Good morning Weather2020 bloggers,
Today is day 5 of this 5-day storm here in Kansas City. It has been of various lengths in other parts of the nation. I just checked my rain gauge and dumped out another 0.65″ adding to the 3.72 inch total which puts south Overland Park, KS up to 4.37″ for this incredibly wet system. Here are some other five-day totals as of 7 AM:
- Overland Park, KS: 4.37″
- KCI Airport (the official recording station for Kansas City): 2.41″
- Lee’s Summit, MO: 3.52″
I will update these totals later today….as this storm will be done producing rain in this area by around 3 PM this afternoon.
This storm is moving out into the plains this morning and Winter Storm Warnings are in place in that pink shaded area with Winter Weather Advisories around it. The storm system in the upper levels of the troposphere is now moving out into the plains, intensifying, and closing off even more today with a the center of the upper level storm forecast to be near Omaha, NE by 6 PM this evening as you can see below:
Take a look at the flow near the west coast. A rather major split flow occurs right on the west coast with the northern stream riding up into and through a ridge over western Canada and then extending east-southeast across Hudson Bay. The southern stream curves around the plains closed off upper level low into a ridge near the east coast.
El Niño’s important 3.4 zone off the South American coast over the tropical Pacific Ocean waters came in at +3.0°C today, which is down just 0.1°C. A strong El Niño is characterized by +1.5°C, so this is extremely warm. The AO and NAO indexes are still way high into the positives right now. There is a trend towards neutral on some of the models. We will discuss these things and more in Tuesday’s blog. The in-depth winter forecast comes out later this week. We have a lot of work to do.
Have a great start to the week, and thank you for participating in the LRC Forecast Experience Blog.