Share on facebook
Share on twitter
Share on pinterest

Good morning Weather2020 bloggers,

I just went out and checked my rain gauge for the first time since this storm started. Here on the south side of the KC metro area in Overland Park, I have had 3.72″ of rain. Wow! Some of that was in the form of freezing rain. What a storm!  If you have a rainfall total for the storm, please let us know.

A storm closed of and then cut-off from the main jet stream a few days ago, and it is still sitting over the western United States this morning. Can you see the center of this upper low over the Utah/Nevada border. Look closely and you can see the spin on this water vapor image.  It is actually a broad stretched out upper low, and it is now going through the beginning of a major transition.

SAT_CUS_WVENH

This system is now beginning to make a move to the east. It will redevelop as it moves over the Rocky Mountains and out over the plains states on Monday.  It has been producing record amounts of rain for this time of the year, some ice, and some snow. Kansas City just had two days with some icing, but temperatures this morning have risen to just above freezing and most of the ice has melted.

Take a look at these two radar images this morning. The top one shows the band of rain showers extending from western Illinois to northern Oklahoma, and the second one shows the precipitation type:

Screen Shot 2015-11-29 at 7.34.55 AM Screen Shot 2015-11-29 at 7.34.39 AM

The overall weather pattern is featuring a split flow with a northern branch way up across Canada and the southern branch around the upper low over the southern United States. After this upper low kicks out into the plains the flow aloft is forecast to somewhat come back together again, but the indications continue to point in the warm direction, as discussed in our preliminary winter forecast:

A0 November 29

NA0 November 29

We continue to learn more about this cycling pattern. We will release our in-depth winter forecast discussion later in the week.  Have a great Sunday and thank you for participating in the LRC Forecast Experience Blog!

Gary

Share this post with your friends

Share on facebook
Share on google
Share on twitter
Share on linkedin

Leave a Reply

avatar
  Subscribe  
Notify of
David Swartz
Guest
David Swartz

Gary, I was wondering where you got the SST anomalies for the El Nino regions on the November 24 entry

Bill in Lawrence
Guest
Bill in Lawrence

Gary: Happy Sunday to you sir!!! I am going to go out on a bit of a limb and play devil’s advocate regarding this present storm and the next few weeks. I am quite certain the limb will crack as it normally does but what else is new!!!!  Present Storm: It will be interesting to see what this storm looks like inn the next few cycles. This storm did have cold air with it-was it arctic…of course not. However, it knocked my temps down almost 35 degrees and has kept me some 12-15 degrees below our daily average high… Read more »

terry mercer
Guest
terry mercer

Yes it going to be a fun winter here.

Dale
Guest
Dale

The next 16 days warm. No snow in sight!

Mike
Guest
Mike

3.04 inches so far just west of Liberty….over 5 inches in the last 14 days.

Sure hope we find some cold air with these storms later down the road.

Dobber
Guest
Dobber

Your mowing crews busy mowing that cold weather grass this week ?

rickmckc
Guest
rickmckc

Now, that’s something you don’t see very often. 500MB thickness is >550 with a northerly wind today … drops to <535 tomorrow with a SW wind.

Looking forward to the final winter forecast … and winter itself. Should be a fun one!

f00dl3
Guest
f00dl3

4.10″ near old town Lenexa KS from last few days, not counting anything that fell after Midnight this morning.

Steve
Guest
Steve

3″+ SW of Hiawatha last 3+ days of the storm. Can’t totally tell because of some of the ice in the gauge. Ice cover 10th to 1/8th inch pretty much all over.

Michael Casteel
Guest
Michael Casteel

Gary,
If this five day storm returns later this season and the AO in dipped in the negative, we could see some nice snow totals! Possibly measured in feet! Have a great Sunday and stay warm.
Michael

terry mercer
Guest
terry mercer

Gary i’m right on this can’t the winter time the months produce more colder in the winter time than now? I know you said you was going to look into the winter time pattern to see witch part of the LRC pattern would most likely produce the cold air to be available in the winter time pattern .

Heat Miser
Guest
Heat Miser

I think it’s obvious that this winter will certainly be colder than November, and this November storm had good deal of icing on trees and cars with temps very close to freezing. This kind of storm this winter will almost certainly contain ice and or snow, not rain.

Rockdoc
Guest
Rockdoc

Hi Mr. Heat. We just may have to round up the heat/sun lovers and head someplace warm and sunny:) This may be a little more difficult this winter due to El Nino. No fun sitting on the beach in the rain:(