt
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Kurt

I take that back, I mowed the yard in Houston Texas in February

Kurt
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Kurt

I mowed the yard this weekend for the first time in my life in February and I am 48, smiley face.

Weatherby Tom
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Weatherby Tom

I got some sunburn over the weekend for the first time ever in February in my life, I am 47

f00dl3
Guest
f00dl3

I almost got a sunburn while running this morning. I seriously have never gotten a sunburn running before 10 AM even in July. I think something else is going on here that we are not being told – and probably never will be told since the current stance is shut down the EPA.

Joe K
Guest
Joe K

foodl3,

This post made my day, you almost got a sunburn, because of some governmental secret caused by the EPA being shut down? EPA isn’t shut down, your skin is very vulnerable after the winter of seeing no sun and although the sun is still at a low angle, it is still possible to get a sunburn during the winter months. Have you ever been to Roswell or area 51? Ok , I’m just having a little fun with you….:D

Anonymous
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Anonymous

Guys – you all better be quiet about talking about trees budding and allergens and bugs – our US Gov will censure you!

Seriously though….

I almost got a sunburn running between 6:30 AM and 9:40 AM this morning. I have NEVER got a sunburn in February, or even June, before 10 AM.

Kathy
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Kathy

I just watched Jeremy Nelson’s spring forecast for the Tulsa area. Apparently in Oklahoma, they are having similar weather conditions as we are.. He is also calling for increasing drought and above average temps, just like us. But he is also pinpointing severe weather days according to the LRC. What I don’t get is how severe weather can occur when we get no functional storms. I do understand that if the weather is warmer, and these cold fronts come in like the one on Friday, we can get a clash of air masses. I also understand that the Tulsa area… Read more »

Richard
Guest

Jeremy is in Tulsa ? He went to Wisconsin didn’t he ?
I think Bret Anthony is in OK

Kathy
Guest
Kathy

You are absolutely correct. It was Brett Anthony. My mistake.

Richard
Guest

Just now went to your video link. Yeah, that’s Brett

Urbanity
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Urbanity

Bugs will be minimal this year, at least their guts will be dry. 120+ degree days will fry bugs on road contact, mosquitos won’t stand a chance away from ponds and lakes, and other bugs that were prevalent last year like the nymphs that drew in the asian beetles will disappear.

REAL HUMEDUDE
Guest
REAL HUMEDUDE

Hey Keith, can I call you Keith Urbanity? Hottest it’s EVER been in KC was 113F. Might be possible in western KS, but I will just say it’s basically impossible for KC to hit 120F. I’m sure you were just kidding anyway lol

Three7s
Guest
Three7s

Maybe he meant heat index?

Urbanity
Guest
Urbanity

Yeah you can call me Keith Urbanity (my wife is hotter though). I was talking about west of Salina, but this will be the year for record highs according to the LRC in my opinion. KC I think can get there as well, even though you typically have higher humidity to limit the extreme dry hot temps. Highest recorded in Kansas is 121 degrees, near Osborne, KS, which is about an hour NW of me. But it has been 118 in MO and Iowa, and 120 in Ark, so KC has the potential. I would place a bet that we… Read more »

REAL HUMEDUDE
Guest
REAL HUMEDUDE

Dang Keith! Hotter than Nicole, your a lucky man! Yes, uncanny how hot it can get west of KC. Almost inexplicable really, why so much hotter out there? You don’t have an urban heat island, the exact opposite. Elevation isn’t a issue. It’s higher out there, but again, Death valley is below sea level and gets crazy hot there. I sure hope you are wrong, 120F is brutal and will kill loads of livestock

Mr. Pete
Guest
Mr. Pete

Need at least one more cold snap to eliminate some bugs.

Richard
Guest

Clnton Lake Army Corps of engineers says their park rangers are already fighting ticks.
Going to be a buggy year

Three7s
Guest
Three7s

Not if it doesn’t rain. Drought kills bugs faster than anything.

Richard
Guest

Three7s
It is already a buggy year without precip. Oak mites, mosquitoes, ticks. All are out.

Austin Braddock
Guest
Austin Braddock

Do you and I know each other Richard?

Terry
Guest
Terry

Gary so more cold/snow this winter?

Three7s
Guest
Three7s

No.

Kurt
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Kurt

Terry,

We can’t even get a functional storm to target our area, let alone snow. It’s going to warm up again next week after this brief shot of cooler air. Maybe there is something there, but the chances are so small that the answer is no. I don’t understand why you keep asking when we are so dry and this isn’t a weather pattern that will produce a snow here.

Heat Miser
Guest
Heat Miser

Nope, I think we are done. All the mets, including Gary, thought we would have more cold and chances of snow….but they were all wrong it’s looking like.

Urbanity
Guest
Urbanity

Alex, I’ll take regional temperatures for 600 please. And the question is, what day will Kansas reach it’s first 100 degree day?. I’ll say April 22nd.
And the answer is, according to the LRC April 22nd is correct!.

Heat Miser
Guest
Heat Miser

Nonsense…won’t be until June

Richard
Guest

I think it will be in May.

Richard
Guest

Kmbz radio said if folks are suffering what they think is a cold, it might not be. It could be allergies ! They said the pollen count is high. 3 weeks early. Ugh
Then on 810 sports radio Nate told Gary his allergies were killing him this morning. Gary said “I don’t know. Trees are not budding out yet”. But Gary then checked pollen count. Yes ! it is high he said.

So, Gary, my question is, will there be a hard freeze to slow this down ??

Dobber
Guest
Dobber

Trees are absolutely budding out.

Richard
Guest

Dobber,
Yep. When I heard Gary say that I shook my head and wondered if he had even looked up at any trees this past week.
They are budding big time.

REAL HUMEDUDE
Guest
REAL HUMEDUDE

Gary forgot rule #1,look outside. In his defense, how often are trees budding this early? Never!

Richard
Guest

No defense. He told Nate the trees are not budding out.

Heat Miser
Guest
Heat Miser

You can tell the diff between allergies and a cold…they are very different.