Good morning Weather2020 bloggers,
We are in a very quiet weather pattern for the next few days. Yesterday we posted the map from the Storm Prediction Center showing where all of the tornado watches have been located this year. There have only been 51 tornado watches thus far as the season started out very quiet, and it pretty much has continued. Tornado Watch #52 will not be happening this month, as it is April 29th. Today, we will look at the surface pattern looking into early next week.
The pattern is creating a high pressure area at the surface over Hudson Bay in Canada. There is northerly flow from this high all the way south into and through the western half of the Gulf of Mexico. The return southerly flow is pulling from the arid region of the southwestern states. By Friday, as you can see below, the Hudson Bay surface high will have moved off to the northeast with low pressure moving in. Another high pressure area will have broken off and expanded over the eastern plains into the Mississippi River Valley:
The flow of air will begin returning from the Gulf of Mexico, but as of Friday the Gulf is still somewhat “shut off” as we sometimes call it. This next map is the forecast dew points valid Friday afternoon.
As you can see, the only high dew points of 60° or higher are located across the far southeast and Florida. The dew points across the plains in tornado alley are in the 40s or lower. This will all change by early next week as you can see below:
The Gulf of Mexico will start producing the higher humidity and higher dew points by late Sunday into Monday with the flow returning from the south. This will begin providing the fuel for our next series of severe weather set-ups. Between now and then let’s enjoy the calmer weather.
The weather today, in KC, will be nearly perfect with highs in the 70s and almost no wind. Let us know if you have any questions.