Another Rain Event Moving Across The Plains

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Happy Friday Weather2020 Bloggers,

The next storm is moving out of the western states and into the Rocky Mountains and plains states.  This would usually be a set-up for severe thunderstorms, but instead is mostly going to be a generous rain producer and right over that developing drought area that the Climate Prediction Center had placed weeks ago. It has been obliterated. It’s gone. The drought monitor will likely fizzle it away in the next update or two. It has rained too much. Look at this rainfall forecast over Kansas, Nebraska, Oklahoma and east into Arkansas and Missouri:

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The blocking pattern continues. The upper high over Greenland is filling an falling apart. A new high over low blocking pattern is developing today over the western half of North America as you can see below. Look a the 564 line that goes around both upper lows and then up and over the upper high north of North Dakota:

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A wave of energy will rotate through tonight.  On Saturday the lead upper low will likely begin weakening and this is why the severe weather risk is much lower than would be the case in any other year with a pattern like this. There is still a risk today and tomorrow.

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Have a great day, and thank you for participating in the LRC Forecast Experience Blog. I will write up a new blog entry later in the day on Saturday.

Gary

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GaryRodney SpurgeonMr. PeteRockdocREAL HUMEDUDE Recent comment authors
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Rodney Spurgeon
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Rodney Spurgeon

We’ll Gary? What is next? Where are we headed in this cycle? More rain? Or drier again?

Mr. Pete
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Mr. Pete

This place is like crickets today what gives???

Rockdoc
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Rockdoc

Gary, I’m somewhat disappointed that there was no mention yesterday or today about the system that I had mentioned yesterday out in Colorado, NW Kansas, NW Nebraska and Eastern Wyoming. Although not in our backyard, it does set the stage as to what to expect. Also, given the weekend a lot of people drive from KS to CO. Just a suggestion that a heads up would be great in both accounts. After my whaaa waaaa onto the weather at hand! You have been referring to this recent pattern as the Turkey Day Storm redux. However the days do not quite… Read more »

Mr. Pete
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Mr. Pete

Looks like the rain is moving out. So will early morning be dry for soccer? 0730.

REAL HUMEDUDE
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REAL HUMEDUDE

Last night’s powercast solution didn’t handle this feature very well. It showed most activity staying south, but fairly impressive rain shield setting up to the SW and looks like the dinner in the park will likely be very soggy here in town. Does appear stronger Thunderstorms should stay south of metro, might be Humedude’s turn for the heavier convective rains this time. A SVR T-STRM cluster is crossing OK line into SE KS at the moment, looks like a mean bow echo developing heading towards Independence, KS. 2″ hail and 70MPH winds