Good morning Weather2020 bloggers,
This Monday begins with a weakening wave of energy moving north up the Kansas/Missouri state line. The huge impacting California storm is now breaking into pieces, and at least this last disturbance will likely barely end this long dry spell with no rain or snow. The weather pattern may be about to get much more interesting during this next two weeks as we move into one part of the cycling pattern that has the potential to bring Kansas City its first snowflake of the month.
Kansas City just had a 26 day stretch where there was no measurable precipitation and it barely ended this morning. It has yet to snow even one snowflake in Kansas City during the month of February, and an incredible unseasonably warm stretch is continuing to be in progress. What is causing all of this, not just in KC, but all over the Northern Hemisphere? The cycling pattern as described by the LRC is the cause. The “ridge” was picked out by our team of meteorologists months ago and this ridge continues to impact so many parts of the United States, none bigger than Kansas City this winter. What is next on the LRC Calendar? Take a look:
The two maps above are from October 29th and February 24th, the forecast for later this week. A big ridge, one that we picked out in our winter forecast to return in each cycle and it has, forms over the Eastern Pacific extending north into Alaska. This will create a very cold air mass that will move south and affect this weather pattern we are cycling through according to the LRC.
What does this mean? It means that the next few storm systems will likely have enough cold air to work with to produce snow. But, where? Look at the latest GFS model:
The models have been showing some accumulation during the next ten days from three different systems. Our last snowfall in KC came from this part of the cycling pattern in early January. Let’s see how it all sets up. Quite obviously on this map, there is a lot of snow forecast to fall over Iowa and Nebraska. We will look deeper into these chances in the next few blogs.
Thank you for participating in this weather experience. The weather pattern just may be much more exciting in this two week stretch. Let’s have some great discussions. Yesterday was one of the more challenging and rewarding days at the same time. We reached our goal of raising $130,000 for the Humane Society of Greater Kansas City. Thank you to all of those who helped out! Here is a picture from the last few seconds of the Pet Telethon: